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Apr 12, 2017

Eurovision 2017: Who will win?

Who are the top favourites to win?

Why is Italy so heavily favoured?

Can Bulgaria and Sweden challenge Italy?

Eurovision 2017: Who will win?

The most anticipated music event of the European calendar is around the corner. The 62nd edition of the Eurovision Song Contest takes place in Ukraine and all eyes will be on the grand final on May 13th. Which countries are most hotly tipped to win? How can the new voting rule affect the result? What is the impact of politics on the final winner? A must-read for all Eurovision bettors. 

Ukraine stormed to victory last year in Stockholm against all odds and it is about time to choose the successor. Forty-three countries are officially competing for the microphone-shaped trophy at the Eurovision final on May 13th, with Russia officially out of the competition as tension over the Crimea annexation remains high.

Eurovision 2017: Top 3 favourites

Eurovision 2017: Top 3 Contestants

Country

Singer

Song Title

Odds*

YouTube views

Italy

Francesco Gabbani

Occidentali’s Karma

2.25

96 million

Bulgaria

Kristian Kostov

Beautiful Mess

7.73

2 million

Sweden

Robin Bengtsson

I Can’t Go On

9.10

2.9 million

Last updated on April 19, 2017

Eurovision 2017 – New voting rule

The official rules for this year’s Eurovision Song Contest have been revealed and there is one thing bettors should keep in mind before placing their bets.

Since 2009 the winner of the contest has been determined by the votes of a jury and tele voters that has been evenly split. Following some notable differences between the jury and the tele voters in recent years, the calls to change the 50-50 ratio have been heard this year.

The European Broadcasting Union (EBU) now has the ability to change the jury/tele-voters ratio “subject to Reference Group approval”. Although it remains to be seen whether the EBU will actually change the voting ratio, the possibility for this happening in the future is now set out in the official regulation.

Why is Italy so heavily favoured?

Italy’s representative, Francesco Gabbani, has already stolen the show with his Occidentali’s Karma. From being a complete outsider, his performances have captured the attention of Eurovision fans and Pinnacle bettors, who currently see him as the hot favourite to win the Eurovision crown (2.25*).

Following in the footsteps of Lena who stormed to victory in 2010 representing Germany, Gabbani has dominated the radio around Europe early on. Occidentali’s Karma has become number one in Italy’s and Malta’s charts and has already made it to iTunes charts in several countries such as Belgium, Sweden and Greece.

And he didn’t just stop there. His heavy promotional activities have been a big success on social media. The official video has surpassed 88 million views on YouTube and the #ScimmiografoChallenge got fans all around Europe posting videos of themselves doing the dance routine.

Who can challenge Italy at the Eurovision?

Italy might be the most hotly tipped country to win the trophy, but Eurovision, like politics betting, has proven to be a hard market to predict and with the voting ratio open to change at any moment, bettors should keep a close eye on what Bulgaria and Sweden have to offer this year.

WithRussia out of the competition, the Moscow-born Bulgarian representative is expected to capitalise on the Russian tele-votes.

At 17 years of age, Bulgaria’s representative, Kristian Kostov, is the youngest contestant this year and is currently the second favourite (7.73*) with his Justin Bieber-style ballad Beautiful Mess.

His songwriters have experience with Eurovision songs but that is not the only ace up his sleeve. Kristian was born in Moscow and was the finalist on The Voice Kids Russia. With Russia out of the competition, he is highly expected to capitalise on the Russian tele-votes.

Sweden stands on the other end of the spectrum this year. The up-tempo, Justin Timberlake-style song titled I Can’t Go On features five backing singers on exercise machines and the impeccable looks of main singer Robin Bengtsson are hard to miss. The whole performance looks like a singing fashion show and is widely expected to get a top position.

Add to the mix Sweden’s undisputable successful history in Eurovision - two wins and five top ten finishes in just six years - and you can ignore the third favourite for this year’s Eurovision contest (9.10*) at your own peril.

Is Italy’s dominance in Eurovision 2017 a done deal? Will Bulgaria and Sweden battle for the win? Get the best value by placing your Eurovision bets before everybody else with Pinnacle’s unbeatable Eurovision 2017 odds.

Odds subject to change

See the latest odds here
Despite having studied Conference Interpreting (MA), Dafni followed a career in financial trading and sports betting driven by her desire to understand how moneymaking works. Her articles shed light on the number one understanding she gained in her career, best summarized in one famous quote:

"Risk comes from not knowing what you are doing"
Warren Buffet (billionaire investor)

By Dafni Serdari

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