Pinnacle

What Are Blackjack Side Bets?Side bets are bonus bets placed on a round of Blackjack on outcomes beyond whether the player or dealer will win. The majority are staked at the start of the round before the cards have been dealt alongside regular bets and many have fixed odds that usually offer greater payouts than the simple 2:1 rewarded for beating the dealer.Play Blackjack at Pinnacle Casino

Play Blackjack

Side bets provide an exciting way to make Blackjack games more interesting whilst offering you a greater number of ways to win. So what are side bets, what side bets are available and are they worth it? Read on to find out.

Blackjack Side Bets Explained

Finding a niche market in betting can often lead to value. This can be anything from specialist knowledge of handball betting to extensive experience in betting on Japanese baseball. Providing you know more than the bookmaker, there is money to be made.  &lt;Bet on soccer at Pinnacle&gt; They also make for interesting and potentially profitable bets, as they can be a little more reliable

Soccer odds

A corner is one of the most inexplicably exciting events in soccer. Only around three per cent of them lead to a goal, but you can guarantee that the attacking team’s fans will roar their approval and encouragement if their team are awarded one. Read on to find out how you can benefit from betting on corners.

Corners betting in soccer: Value in a lesser-known market

Poisson Distribution is a mathematical concept for translating mean averages into a probability for variable outcomes across a distribution. For example, if we know Manchester City average 1.7 goals per game, so by putting the Poisson Distribution formula tells us that this average equates to Manchester City&nbsp;scoring 0 goals 18.3% of the time, 1 goal 31% of the time, 2 goals 26.4% of the time and 3 goals 15% of the time.

Bet on soccer at Pinnacle

Poisson Distribution: Predict the score in soccer betting

What is Expected Value?The amount a player can expect to win or lose if they were to place a bet on the same odds many times over, calculated through a simple equation multiplying your probability of winning with the amount you could win per bet, and subtracting the probability of losing multiplied by the amount lost per bet.A simple example of Expected Value (EV) put into practice -&nbsp;if you were

Bet Now

The Expected Value of a bet shows us how much we can expect to win (on average) per bet, and as such is the most valuable calculation a bettor can make when comparing bookmakers' odds. How can you calculate Expected Value in sports betting in order to predict your winnings? Read on to find out.

How to Calculate Expected Value

Patrick studied Chemistry at the University of Duisburg-Essen before professional life threw him into soccer. Currently, he is responsible for Goalimpact, a Start-Up that rates players objectively by only measuring their impact on the outcome of the final result. Goalimpact is a data metric platform that pairs his science background with his deep love of soccer.&nbsp;When he is not thinking objectively about soccer, he is supporting Borussia Dortmund subjectively on the Südtribüne.

Dr. Patrick May

Three things to note:

1) Usually, Goalimpact calculates the odds based on the Starting XIs. However, since these cannot be known with certainty a week before the match, for this series we will estimate the odds based on the top 18 currently available players in a squad. Since the best players don’t always play, this is actually still a good proxy.

2) Goalimpact only makes very small adjustments when looking at recent trends. Although we have trend data in our algorithm (the two-year value), the game probabilities are based on a player’s career average. Hence, recent performances will only contribute very little to game probabilities.&nbsp;

3) Coaches are not yet part of Goalimpact. Good coaches will outperform the Goalimpact algorithm. Bad coaches fail to meet expectations. Here, every reader and bettor should use their own judgment until Goalimpact develops Coachimpact this season.

This week, we will focus on the following games in Serie A:

Napoli vs. Bologna 
Atalanta vs. Roma 
Genoa vs. Sassuolo

<o:p></o:p>

<h3><a href="https://www.pinnacle.com/en/soccer/italy-serie-a/napoli-vs-bologna/1590563836/#all">GAME OF THE WEEK: NAPOLI VS. BOLOGNA</a></h3>

Before the season it would have been expected that Bologna and Napoli would finish in a reverse of their current rankings. Will Napoli at least win the points against Bologna at home?&nbsp;Are there any differences between the odds from Pinnacle and Goalimpact?

<o:p></o:p>

Team Goalimpacts

Napoli 162.5 - Bologna 159.3

Players With the Highest Goalimpacts

Matias Olivera - Napoli

Sam Beukema - Bologna

Odds Comparison

<table class="article-table">
	<tbody>
		<tr>
			<td>
			&nbsp;
			</td>
			<td>
			Home win
			</td>
			<td>
			Draw
			</td>
			<td>
			Away win
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			Goalimpact
			</td>
			<td>
			2.307
			</td>
			<td>
			3.267
			</td>
			<td>
			3.760
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			Pinnacle
			</td>
			<td>
			2.010
			</td>
			<td>
			3.780
			</td>
			<td>
			3.660
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			+/-
			</td>
			<td>
			+0.297
			</td>
			<td>
			-0.513
			</td>
			<td>
			+0.100
			</td>
		</tr>
	</tbody>
</table>

&nbsp;

xGoals

<table class="article-table">
	<tbody>
		<tr>
			<td>
			Goals scored
			</td>
			<td>
			Home
			</td>
			<td>
			Away
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			0
			</td>
			<td>
			30.9%
			</td>
			<td>
			42.7%
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			1
			</td>
			<td>
			36.3%
			</td>
			<td>
			36.3%
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			2
			</td>
			<td>
			21.3%
			</td>
			<td>
			15.5%
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			3
			</td>
			<td>
			8.3%
			</td>
			<td>
			4.4%
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			4
			</td>
			<td>
			2.5%
			</td>
			<td>
			0.9%
			</td>
		</tr>
	</tbody>
</table>

xGoals 

1.17 - 0.85

Most Likely Score 
1-0

<div class="articleV2 unordered-list">
<ul>
	<li><a href="/betting-resources/en/soccer/soccer-club-without-best-player/cml2b2lb9b6mwvh8" id="articleLink" style="color: #f50;" target="_blank">How important is a soccer club's best player?</a></li>
</ul>
</div>

<h3><a href="https://www.pinnacle.com/en/soccer/italy-serie-a/atalanta-bc-vs-as-roma/1590563857/#all">ATALANTA VS. AS ROMA</a></h3>

Since the fifth-place finisher this year is allowed to participate in the Champions League, this game is even more exciting. Only two points behind, Atalanta can close the gap to Daniele De Rossi's Roma squad with a strong performance here. What are the odds?

Odds Comparison

<table class="article-table">
	<tbody>
		<tr>
			<td>
			&nbsp;
			</td>
			<td>
			Home win
			</td>
			<td>
			Draw
			</td>
			<td>
			Away win
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			Goalimpact
			</td>
			<td>
			2.852
			</td>
			<td>
			3.242
			</td>
			<td>
			2.934
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			Pinnacle
			</td>
			<td>
			2.060
			</td>
			<td>
			3.540
			</td>
			<td>
			3.680
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			+/-
			</td>
			<td>
			+0.792
			</td>
			<td>
			-0.298
			</td>
			<td>
			-0.746
			</td>
		</tr>
	</tbody>
</table>

 
Most Likely Score 
1-0

<div class="articleV2 unordered-list">
<ul>
	<li><a href="/betting-resources/en/betting-strategy/goal-impact-how-to-bet-with-objective-player-ratings/pp82356mdjsbh3w9" id="articleLink" style="color: #f50;" target="_blank">Goalimpact - How to bet with objective Player Ratings </a></li>
</ul>
</div>

<h3><a href="https://www.pinnacle.com/en/soccer/italy-serie-a/genoa-vs-sassuolo/1590563840/#all">GENOA VS. SASSUOLO</a></h3>

Genoa have no big ambitions left for the season. On the other hand, Sassuolo are struggling for every point in the relegation battle. What does Goalimpact say about this matchup?

Odds Comparison

<table class="article-table">
	<tbody>
		<tr>
			<td>
			&nbsp;
			</td>
			<td>
			Home win
			</td>
			<td>
			Draw
			</td>
			<td>
			Away win
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			Goalimpact
			</td>
			<td>
			1.751
			</td>
			<td>
			3.815
			</td>
			<td>
			5.997
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			Pinnacle
			</td>
			<td>
			2.220
			</td>
			<td>
			3.480
			</td>
			<td>
			3.310
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			+/-
			</td>
			<td>
			-0.469
			</td>
			<td>
			+0.335
			</td>
			<td>
			+2.687
			</td>
		</tr>
	</tbody>
</table>

 
Most Likely Score

<div class="articleV2 unordered-list">1-0
<ul>
	<li><a href="/betting-resources/en/soccer/how-to-make-accurate-soccer-predictions/xux2kmey9jl8m8r9" id="articleLink" style="color: #f50;">How to make accurate soccer predictions</a></li>
</ul>
</div>

&nbsp;

This week we will focus on the following games in the Bundesliga:

Köln - Union Berlin

Bochum - Leverkusen

Bayern - Wolfsburg

<h3><a href="https://www.pinnacle.com/en/soccer/germany-bundesliga/fc-koln-vs-union-berlin/1590563804/#all">GAME OF THE WEEK: KÖLN&nbsp;VS. UNION BERLIN</a></h3>

Both teams are in deep trouble. It could be Köln’s last chance to close the gap to 16th place and safety. Union are only one point away from the relegation place too, so this game should hold a lot of emotional tension. What are the odds?

Team Goalimpacts

Köln 146.9 - Union 155.7

Players With the Highest Goalimpacts

Leart Shukri Paqarada - Köln 
Knoche - Union

&nbsp;

Odds Comparison

<table class="article-table">
	<tbody>
		<tr>
			<td>
			&nbsp;
			</td>
			<td>
			Home win
			</td>
			<td>
			Draw
			</td>
			<td>
			Away win
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			Goalimpact
			</td>
			<td>
			3.320
			</td>
			<td>
			3.266
			</td>
			<td>
			2.547
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			Pinnacle
			</td>
			<td>
			2.730
			</td>
			<td>
			3.440
			</td>
			<td>
			2.660
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			+/-
			</td>
			<td>
			+0.590
			</td>
			<td>
			-0.174
			</td>
			<td>
			-0.113
			</td>
		</tr>
	</tbody>
</table>

xGoals

<table class="article-table">
	<tbody>
		<tr>
			<td>
			Goals scored
			</td>
			<td>
			Home
			</td>
			<td>
			Away
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			0
			</td>
			<td>
			40.0%
			</td>
			<td>
			33.6%
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			1
			</td>
			<td>
			36.7%
			</td>
			<td>
			36.6%
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			2
			</td>
			<td>
			16.8%
			</td>
			<td>
			20.0%
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			3
			</td>
			<td>
			5.1%
			</td>
			<td>
			7.3%
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			4
			</td>
			<td>
			1.2%
			</td>
			<td>
			2.0%
			</td>
		</tr>
	</tbody>
</table>

xGoals

0.92 - 1.09

Most Likely Score 
0-1

<h3><a href="https://www.pinnacle.com/en/soccer/germany-bundesliga/borussia-monchengladbach-vs-union-berlin/1589566234/#all">BAYERN VS. WOLFSBURG</a></h3>

Both teams have no ambitious goals left for the season. Does that create the chance for Wolfsburg to gather some points in Munich?

Odds Comparison

<table class="article-table">
	<tbody>
		<tr>
			<td>
			&nbsp;
			</td>
			<td>
			Home win
			</td>
			<td>
			Draw
			</td>
			<td>
			Away win
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			Goalimpact
			</td>
			<td>
			1.637
			</td>
			<td>
			4.061
			</td>
			<td>
			6.994
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			Pinnacle
			</td>
			<td>
			1.361
			</td>
			<td>
			4.370
			</td>
			<td>
			6.640
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			+/-
			</td>
			<td>
			+0.276
			</td>
			<td>
			-0.309
			</td>
			<td>
			+0.354
			</td>
		</tr>
	</tbody>
</table>

Most Likely Score 
2-0

<h3><a href="https://www.pinnacle.com/en/soccer/germany-bundesliga/bochum-vs-bayer-leverkusen/1590563810/#all">BOCHUM VS. LEVERKUSEN</a></h3>

Bochum are trending positively, and these are important points in the last games against relegation. Now they face the invincible squad from Leverkusen. What does Goalimpact say about this matchup? 
 
Odds Comparison

<table class="article-table">
	<tbody>
		<tr>
			<td>
			&nbsp;
			</td>
			<td>
			Home win
			</td>
			<td>
			Draw
			</td>
			<td>
			Away win
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			Goalimpact
			</td>
			<td>
			6.769
			</td>
			<td>
			4.005
			</td>
			<td>
			1.660
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			Pinnacle
			</td>
			<td>
			3.960
			</td>
			<td>
			4.370
			</td>
			<td>
			1.787
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			+/-
			</td>
			<td>
			+2.809
			</td>
			<td>
			-0.365
			</td>
			<td>
			-0.127
			</td>
		</tr>
	</tbody>
</table>

Most Likely Score

0-2

You can make your picks on European soccer at <a href="https://www.pinnacle.com/en/soccer/leagues" target="_blank">Pinnacle.com</a>.

Patrick writes for Goalimpact and how clubs can utilize it here: <a href="https://goalimpact.substack.com/" target="_blank"> https://goalimpact.substack.com/</a>.

You can find Patrick on LinkedIn here:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.linkedin.com/in/drpatrickmay/">https://www.linkedin.com/in/drpatrickmay/</a>.

Latest soccer odds

How does Goalimpact's data model stack up alongside Pinnacle's Serie A and Bundesliga markets? Dr. Patrick May delves into all the data to help you make profitable predictions.

Goalimpact soccer predictions

The Goalimpact model rates players only by their influence on the scoreline. Based on this, Goalimpact can give probabilities for game and league outcomes, correcting for Home Field Advantage. But how does the model compare to Pinnacle's Bundesliga and Serie A markets throughout the season? Dr. Patrick May delves into all the data to help you make profitable predictions.