Manchester City host Liverpool in this week’s highlight fixture in the Premier League. A win for City will keep the pressure on Chelsea, while a win for Liverpool would make the battle for top four too close to call. Can either side pick up three valuable points on Sunday? Read on for some betting insight.
Is the title still up for grabs?
Another entertaining and action-packed Premier League campaign will come to a close in two months time, but is the most sought after prize already won? Chelsea might be ten points clear, but with some tough games left, teams like Manchester City and Tottenham Hotspur still have a chance.
Manchester City hasn’t done so well against top six rivals (P:6 W:2 D:1 L:3) but they've only lost once in all competitions this year (P:14 W10 D:3 L:1)
If the Citizens can beat top four rivals Liverpool on Sunday, it will keep their title hopes alive. The home side is the clear favourite at 1.961* and if they can rediscover their early season form, there is still value to be had at that price.
Liverpool might be just one point behind Manchester City on 55, but they’ve played one game more than their closest rivals. Liverpool will need a win against Pep Guardiola’s in-form side if they are to maintain their top four challenge - they are currently priced at 4.029*.
The main reason both Liverpool and Manchester City find themselves adrift from Chelsea is the problems they have at the back. Liverpool has conceded 35 goals this season, while Manchester City has conceded 29 - Comparing this to Chelsea and Tottenham (20) and Manchester United (22) highlights both teams’ defensive frailties.
Guardiola and Klopp won plenty of admirers earlier in the season for a free-flowing style of play that saw them score plenty of goals, but as the season has progressed, a lack of organisation at the back has become a major problem. It’s unlikely that either manager can perform a defensive makeover miracle before Sunday, so over 3 goals at 2.090* seems like the sensible bet to make.
Analysing the form book
Liverpool might unbeaten against the top six this season (P:9 W:5 D:4 L:0) but they have struggled to find any kind of form across all competitions in 2017 (P:14 W:4 D:4 L:6). Manchester City, on the other hand, hasn’t done so well against top six rivals (P:6 W:2 D:1 L:3) but they've only lost once in all competitions this year (P:14 W10 D:3 L:1).
In terms of the head-to-head record, Liverpool certainly has the edge - in their last ten games against each other, Liverpool has won five, Manchester City two and there have been three draws.
Sergio Aguero and Sadio Mane have grabbed the headlines for Manchester City and Liverpool this season - Aguero has scored 12 goals in 21 league appearances, while Mane has scored 12 and assisted 5 in 25. That said, it is the midfield areas that could prove to be the crucial area to analyse.
It’s unlikely that either manager can perform a defensive makeover miracle before Sunday, so over 3 goals at 2.090* seems like the sensible bet to make.
Both sides have plenty of creative players in midfield and it is the team who can limit their opposition that will come out on top. Jordan Henderson’s absence will be key and while Coutinho and Lallana will cause City problems, the home side will most likely have success in exploiting the wide areas.
Raheem Sterling and Leroy Sane have been a revelation for the Citizens this season. Sterling is enjoying his best ever season in the Premier League with six goals and five assists already and although Sane has just three goals and one assist, his debut season has certainly been a success - these two could be game winning players on Sunday.
What do the odds tell us?
The latest live odds for Manchester City vs. Liverpool are below, these will automatically update so you will always get up-to-the-minute odds:
The graphic below charts any market movement so you can see what’s happened to the odds:
Odds subject to change