- Event: UFC 292
- Date: August 19, 2023
- Venue: TD Garden (Boston)
Aljamain Sterling vs. Sean O’Malley: Tale of the Tape
|
Aljamain “Funk Master” Sterling |
Fighter |
Sean “Sugar” O’Malley |
|
34 |
Age |
28 |
|
170 cm |
Height |
180 cm |
|
61 kg |
Weight |
61 kg |
|
15-3 |
UFC record |
7-1 (1NC) |
|
23-3 |
Overall MMA record |
16-1 |
|
52% |
Striking accuracy |
60% |
|
Champion |
UFC ranking |
#2 |
Analyzing the Sterling vs. O’Malley odds
Sterling is the 1.395* favourite for this fight, with his odds equating to a 68.97% chance of victory. O’Malley is considered the 3.100* outsider, which translates to a 31.03% chance of winning.
Sterling vs. O’Malley: Where is the value?
Sterling has every right to claim he is the best bantamweight fighter in MMA history, but he often doesn’t get the respect he deserves. He has held the title since 2021, and three straight defences suggest he is a force to be reckoned with.
He is a better fighter overall than O’Malley, but the latter has the superior stand-up skills. O’Malley has won 11 fights via knockout, and he has the power to end the fight at any moment. However, he will struggle to stop Sterling from taking the fight to the ground, where the Jamaican excels.
Sterling will be wary of O’Malley’s power early on, but can get the job done as the fight wears on. With that in mind, Over 3.5 rounds appeals at 2.100*.
Zhang Weili vs. Amanda Lemos: Tale of the Tape
|
Zhang “Magnum” Weili |
Fighter |
Amanda Lemos |
|
34 |
Age |
36 |
|
163 cm |
Height |
163 cm |
|
52 kg |
Weight |
52 kg |
|
7-2 |
UFC record |
7-2 |
|
23-3 |
Overall MMA record |
13-2 |
|
47% |
Striking accuracy |
57% |
|
Champion |
UFC ranking |
#5 |
Analyzing the Zhang vs. Lemos odds
Zhang is the 1.316* favourite for her upcoming defence, equating to a 72.96% chance of winning. Lemos, who is known for her knockout power, is available at 3.550*, meaning a 27.04% chance of victory.
Zhang vs. Lemos: Where is the value?
After winning the Women’s Strawweight title in November, Zhang will look to make another statement in her upcoming outing. She previously held the belt until 2021 before losing to Rose Namajunas, but has since regained it, and will fancy her chances of retaining it this time around.
Zhang is known for her killer instinct, and 19 of her 23 wins have come via stoppage. All of those stoppages have come in under 2.5 rounds, and while Lemos certainly packs a punch herself, she has been stopped on two occasions.
With Zhang looking to lay down a marker in her second defence as champion, Under 3.5 rounds at 1.500*. looks like good value.
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