Inform your MMA predictions ahead of the Alexander Volkanovski vs. Yair Rodríguez and the Brandon Moreno vs. Alexandre Pantoja fights with insight, analysis, and odds from Pinnacle. Flyweight champion Brandon Moreno defends against Alexandre Pantoja. Will Moreno retain the belt, or will Pantoja become champion for the first time?
- Event: UFC 290
- Date: July 8, 2023
- Venue: T-Mobile Arena (Las Vegas, USA)
Alexander Volkanovski vs. Yair Rodríguez: Tale of the Tape
|
Alexander “The Great” Volkanovski |
Fighter |
Yair “El Pantera” Rodríguez |
|
34 |
Age |
30 |
|
168 cm |
Height |
180 cm |
|
65.6 kg |
Weight |
66 kg |
|
12-1 |
UFC record |
10-2-1 |
|
25-2 |
Overall MMA record |
15-3-0 (1 NC) |
|
56% |
Striking accuracy |
46% |
|
Champion |
UFC ranking |
Interim champion |
Volkanovski returns to featherweight after failing to become a two-weight champion when he lost to lightweight champion Islam Makhachev at UFC 284.
Rodríguez won the interim featherweight title by beating Josh Emmett on the same night that Volkanovski lost to Makhachev.
Analysing the Volkanovski vs. Rodríguez odds
Volkanovski is the 1.265* favourite, with his odds equating to an approximate 75.74% chance of victory. Rodríguez can be backed at 3.950*, which translates to a 24.26% chance of winning.
Volkanovski vs. Rodríguez: where is the value?
Volkanovski has never lost at featherweight - his two career defeats come at welterweight and lightweight - and it’s unlikely that will change against Rodríguez.
However, Rodríguez definitely represents a stern test, having gone the distance with former champion Max Holloway before losing on decision, so backing over 4.5 rounds at 1.833*could be worthwhile.
Brandon Moreno vs. Alexandre Pantoja: Tale of the Tape
|
Brandon “The Assassin Baby” Moreno |
Fighter |
Alexandre “The Cannibal” Pantoja |
|
29 |
Age |
33 |
|
170 cm |
Height |
165 cm |
|
57 kg |
Weight |
57 kg |
|
9-3-2 |
UFC record |
9-3 |
|
21-6-2 |
Overall MMA record |
25-5 |
|
40% |
Striking accuracy |
48% |
|
Champion |
UFC ranking |
#2 |
Moreno is making the first defence of his second stint as flyweight champion when he takes on Pantoja, who is fighting for a UFC title for the first time.
Analysing the Moreno vs. Pantoja odds
Moreno is the 1.505* favourite, with his odds equating to an approximate 64.04% chance of victory. Pantoja can be backed at 2.680*, which translates to a 35.96% chance of winning.
Moreno vs. Pantoja: where is the value?
Moreno should prove too much for challenger Pantoja, but he may have to rely on a decision. Of Moreno’s 29 fights, 13 have gone the distance, with five ending by knockout, and 11 via submission.
Pantoja has tasted defeat five times, and each of those have come by decision. Over 3.5 rounds is priced at 1.581*.
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