Since 1996, the European Championship Golden Boot award has been won by a player whose team lifted the trophy on only two occasions. However, the expanded format of this summer’s tournament means Europe’s most prolific goal scorers will play more games against smaller nations, giving to the likes of Thomas Muller and Cristiano Ronaldo a chance to rack up high numbers in the group stages.
Germany’s main striker was superb at the 2014 World Cup, netting five times and narrowly missing out on the Golden Boot award. Since the world champions are highly likely to reach the latter stages it is easy to see why Muller – supported by Mesut Ozil (18 assists this season) – is favourite to outscore his rivals.
However, Muller plays largely as a false nine under Joachim Lowe, dropping off to help link the play whilst Marco Reus overlaps him with runs in behind. This could mean that he is presented with fewer goalscoring opportunities than many expect, although his record of 31 goals in 70 international appearances speaks for itself.
Muller’s current Euro 2016 outright top goalscorer odds: 7.55*
Real Madrid’s talisman has a chequered history in international tournaments thanks largely to Portugal’s struggle to assert themselves in recent years. He scored just once at the World Cup 2010 and three times at Euro 2012, but will be desperate to leave his mark in France following Portugal’s failure to qualify for the World Cup in Brazil. This might be his last chance to make an impression on the international stage.
Even if Portugal fail to make it beyond the quarter-finals, Ronaldo could top the goalscoring charts from the first three games alone.
Portugal are outsiders for Euro 2016 (18.00*), but Ronaldo may score several in the group stages. Austria, Hungary, and Iceland all have weak defences that Ronaldo should be able to penetrate; even if they fail to make it beyond the quarter-finals Ronaldo could top the goalscoring charts from the first three games alone.
Ronaldo’s current Euro 2016 outright top goalscorer odds: 9.05*
On the back of a magnificent season at Atletico Madrid (27 goals, six assists) Antoine Griezmann will be full of confidence and ready to lead the line for a Karim Benzema-less France. The hosts are tournament favourites and with good reason, boasting an embarrassment of riches that should create numerous goalscoring chances for Griezmann.
His biggest barrier is Olivier Giroud, who Didier Deschamps may choose to field up-front. Griezmann’s intelligent movement and graceful passing make him an excellent linking midfielder, which could mean he is played in a deeper, more creative role that stifles his goalscoring potential. The 25-year-old is arguably the most in-form forward at the tournament and thus, whilst playing for the hosts and favourites, he is well worth a small wager.
Griezmann’s current Euro 2016 outright top goalscorer odds: 14.50*
Arsenal’s 29-year-old forward has netted 17 goals this season, including five in the Champions League. Recent friendlies against Germany and the Netherlands would suggest Deschamps sees Giroud as his main centre-forward, which is unsurprising given that he has scored four goals in his last three starts for France.
The hosts face Albania and Romania in Group A, two minnows that could be on the end of very heavy defeats in Marseille and Paris respectively. Giroud should be able to grab a couple of goals against these two sides, although it is difficult to imagine that he will not be outscored by his team-mate Griezmann.
Giroud’s current Euro 2016 outright top goalscorer odds: 16.10*
Poland are ranked 27th in the world and face a very challenging group in Germany, Ukraine, and Northern Ireland. Robert Lewandowski is, perhaps, the best striker in Europe but chances will be few and far between for the Bayern Munich star.
His record of 34 goals in 75 international matches is testament to his superb goalscoring ability, although he has only scored once in six games at major tournaments for Poland. With such short odds it might not be worth backing Lewandowski to win the award, particularly since this is a long tournament and Poland are unlikely to get out of the group stages.
Lewandowski’s current Euro 2016 outright top goalscorer odds: 14.09*
Belgium is not tipped to make it far this summer (9.59*) after their disappointing showing in Brazil, but Marc Wilmots’ side should not be underestimated; the talent in their side should see plenty of goalscoring opportunities arise for Romelu Lukaku – likely to start every game after Christian Benteke’s disappointing season in Liverpool.
Lukaku’s record of 18 goals for a side sat 11th in the Premier League is formidable, although question marks remain over whether Belgium – who like to play a short passing style of football – are suited to his physical playing style; he has only managed 12 goals in 43 games for his country, and scored just once at the World Cup in Brazil.
Lukaku’s current Euro 2016 outright top goalscorer odds: 17.61*
England have low expectations for this summer’s tournament (8.54*) but in fact possess one of the strongest squads. Raheem Sterling and Dele Alli will provide plenty of chances for Harry Kane, a striker who possesses one of the best strike rates in Europe (one goal every six shots).
What’s more, Tottenham’s young striker is a fearless, big game player likely to benefit from having so many Spurs players on the pitch around him. If England are to defy expectations this summer then Kane will almost certainly be the man driving them forward.
Kane’s current Euro 2016 outright top goalscorer odds: 21.11*
See the latest Euro 2016 odds, including Top Goal scorer, who will reach the semi-finals, over/under points and much more under the left-hand side menu Bet Options/Specials!
See the latest Euro 2016 odds, including Top Goal scorer, who will reach the semi-finals, over/under points and much more under the left-hand side menu Specials!