The Women's Singles event at Wimbledon 2021 promises to be yet another competitive Grand Slam tournament. Dan Weston examines the numerous contenders for the title.
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Wimbledon 2021 WTA predictions: Who are the favourites?
It seems like we always mention in our Grand Slam previews that the women’s tour is extremely competitive, and with 10 players below 20.00 in the outright market and a further 14 priced below 50.00, this year’s Wimbledon looks no different either.
Barty and Williams possess strong numbers this year on hard courts and excellent longer-term grass numbers as well.
Two players are in single-digit pricing - Serena Williams (6.000)* and Ashleigh Barty (7.500)*. However, Barty has had injury issues, retiring in her last two events (the Italian Open and the French Open) while Williams hasn’t won a tournament since Auckland in January 2020, which is a statistic that might surprise a few readers.
There are two other players with impressive longer-term grass numbers, possessing a combined service/return points won percentage on the surface of just below 110% in the last three years - Petra Kvitova and Angelique Kerber.
Wimbledon 2021 WTA predictions: Who are the contenders?
On the ‘Advantage Bettors’ podcast, we were in unison that Petra Kvitova should be a real threat to any player in the tournament and she’s the joint-third favourite at 11.000* along with Garbine Muguruza, who also has some decent longer-term grass numbers.
For those readers who think Angelique Kerber can roll back the years despite mediocre data on other surfaces this year, the 2018 Wimbledon winner is available at 46.000*
A number of younger players, who haven’t had an abundance of grass-court experience, are also priced below 20.00 in the outright market, including Iga Swiatek, Bianca Andreescu, Cori Gauff, and Elena Rybakina. Realistically, it is difficult to assess these players’ chances given their lack of previous grass activity, although they naturally retain plenty of upside given their positive career trajectory.
Wimbledon 2021 WTA predictions: Who are the outsiders?
Discussion on viable long-shots should focus on players with strong serves, players with good 2021 data on other surfaces, and young players with future upside. Karolina Muchova (34.000*) certainly fits the bill here, with the 24-year-old Czech winning over 63% of service points on hard/indoor courts this year. This is a very strong number indeed and she is not far from being the best on tour for that metric.
The likes of Ekaterina Alexandrova (56.000*), Jessica Pegula (56.000*), and Amanda Anisimova (76.000*) are other potential names who comply with the first two filters above, and the former two, in particular, tend to do their best work in quicker conditions, which they should be able to find at Wimbledon over the coming fortnight.
These four players are well worth keeping an eye on prior to round one, and in a tournament where many players are capable of beating each other, they could well reach the latter stages. Barbora Krejcikova’s win at Roland-Garros illustrated that there are numerous contenders for any women’s Grand Slam and it wouldn’t be a shock if we had another first-time winner at Wimbledon in a couple of weeks’ time.
You can check out Dan’s preview of the Men’s Singles tournament at this year’s Wimbledon.