The US Open Women’s Singles tournament promises to be an extremely competitive event, with many players capable of winning the title. Read on to inform your WTA US Open 2021 predictions.
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WTA US Open 2021 predictions: Who are the favourites?
It’s been said so many times that it is probably becoming something of a cliché now, but in recent times women’s Grand Slams have featured so many players capable of beating each other, and for the upcoming US Open there are truly around 30 players who can consider themselves as having a realistic chance of reaching the latter stages of the tournament at the very least.
There are two big differences between the Women's and the Men’s Singles tournaments - firstly, the women’s event is played via a best-of-three set format as opposed to best-of-five but also, while the men’s market is rather top-heavy with an odds-on favourite, this isn’t the case at all for the women’s market, with Ashleigh Barty (4.510*) the pre-tournament favourite at the time of writing.
Barty’s quality is undeniable. She has breezed through both Wimbledon and the Cincinnati Masters of late, after having some injury issues prior - although did shockingly lose to Sara Sorribes Tormo in round one at the Tokyo Olympics. However, she looks justified as the market favourite.
Naomi Osaka, who is the second-favourite at 6.020*, has won here twice including last year, and all four of her Slam titles have been won on hard court. Her upside is huge but it’s worth noting that she hasn’t got past the quarter-final stage at any event since February. It will take a big change in fortune for her in order for her to make the latter stages.
Those two players are the only players in single-digit pricing in the Outright market, with a plethora of players priced sub-50.00*. In fact, a count of the current market shows 26 players, all with a 2% minimum chance of winning the title (and often a much higher percentage).
WTA US Open 2021 predictions: Who are the outsiders?
Wading through this group is pretty tricky, and if we spoke about each one of them you’d be still reading this preview by the time the tournament started, but a few players to keep an eye on are as follows.
Barbora Krejcikova, who was discussed as an interesting outsider on our Advantage Bettors podcast this week, is priced at 19.860*. After winning the French Open earlier this year as an unseeded player, the Czech backed that up with good performances on both grass and hard court surfaces. She’s got strong hard court numbers this year and is very capable of doing well here.
Iga Swiatek (18.330*) is another player with upside. Her clay court performances haven’t quite been replicated on other surfaces so far but the world number eight is still just 20 years of age and could quite conceivably put a run together in New York.
WTA US Open 2021 predictions: How will Cori Gauff fare?
Another young player, Cori Gauff (19.060*) will have her backers and it’s easy to understand why with her upside. Across the last six months on hard court, she’s running at around a 102% combined service/return points won percentage, which makes her an above-average player but one with still plenty to find.
What her backers will be hoping for is that she’ll continue to show improvement, which is very possible at the age of just 17, and that she’ll be spurred on by the home support which she will inevitably receive in New York over the coming two weeks.
Gauff’s recent losses have all been against pretty competent opposition - players such as Naomi Osaka, Angelique Kerber, and eventual winner Barbora Krejcikova at the French Open - so, if the draw opens up for the young American, she could be a huge threat as the tournament develops.
You can also check out Dan’s preview of the Men’s Singles tournament at this year’s US Open.