Will Iga Swiatek reign supreme in Paris? Dan Weston previews the upcoming Women's Singles tournament from Roland-Garros.
Advantage Bettors: French Open 2022
Listen to the latest Advantage Bettors episode as three-time French Open winner Mats Wilander gives this inside track ahead of the 2022 tournament.
With such a competitive tournament winner market for the women’s French Open, this preview looks at how readers can filter out some players and come up with a shortlist for the title in Paris.
There are currently 30 players in the Pinnacle Outright market and all 30 are priced below 100.000* at the time of writing. In fact, 20 are priced below 50.000*, so there are expected to be numerous contenders for the trophy over the coming few weeks.
This is slightly problematic for bettors, particularly in advance of the draw, given that the field is, in theory, so competitive. Given this, drawing a line through a number of players looks to be a pretty worthwhile exercise in terms of trying to yield a shortlist of players who should have high expectations of success in the tournament.
French Open 2022 Women’s Singles: Who are the favourites?
One player who certainly wouldn’t have a line drawn through their name is Iga Swiatek. At the time of writing, the Polish player is on a 25-match unbeaten run, winning three WTA 1000 tournaments along the way, plus a WTA 500 tournament in Stuttgart. With this in mind, it’s perhaps unsurprising to see Swiatek at the top of the Outright market, priced up at 2.230* – a price rarely seen in advance of a grand slam since the era of Serena Williams’ dominance.
Swiatek is at 2.230* – a price rarely seen in advance of a grand slam.
The only other player in single-digit pricing is Simona Halep, at 8.110*. This makes logical sense given her clay pedigree, and also that she’s one of few players on tour, along with Swiatek and several others, to have shown a high level of performance this season on the surface. Halep’s Return Points Won percentage on clay this season of just over 47% is highly impressive, illustrating that she’s capable of putting consistent pressure on the serve of opposition players.
French Open 2022 Women’s Singles: A lot to prove on clay courts
A lot of other players at short prices have yet to impress on clay this season, with little or no match activity on the surface. This includes Serena Williams, Naomi Osaka, Garbine Muguruza, Anett Kontaveit, Marketa Vondrousova and last season’s winner Barbora Krejcikova, who hasn’t played a competitive match since February. It’s obviously difficult to predict the level of these players in advance of the event, but seven matches against high-quality opposition is clearly a tough task for players who haven’t had much game time of late.
French Open 2022 Women’s Singles: Who are the other contenders?
However, several players who have impressed on clay this season include Aryna Sabalenka (21.130*), who is currently in the quarter-finals of the Rome Masters, and reached the final in Stuttgart recently (losing to Swiatek but beating strong opposition on the way), and Ons Jabeur (23.170*), who is priced slightly bigger. The Tunisian player has really improved over the last year or so, and is also at the quarter-final stage in Rome.
At the time of writing, Jabeur is on a nine-match unbeaten run, defeating the likes of Halep and Belinda Bencic on that run, and she won the Madrid Open tournament on clay several weeks ago as well. At a career-high ranking of seven in the world, Jabeur should get a good seeding in Paris and represents a threat to some of the more illustrious names on tour.
The final player with good clay data this season is the aforementioned Bencic (51.130*). The Swiss player won in Charleston (beating Jabeur and Paula Badosa on the way to the title, before Jabeur got revenge in Madrid). Winning almost 64% of her service points this season makes her one of the best servers on clay on the tour – her consistency will be a valuable weapon during what will be a tough couple of weeks for all players.
You can also check out Dan’s preview of the Men’s Singles tournament at this year’s French Open.