Dec 18, 2018
Dec 18, 2018

Premier League preview: Wolves vs. Liverpool

Wolves vs. Liverpool odds

Inform your Wolves vs. Liverpool prediction

Wolves vs. Liverpool: Where is the value?

Premier League preview: Wolves vs. Liverpool

Our highlight Premier League fixture this weekend comes from Molineux Stadium as Wolves host high-flying Liverpool. Looking for value in the Wolves vs. Liverpool odds? Read on to inform your Wolves vs. Liverpool prediction.

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A close look at the Wolves vs. Liverpool odds

Even without home advantage, the 1X2 Odds make top of the table Liverpool heavy favourites at odds of 1.543*, to beat Wolves. The implied probability of a win for Jurgen Klopp’s side is around 65%.

The Over/Under Total is set at 2.5 which means the betting market is expecting goals with over 2.5 goals currently priced at 1.892.

Time: Friday, December 22, 18:45 UTC kick-off

Venue: Molineux Stadium

Wolves vs. Liverpool predicted lineups

Wolves predicted lineup

(3-4-3) Patricio; Doherty, Bennett, Coady, Boly, Jonny; Moutinho, Neves, Jota; Gibbs-White; Jimenez.

Wolves team news:

Diogo Jota picked up an injury against Bournemouth, but Wolves boss Nuno Espirito Santo is hoping the injury is nothing serious.

Liverpool predicted lineup

(4-3-3): Alisson; Clyne, Lovren, Van Dijk, Robertson; Milner, Keita, Fabinho; Mane, Salah, Firmino.

Liverpool team news:

Trent Alexander-Arnold remains sidelined with an ongoing ankle problem.

Joe Gomez and Joel Matip will both be out until late January with a fractured leg and broken collarbone, respectively.

Wolves vs. Liverpool expected goals stats

• Wolves expected goals per game: 1.37

• Wolves expected goals against per game: 0.88

• Wolves expected points per game: 1.70

• Liverpool expected goals per game: 2.03

• Liverpool expected goals against per game: 0.79

• Liverpool expected points per game: 2.18

Inform your Wolves vs. Liverpool prediction

Wolves head into the fixture with Liverpool in good form having beaten Bournemouth at the weekend. The victory means Nuno Espirito Santo’s side have now won their last three Premier League matches after going on a six match losing streak prior to this.

"Jurgen Klopp’s side have been extremely impressive this season, and far superior to Wolves, averaging 2.0 xG per game and conceding just 0.8 xGA"

Bournemouth fielded an attack which contained Joshua King, Jordan Ibe, Junior Stanislas and Ryan Fraser, but the real test will come trying to contain a Liverpool side who are very well-drilled, with each player knowing their job, and with a frontline of Salah, Firmino, and Mane, Wolves will have to be at their very best to gain a positive result.

According to expected points (which is calculated using expected goals), the Midlands club have been the fifth best team in the league this season, creating plenty of chances, and allowing few chances against them – so if they can maintain these figures you would expect them to continue to perform well and get positive results. Only the league’s current top four teams – Liverpool, Manchester City, Chelsea and Tottenham Hotspur – have conceded fewer goals than Wolves this season which further highlights their solid defensive stability.

Liverpool enter the match after a Xherdan Shaqiri double defeated Manchester United to keep the Reds at the top of the table. Jurgen Klopp’s side have been extremely impressive this season, and far superior to Wolves, averaging 2.0 xG per game and conceding just 0.80 xGA – they will be hard to beat throughout the campaign if they maintain this level of performance, and would be expected to beat Wolves despite not having home advantage.

The Reds win away at Bournemouth prior to defeating United was the 10th time Liverpool (under Klopp) have scored at least four goals in an away Premier League match, a statistic that had only occurred 60 times in the Premier League since Klopp took charge, which highlights how threatening they can be away from home as well as at Anfield.

The Merseyside club have been managing to score on average three goals from just 10 shots in recent matches thanks to the quality chances they are creating, and the probability is high that their attacking quartet will see plenty more at Molineux on Friday.

Wolves vs. Liverpool betting: Where is the value?

The obvious value here is to look for goals. Both sides like to play exciting football and possess many attack-minded players, so odds of 1.892* on over 2.5 goals looks a value bet.

Analysing the 1X2 odds: The Reds have been far superior to Wolves this season, dropping just six points this campaign. That is the form of potential champions, and a 1X2 bet on Liverpool at odds of 1.543* is a sensible bet.

For bettors looking to alternative markets, it is worth noting that the two sides have accumulated 49 cards between them in just 17 matches so far this season – working out an average of nearly three cards per game - so if bettors are looking for other options in the betting market then cards betting is certainly one to consider.

To make the most of our best value odds make sure to read more of Pinnacle’s expert betting advice. 

Odds subject to change

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