League leaders Chelsea travel across London to face West Ham in our highlight Premier League fixture this weekend. Looking for value in the West Ham vs. Chelsea odds? Read on to inform your West Ham vs. Chelsea prediction.
A close look at the West Ham vs. Chelsea odds
After a perfect start to the season, Chelsea come into the London derby as favourites. The Money Line odds give the Blues around a 65%* chance of an away win implied by the odds.
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Time: Saturday, September 23, 13:00 UTC kick-off
Venue: London Stadium
West Ham vs. Chelsea predicted lineups
West Ham predicted lineup
4-3-3: Fabianski, Zabaleta, Balbuena, Diop, Masuaku, Rice, Noble, Obiang, Yarmolenko, Felipe Anderson, Arnautovic.
West Ham team news:
Marko Arnautovic will be assessed following a knee injury picked up at Everton but should be fit to start.
Midfielder Jack Wilshere could face six weeks out after having ankle surgery so will not feature.
Andy Carroll, Winston Reid and Manuel Lanzini are all long term absentees.
Chelsea predicted lineup
4-3-3: Kepa, Azpilicueta, Rudiger, Luiz, Alonso, Jorginho, Kante, Kovacic, Pedro, Giroud, Hazard.
Chelsea team news:
Maurizio Sarri will rotate his squad for Thursday’s Europa League clash with PAOK Salonika and has decided to rest Eden Hazard, so the Blues should be at full strength for Sunday’s match.
West Ham vs. Chelsea expected goals stats
• West Ham expected goals per game: 1.03
• West Ham expected goals against per game: 1.97
• West Ham expected points per game: 0.89
• Chelsea expected goals per game: 1.83
• Chelsea expected goals against per game: 0.93
• Chelsea expected points per game: 2.05
Inform your West Ham vs. Chelsea prediction
West Ham recorded their first win of the season last weekend with a 3-1 victory at Everton, a match in which their new signings started to really show some promise.
The Hammers though were very fortunate to win according to xG, producing just 1.38 xGF compared to 1.64 xGF from Everton, but managed to score three goals, showing that Manuel Pellegrini's men were clinical in front of goal.
West ham produced a much better display largely thanks to adopting a 4-3-3 formation and the switch of tactics seemed a success for Pellegrini, with the new formation looking best suited to the Hammers playing style.
- Read: What is expected goals?
Marko Arnautovic picked up a knock in that match but is expected to be fit for the weekend, which will be a significant boost to their chances of getting a result. The Austrian forward seems to have added another dimension to his game since arriving from Stoke and Pellegrini's side have profited from Arnautovic adding a reliable end product to his game.
Chelsea, despite falling behind early on, easily beat an uninspiring Cardiff City, with Eden Hazard the key man, scoring a hat-trick in a 4-1 win.
Maurizio Sarri’s side have been fortunate compared to the rest of the ‘big six’ in that they have had a much easier start to the new season than their rivals, but they will be tested, when they travel across London this weekend.
‘Sarriball’ is starting to take shape amongst the Chelsea team and there is a big emphasis on possession. The Blues recorded a staggering 81% control of the ball away at Newcastle and their averages from last season (an increase of 14%) in possession compared to this time last year, show how the Italian’s style is being implemented.
Jorginho has been key to the new system, allowing Kante and Kovacic more space further up the pitch. The Italian has played more passes than any other player in the Premier League this campaign and based upon the stats, it is highly likely Chelsea will dominate the play at London Stadium on Sunday.
West Ham vs. Chelsea betting: Where is the value?
West Ham have lacked goals so far this season but can count themselves unfortunate in some games they have played.
The Hammers have talent, it is finding a successful way to implement that talent into a system that works consistently. The East London club don’t currently seem to have a real identity in the way they want to play football, but Sunday showed they are very capable of getting results.
When analysing the overs market, four of five West Ham games have gone over the 2.5 goal-mark, and their defence looks vulnerable both home and away, with no clean sheets so far this season.
Chelsea’s average total match goals this season is 3.6 per game, whilst West Ham’s is 3.2. With the amount of attacking talent on display, the trend of a high scoring encounter looks highly likely to continue at London Stadium on Sunday.
Chelsea are the joint top goalscorers in the Premier League alongside Manchester City and over 3 goals at odds of 1.943* could be potential value for bettors.
To make the most of our best value odds make sure to read more of Pinnacle’s expert Premier League betting advice