Are you ready for Udinese Calcio vs. AC Milan? Inform your Serie A bets with analysis and insights from Pinnacle.
Udinese Calcio vs. AC Milan
Who: Udinese Calcio vs. AC Milan
When: March 18, 2023
Where: Udine, Italy
AC Milan have had their eyes on Lazar Samardžić for a Summer transfer to bolster a weakening mid-field, and the Rossoneri management will get a close look on March 18.
Samardžić has scored four goals for Udinese Calcio this season, and the playmaker will get a chance to show off against his potential new home.
Udinese have had a hit-and-miss season thus far. Sitting in the middle of the Serie A table, the Friulian team could very quickly sink further, with few points between the middle and the bottom of the pack.
AC Milan are sitting in fourth place currently, but are still miles away from chasing down Serie A leaders Napoli. Rossoneri have enjoyed further European success, having pushed past Tottenham to move into the quarter-finals of the UEFA Champions League.
A look at the odds
AC Milan are strong favourites at 2.180*. Historically, Milan have won 48% of the time these two teams have met, and the last meeting was a 4-2 victory for AC Milan.
Udinese are hardly pushovers though. Pinnacle have them priced at 3.550* to claim victory. The odds see this game being a close affair with few goals. A finish of under 2.5 goals is priced at 1.847*.
With neither team scoring a particularly large number of goals in their last few outings, the No Goals market is enticing at 10.020*. A draw is currently priced at 3.480*.
Who will win?
While AC Milan have seen some success of late, and are sitting well at fourth place in Serie A, we can’t forget how weak their defence has been. It was only a little over a month ago when AC Milan conceded four goals in consecutive Serie A games.
Some argue the humiliation has spurred an improvement, and AC Milan did look defiant holding Tottenham to a draw to secure a quarter-finals place in the Champions League.
In that match, Tottenham were unable to get a single shot on target in the first half – however, the same could be said for AC Milan.
Udinese have only won a single game in six outings. AC Milan have lost three of their last four away league games, while Udinese haven’t been beaten playing away in their last two games.
We are likely looking at a low scoring affair, with the edge firmly in AC Milan’s favour. The defensive problems of late-January AC Milan shouldn’t reappear here, but Rossoneri haven’t exactly been pummelling goals either.
AC Milan with a 1-0 victory looks most promising, but we wouldn’t rule out the draw in this one.
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