Tottenham host reigning champions Manchester City in our highlight Premier League fixture this weekend. Looking for value in the Tottenham vs. Manchester City odds? Read on to inform your Tottenham vs. Manchester City prediction.
A close look at the Tottenham vs. Manchester City odds
The Money Line odds make Manchester City favourites, with the implied probability of a Manchester City win at nearly 55%.*
The over/under goals total is set at 3 which means the betting market is expecting goals with over 3 goals currently priced at 2.020*.
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Time: Monday, October 29, 20:00 UTC kick-off
Venue: Wembley Stadium
Tottenham vs. Manchester City predicted lineups
Tottenham predicted lineup
(4-2-3-1) Lloris; Trippier, Alderweireld, Sanchez, Davies; Dier, Winks; Son, Eriksen, Moura; Kane.
Tottenham team news:
Christian Eriksen and Mousa Dembele have returned from injury.
Dele Alli, Jan Vertonghen and Danny Rose remain sidelined.
Manchester City predicted lineup
(4-3-3) Ederson; Stones, Laporte, Kompany, Mendy; Fernandinho, D Silva, Bernardo; Mahrez, Sane, Aguero.
Manchester City team news:
Kevin De Bruyne could make his full return after recovering from his long-term injury.
İlkay Gündoğan is likely to miss out.
Tottenham vs. Manchester City expected goals stats
• Tottenham expected goals per game: 1.76
• Tottenham expected goals against per game: 1.13
• Tottenham expected points per game: 1.88
• Manchester City expected goals per game: 2.99
• Manchester City expected goals against per game: 0.47
• Manchester City expected points per game: 2.64
Inform your Tottenham vs. Manchester City prediction
Tottenham maintained their fine start to the Premier League season with victory over West Ham at the weekend and come into the match on a great run of victories. Mauricio Pochettino’s side have now secured seven wins from nine matches leaving them just two points adrift of Manchester City.
Despite their good form, one problem Spurs have encountered this year is their tactical approach to games. The North London side do not seem to have a consistent approach and have struggled to demonstrate a real style to their play that we have seen in recent years.
"City have been by far the most impressive side this season. Their expected goal difference is far superior to any other side and even outweighs their closest rivals Liverpool by some margin."
Grinding out results is not the way Pochettino’s men were playing in recent seasons but isn’t necessarily the worst quality to have. The persistent energy in the side, moving the ball quickly from defence seems to be missing, but with Christian Eriksen returning to full fitness this could be the boost the team needs.
Pochettino used a different formation in each of their first 6 games and it seems the Argentine manager is still undecided on exactly what his best team is. Injuries have played a part in this, but they will need to improve if they are going to take points from Manchester City.
So far this season, Spurs have created plenty of chances in matches with 16 big chances created, recording 48 shots on target and averaging 1.78 goals per match. Striker Harry Kane is currently averaging just 3.3 shots per game this campaign and is finding it hard to find the net, but it could just be a matter of time before the England captain is scoring on a consistent basis again if Spurs continue to create opportunities.
Manchester City were back to their best on Saturday running out 5-0 winners against Burnley to return to the top of the Premier League. It was Pep Guardiola’s side’s 23rd Premier League victory by a margin of five goals or more - 10 of those wins coming under the Spaniard.
Analysing the expected goals stats Manchester City have been by far the most impressive side this season, and it is no surprise that the champions are top of the league. Their expected goal difference is far superior to any other side and even outweighs their closest rivals Liverpool by some margin.
The Citizens are winning games emphatically, averaging a huge 2.89 goals per game, and it is hard to not see them repeating this kind of form and goal threat on Monday. It is also now five games, and over 500 minutes, since Pep Guardiola’s side conceded a league goal, and it seems the champions are starting to hit peak form.
This will be the exact response Guardiola will have wanted from his players before the visit to Tottenham and with all City’s star players performing well, and the return of Kevin De Bryune to full fitness, it is hard to not see further improvements from the champions.
Tottenham vs. Manchester City betting: Where is the value?
While Manchester City are justified 1X2 favourites, there is also possible value in alternative markets.
The Total Goals mark is reasonably high at three but the statistics show that this is justified, as games involving these two teams last season saw 11 goals scored in just three matches. Additionally, Manchester City have the highest xG of any team in the Premier League and they will look to attack and penetrate the Tottenham backline rather than defend at Wembley.
Bettors looking to alternative markets it is worth considering the fact that this is a top of the table clash and the strong atmosphere at Wembley could mean there is an increase in the number of cards shown. The two teams have seen 22 yellow cards between them so far this season - so if bettors are looking for alternative markets then cards betting is one to consider.