Apr 9, 2018
Apr 9, 2018

Premier League preview: Tottenham vs. Manchester City

Tottenham vs. Manchester City odds

Inform your Tottenham vs. Manchester City prediction

Analysing the Tottenham vs. Manchester City stats

Premier League preview: Tottenham vs. Manchester City

Manchester City face Tottenham this Saturday hoping to claim their second silverware at Wembley this season. Looking for value in the Tottenham vs. Manchester City odds? Read on to inform your Tottenham vs. Manchester City prediction.

A look at the Tottenham vs. Manchester City odds

Little separates the two in the odds, pointing to a game that could go either way on Saturday. The odds imply that Tottenham have a 39% chance of winning compared to Manchester City’s 35%, most likely due to home field advantage.

The odds also suggest there will be goals at Wembley, with over 2.5 goals priced at 1.636*.

Tottenham vs. Manchester City stats: What you need to know

Time: Saturday, April 14, 19:45 GMT

Venue: Wembley Stadium

  • Manchester City have scored at least two goals in 21 of their last 25 matches in the Premier League
  • Tottenham have won their last six Premier League matches
  • Manchester City have not lost back-to-back Premier League games this season
  • Tottenham have kept a clean sheet in their last four home matches in the Premier League

Team News:

Tottenham: Harry Kane returned to the starting lineup at the weekend after nearly a month sidelined due to an ankle injury. Harry Winks (ankle) will also miss the game.

Manchester City: Sergio Aguero (knee) returned last week after missing out for a month. Benjamin Mendy closes in on a first-team return, having been out since September due to a cruciate knee ligament injury.

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Inform your Tottenham vs. Manchester City prediction

It has been a blue period for Manchester City recently after what has been overall a very successful season.

Their away humiliation to Liverpool in the Champions League followed by their loss to local rivals Manchester United was the first time that Pep’s men had lost two games in a row all season.

Yet whilst their European loss has put a major dent in their chances of making a Champions League semi-final, it would be foolish to write City off.

On average, Manchester City have 66.4% of the ball in the Premier League.

Depending on how you look at it, they could also count themselves unlucky against Manchester United. A 3-2 loss after being 2-0 up sounds like a side who capitulated, particularly as it would have won them the title against their fiercest rivals.

Yet Manchester City’s expected goals tally stood at 3.42 to Manchester United’s 0.98. If it wasn’t for some clinical finishing from United, and how wasteful City were in the first half, City could be going to Wembley already crowned as champions.

Most believed that the last few weeks would be Tottenham’s biggest test of the Premier League season, as 24 goal man Harry Kane sat on the sidelines due to injury.

They seemed to be thin for alternative options up top, particularly after how disappointing Fernando Llorente has been since making the move to the capital in the summer.

Three wins without their star man, including an impressive 3-1 away win against London rivals Chelsea is a testament to how well Tottenham have reacted without their goalscorer. Creative midfielder Christian Eriksen has hit form in front of goal, scoring five in his last three games, meanwhile Dele Alli has notched two of his own.

A concern For Mauricio Pochettino may be the form of his number one. Only Petr Cech (6) has made more errors leading to goals than Hugo Lloris (5), with two coming in the last two weeks against Stoke and Chelsea.

Tottenham vs. Manchester City betting: Where is the value?

Whilst Manchester City have conceded the fewest goals in the Premier League this season, their recent efforts against Manchester United and Liverpool have highlighted holes in their defensive lines.

Their best defensive skill is their possession stats; on average they have 66.4% of the ball in the Premier League. With the ball, the need to defend diminishes.

When their defence is tested however, the last few weeks have shown how little protection it has. With Kane back in the side, Tottenham will fancy their chances of testing that defence on Saturday.

It is at the other end of the pitch that Manchester City can be so lethal however. The Citizens have scored at least two goals in nine of their last 11 Premier League games. Meanwhile, Tottenham have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last three games. The game most certainly points to goals, and over 2.75 odds of 1.800* could offer value.

Tottenham have been drawing at halftime in five of their last six Premier League matches and with City’s focus on the Champions League game in the week, could catch Pep’s men weaker than usual. Spurs first half handicap at 0 of 1.869* covers a first-half draw and if Tottenham can use their extra break to their advantage.

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