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Sep 12, 2018

Premier League preview: Tottenham Hotspur vs. Liverpool

Tottenham vs. Liverpool odds

Inform your Tottenham vs. Liverpool prediction

Tottenham vs. Liverpool betting: Where is the value?

Premier League preview: Tottenham Hotspur vs. Liverpool

Two teams with title aspirations meet on Saturday in our highlight fixture as Tottenham host Liverpool at Wembley Stadium. Looking for value in the Tottenham vs. Liverpool odds? Read on to inform your Tottenham vs. Liverpool prediction.

A close look at the Tottenham vs. Liverpool odds

After a fine start to the season, Liverpool are slight favourites with a 39.68% chance of taking all three points. The game sees a level handicap (0), meaning there is expected to be very little to choose between the two teams with an even match expected.

Time: Saturday, September 15 12:45 UTC kick-off

Venue: Wembley Stadium

Tottenham vs. Liverpool predicted lineups

Tottenham predicted lineup

3-5-2: Lloris; Alderweireld, D. Sanchez, Vertonghen; Trippier, Eriksen, Dier, Alli, Davies; Moura, Kane.

Tottenham team news:

Son Heung-min will be back in contention after by-passing military service for South Korea due to his country defeating Japan 2-1 in the Asian Games final.

Dele Alli will miss out due to a muscle injury which forced him to miss England's friendly win over Switzerland.

Hugo Lloris will also miss the match, with the goalkeeper failing to shrug off a thigh problem.

Moussa Sissoko and Erik Lamela are also doubts, both suffering with hamstring problems.

Liverpool predicted lineup

4-3-3: Alisson; Alexander Arnold, Joe Gomez, Virgil van Dijk, Robertson; Milner, Naby Keïta, Henderson; Sadio Mané, Salah, Firmino.

Liverpool team news:

Adam Lallana has confirmed that he will miss the clash against Tottenham.

Fabinho insists he is ready for his Liverpool debut should Jurgen Klopp decide to include the Brazilian.

Tottenham vs. Liverpool expected goals stats

• Tottenham expected goals per game: 1.83

• Tottenham expected goals against per game: 1.08

• Tottenham expected points per game: 1.89

• Liverpool expected goals per game: 2.43

• Liverpool expected goals against per game: 0.53

• Liverpool expected points per game: 2.45

Inform your Tottenham vs. Liverpool prediction

Tottenham started the season in good form, but last weekend’s defeat to Watford will have put a question mark next to Mauricio Pochettino’s side.

A great result away at Old Trafford left fans thinking what might be, but it shouldn’t be ignored, that Manchester United were the better team in the first half, creating far more chances than the visitors, only to be let down by poor finishing.

The expected goals statistics xG: (MUN 1.66 – 1.42 TOT) show that the result was very unfortunate for Jose Mourinho’s side, with Spurs having Lucas Moura and Harry Kane to thank for making the most of their opportunities.

Despite the setback against Watford, according to xG, it was Spurs who were unfortunate to lose the match - The Hornets only generated 0.50 xGF, compared to 0.72 xGF from the North London side. The defeat meant it was the first time that Tottenham have lost a match in which they had led in the Premier League since November 2016, ending a run of 48 league matches without defeat when taking the lead at any stage.

Tottenham have started the season well, but their underlying numbers haven’t been as impressive as you would expect, particularly defensively where they have 4.8 xGA so far this season.

Harry Kane was a key part of England’s success at the World Cup this summer, and his xG/90 has fallen from 0.74 last season to 0.46 after four games, signifying the need for more quality service from his teammates.

Aside from Chelsea, Liverpool are the only team from the ‘big-six’ to have won all of their matches in the Premier League so far this season, a start that sees the Reds sit on top of the table.

Klopp’s side have justifiably been victorious in all their games, and have been impressive in attack with 9.7 xGF and 2.7 xGA defensively.

Despite their great start, the Merseyside club are yet to beat Tottenham on the road under Jurgen Klopp (D2 L1), but this Liverpool side is vastly improved, currently scoring a goal every 40 minutes in the Premier League so far.

Salah, Mane and Firmino contributed 91 goals across all competitions last season, which saw Salah become a revelation in attack, scoring 32 Premier League goals. The Egyptian has yet to really take off so far this campaign, but 12 shots at goal with 7 on target suggest it is only a matter of time before the 26 year-old starts scoring consistently.

The Liverpool squad is progressively coming into its prime, and it is hard to make a case that any team other than Manchester City should be favourites to win the Premier League, but Liverpool so far look best placed.

Tottenham vs. Liverpool betting: Where is the value?

Liverpool have come a long way since the heavy 4-1 defeat at Wembley 11 months ago against Tottenham, and will come into the match full of confidence.

Only Joe Gomez of the back five who started against Spurs that day will be expected to feature, and the England defender will come into the match in fine form. Add to that, the arrival of Allison and Liverpool look well-equipped to take something from the game at Wembley.

Three clean sheets in four games for the Brazilian goalkeeper sees the 25 year-old with a shots-saved percentage of 90.9%, making 10 saves in the four games, conceding the least amount of goals in the Premier League this season.

The winners of the last three Premier League Golden Boots will feature (Kane and Salah) and this fixture has delivered 9 goals in the last two Premier League meetings.

A big Wembley pitch means the match should provide plenty of chances at both ends. Large pitches make it easier for possession-centric teams to keep the ball, spread play and drag their opponents out of position to create space, so odds of 1.840* for Over 2.5 and 3 goals looks a good bet.

With the game having a level Handicap (0), meaning there is expected to be no real difference in abilities between the two teams, a handicap bet on free-scoring Liverpool at odds of 1.847* also looks potential value for bettors.

To make the most of our best value odds make sure to read more of Pinnacle’s expert betting advice.

Odds subject to change

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