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Feb 13, 2018
Feb 13, 2018

Serie A preview: Torino vs. Juventus

Torino vs. Juventus odds

Inform your Torino vs. Juventus prediction

Analysing the Torino vs. Juventus stats

Serie A preview: Torino vs. Juventus

Torino play Juventus in the highlight fixture from Serie A this weekend. Looking for value in the Torino vs. Juventus odds? Read on to inform your Torino vs. Juventus prediction.

A close look at the Torino vs. Juventus odds

The odds suggest a Juventus win with the away side money line favourites to win the match. The odds suggest a close match with Torino 1.709* favourites on the +1 handicap.

Odds of 1.714* on Torino to score in the match suggest they could be the first Serie A side to score against Juventus in five games.

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Torino vs. Juventus stats: What you need to know

Time: Saturday 18th February 11:30 GMT kickoff

Venue: Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino

  • Juventus have the joint best defensive record in Serie A this season (15 goals conceded)
  • Second place Juve have won their last 8 matches
  • The reigning champions have won six of their last seven matches against Torino
  • Paulo Dybala (14 Serie A goals) is expected to return from a hamstring injury
  • Torino are undefeated in their last seven Serie A games
  • Iago Falque is Torino’s leading scorer with nine Serie A goals
  • Andrea Belotti has scored just five league goals in 18 games this season       

Inform your Torino vs. Juventus prediction

The 198th Derby Della Mole takes place in Turin this Sunday as Torino host Juventus. The two sides may share the same city but they have been worlds apart in terms of quality this season.

Title-chasing Juve have won their last 8 Serie A matches and share the league’s best defensive record as well as possessing Serie A’s best attack so far.

Torino are ninth in the table and have a similarly average record in both defence (tenth least goals conceded) and attack (ninth most goals scored). The Granata also finished in ninth place last season and have not progressed this year.

One positive for Torino is that they have replicated last season’s form without relying on the goals of Andrea Belotti. Belotti scored 26 in the 2016/17 season but has just five so far. Iago Falque has continued to contribute in attack with nine goals whilst the addition of M’baye Niang provides Coach Walter Mazarri with an unpredictable attacking option. If Belotti can rediscover his form then Torino’s attack will be at its most threatening.

Similarly, Juventus are not reliant on one player to score their goals. Paulo Dybala led the Juve goalscoring charts early on in the season and his injury threatened their title challenge. In his absence, the Bianconeri could call upon the class of Gonzalo Higuaín (five in his last three games) and their superior strength in depth.

Dybala is expected to return in time for the derby and provides Juventus with another formidable attacking weapon to add to their league-leading attack. With such quality, backed up by one of Europe’s strongest defences, Torino will need to cause a shock to take anything from the game.

Torino vs. Juventus: Where is the value?

The odds suggest an away win is the most likely result and, given the difference in quality between the two teams, this is surely the most likely outcome.

Juventus are amongst Europe’s best at both ends of the pitch. They will dominate the ball and this will allow them to make the most of their superior players.

One potential question mark over Juve is the chance of rotation following the first leg of their tough Champions League tie against Tottenham Hotspur. They do, however, have four recovery days to prepare for their league commitments following the draw against Spurs and have a strong squad to choose from.

Despite the disparity between the two sides, Torino cannot be written off. Whilst the likes of Belotti and Niang have been inconsistent this season they are explosive attackers on their day and are more than capable of creating opportunities on the counter. Whether they get those opportunities is questionable though; Juventus have not conceded in their last five Serie A games.

The return of Dybala will only add to Juve’s attacking form. Odds of 1.909* on Juventus to score over 1.5 goals will look especially good value if Dybala is fit to start.

Torino are unbeaten in their last seven matches but these games were played against teams outside the league’s top five. Given the form of Juventus, odds on the champions on the -1 handicap of 2.270* could prove profitable given the quality difference between the two sides.

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Odds subject to change

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