This week’s highlight fixture in Serie A comes from Turin, as Torino take on leaders Juventus in the 199th Derby Della Molle. Can Juventus maintain their near perfect league form? Will Torino become the first team to beat Juventus this season? Read on to inform your Torino vs. Juventus prediction.
Live Torino vs. Juventus odds
The 1x2 odds suggest this will be a comfortable contest for Juventus, as they come in as favourites with a 60% chance of securing a home win. The Over/Under total is set at 2 and 2.5, with the the odds marginally suggesting a high scoring contest with Over odds of 1.892*.
Date – Saturday December 15
Time – 18:30 UTC
Venue – Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Torino vs. Juventus predicted line-ups
Torino predicted line-up
3-5-2 – Sirigu (GK), Izzo, N’Koulou, Djidji, De Silvestri, Rincon, Meite, Ansaldi, Falque, Belotti, Zaza
Walter Mazzari has a fully fit squad at his disposal ahead of the derby. It will be intriguing to see how positive Mazzarri goes in terms of team selection as he may opt to play both Andrea Belotti and former Juventus man Simone Zaza up front.
Should he go for just the one striker, expect midfield playmaker Daniele Baselli to come into the team and Belotti to start up front alone. Chelsea loanee Ola Aina will also be pushing for a start at wing-back.
Juventus predicted line-up
4-3-3 – Szczesny (GK), Cancelo, Bonucci, Chiellini, Alex Sandro, Matuidi, Betancur, Pjanic, Dybala, Ronaldo, Mandzukic
Andrea Barzagli and Sami Khedira remain the only injury absentees for the Old Lady as they look to continue their impressive run. Fit again Alex Sandro should regain the left-back spot from Mattia De Sciglio.
Emre Can is ready to come into the centre of midfield if needed whilst Douglas Costa and Federico Bernardeschi will be pushing for starts out wide.
Torino vs. Juventus statistics
• Juventus are unbeaten in Serie A (P15, W14, D1)
• Torino’s last two victories against Juventus in Serie A were in 2015 and 1995.
• Torino have failed to score over 1.5 goals in nine of their last ten meetings against Juventus in all competitions.
• Since 2012/13, there has only been one draw in the last 14 meetings between the two sides (May 2017).
• Juventus have won eight of the last 10 League meetings against Torino (P10, W8, D1, L1)
• Torino have an xG per game of 1.13 and an xGA per game of 1.17
• Juventus have an xG per game of 1.99 and an xGA per game of 0.77
Inform your Torino vs. Juventus prediction
Torino will be hoping to defy the odds and recent history as they come up against their city rivals Juventus in the Derby Della Molle.
Named after the major landmark in the city of Turin, it’s the oldest derby in Italian football between two teams from the same city – and has been dominated by the black and white side of Turin.
Torino’s last two wins in Serie A against Juventus are 20 years apart, highlighting the struggles they’ve had in this fixture and this Saturday will be just as challenging.
They are coming up against a rampant Juventus side who overcame perhaps their toughest hurdle to date in Serie A last time out, comfortably defeating Inter Milan 1-0 at the Allianz Stadium to maintain their near perfect record league record and best ever start to a domestic campaign - with the draw against Genoa being the only blemish.
After Napoli’s 4-0 domination of Frosinone, they now share the accolade with Juventus for most goals (32) but Juventus’ water-tight defence has only conceded eight goals in 14 games – five goals less than Inter Milan who have the second best record.
Nevertheless, as mentioned last week, Juventus have been outperforming their expected goals forecasts both for and against which could give Torino hope they can make their most of a possible drop in efficiency by the Old Lady.
Torino themselves have been performing above expectations, despite their average start to the season, and occupy a Europa League spot in 6th place.
Captain Andrea Belotti and midfield playmaker Daniele Baselli have scored eight of Torino’s 19 goals between them in Serie A thus far with the remaining 11 goals split between eight other players who have chipped in no more than two goals each.
It’s been in the striking department where Torino have been struggling, with their talisman Belotti scoring just five in 15 league games and former Juventus striker Simone Zaza registering just one goal and one assist in 13 Serie A games this season.
Given Torino’s, recent lack of goals scored against Juventus, it could be their downfall, as they face a team who are expected to score at least two goals per game.
Torino’s last two wins in Serie A against Juventus are 20 years apart.
Goal scoring has come easily to Juve, with Cristiano Ronaldo (11) and Mario Madzuckic (eight) scoring as many goals between them as Torino have scored as team.
Torino will be under no illusions that this will be a very difficult fixture, but will be hoping their home support and the passion and intensity of a local derby could help them cause a major upset and end Juve’s unbeaten run.
Torino vs. Juventus: Where is the Value?
Bettors would be wise to consider the Handicap market as means of finding value given Juve’s recent history in this fixture and their goal scoring potential – Juventus at -1 is currently priced at 2.150*.
The statistics and odds also point towards Juventus scoring at least one goal and bettors can could opt for the Totals market and get Juventus Over 1.5 at 1.877*
Given Torino’s poor record of goal scoring in this fixture, bettors may find value with Torino Under 0.5 Totals priced at 2.070*.
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