Fourth-placed Sevilla host league leaders Barcelona in our highlight La Liga game this Saturday. Both teams were in midweek Europa League and Champions League action respectively. Sevilla defeated Lazio 2-0 at home, while Barcelona were held to a 0-0 draw away at Lyon. Is there value in the Sevilla vs. Barcelona odds? Read on to find out.
A close look at Sevilla vs. Barcelona odds
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The 1X2 odds make Barcelona the favourites, with the odds implying the away side have around a 51% chance of winning the game, compared to Sevilla who have roughly a 26% chance of winning.
Date: Saturday February 23
Time: 15:15 UTC kickoff
Venue: Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan Stadium
Sevilla vs. Barcelona statistics
- Sevilla expected goals for per game: 1.86
- Sevilla expected goals against per game: 1.27
- Sevilla expected points per game: 1.70
- Barcelona expected goals for per game: 2.27
- Barcelona expected goals against per game: 1.25
- Barcelona expected points per game: 1.90
Sevilla Barcelona predicted lineups
Sevilla predicted lineup
3-1-4-2: Vaclik; Gomez, Klaer, Wober; Amadou; Navas, Banega, Promes, Vazquez; Silva, Ben Yedder
Barcelona predicted lineup
4-3-3: ter Stegen; Semedo, Pique, Lenglet, Alba; Roberto, Busquets, Rakitic; Messi, Suarez, Dembele
Inform your Sevilla vs Barcelona prediction
Saturday’s game between two of the oldest sides in La Liga, comes just days after both sides were attending to their European duties.
On Wednesday night, Sevilla beat Lazio 2-0 in their Europa League Round of 32 first leg – with goals from Wissam Yedder and Pablo Sarabia.
Meanwhile, Barcelona were surprisingly held to a 0-0 draw away to Lyon in the Champions League.
Second on gameweek 16 (the midway point of the season), just three points off the top of the table, Sevilla have experienced what has almost become an annual post-winter break dip in form – provided they’re progressing in European, which this season they are.
In fact, not once in the past four La Liga campaigns have Sevilla achieved a better PPG average in the second half of the season.
Currently sitting in fourth place, 17 points off leaders Barcelona, Sevilla had a PPG average of 1.93 for their first 16 games – but have a PPG average of just 0.75 in the eight games since.
In fact, if the La Liga table only accounted for the last six gameweeks. Sevilla would be in the relegation zone, sitting 18th with just one win in six matches – with five defeats.
Compared to their own incredibly high standards, Barcelona are experiencing their own poor run – having won just once in their last five games in all competitions, drawing four.
Rather unusually, Sevilla and Barca have faced each other four times already this season – with Saturday’s game being the third fixture between the two teams in a little over a month
However, when looking at La Liga, their form is almost impeccable.
Barcelona have won eight of their last ten league games – drawing just twice – and haven’t lost a La Liga game since a 4-3 home defeat to Real Betis back in November.
Rather unusually, Sevilla and Barca have faced each other four times already this season – with Saturday’s game being the third fixture between the two teams in a little over a month.
Barcelona have won three of the four games, scoring 12 goals – with Sevilla winning one having scored six goals.
Back in mid-August, the season-opener saw an Ousmane Dembele goal 12 minutes from time give Barca a 2-1 victory in the Spanish Super Cup, while the reverse La Liga meeting in late October saw Barca again run out the previous victors – with goals from Philippe Coutinho, Lionel Messi, Luis Suarez, and Ivan Rakitic helping them to a 4-2 win.
Drawing against each other in the Copa del Rey quarter finals in late January, goals from Pablo Sarabia and Wissam Yedder saw Sevilla win the first leg 2-0.
However, a brace from Coutinho helped Barca rally to a 6-1 victory in the return leg in the Nou Camp – winning the two-legged affair 6-3 on aggregate.
With both teams still juggling European football at varying levels, recent seasons have proved that Barca are much better at handling the strain that competing midweek can have on league form.
With both Madrid clubs struggling to capitalize on Barca’s recent draws and sustain any sort of serious title challenge, Barca will see Saturday’s game as another chance to march on to what seems like an inevitable second La Liga title in a row.
For Sevilla, their recent form will come as a serious worry, as a loss could see them slip out of the La Liga European qualification places altogether.
They are expected to go far in the Europa League once more, but if their poor form continues past this weekend, then winning the cup competition could be their best and perhaps only chance of qualifying for Europe next season.
Sevilla vs. Barcelona: Where is the value?
Generally a high scoring contest, there has been 18 goals in the four games between the sides already this season - an average of 4.5 per game.
As a result, bettors might be tempted by the Over 3 in the Total Goals market – which currently stands at 1.854*.
While given Sevilla retched recent form, the Handicap market can also be a potential avenue for value betting, with Sevilla +0.5 priced at 1.970*.