The Serie A season is now underway. After several interesting results at the weekend, two of the main title contenders meet at the Stadio Olimpico this weekend. Who will gain the early season advantage out of Roma and Inter Milan? Read on for some expert betting insight.
The first round of Serie A fixtures for this season went the way that the majority of bettors would have expected. The top five in the outright Serie A betting all won their first game of the season for the first time since 1985/86. However, at least one of those five teams will lose their 100% record on Saturday as Roma host Inter Milan.
Live Roma vs. Inter Milan odds
Roma vs. Inter Milan betting: Transfer activity
The ability to invest in new acquisitions and make improvements to a squad is seen as a crucial part of modern soccer. However, being able to hold onto players can have a major impact on how a team will perform in a new season.
Roma have been one of the most consistent sides in Serie A but despite three second-placed finishes in the last four season, they haven’t won a league title since 2001.
Roma have lost three players who many would regard as their best performers from last season during this transfer window. Wojciech Szczęsny didn’t make his loan deal permanent and joined Juventus, Mohammed Salah made the most assists (11) and scored the second-highest number of goals (15) for I Giallorossi but has left for Liverpool and one of the key members of Roma’s formidable defence, Antonio Rudiger, now plays for Chelsea.
In contrast, Inter Milan managed to hold off interest from Manchester United for winger Ivan Perisic while their leading goalscorer from last season, Mauro Icardi, seems to have put controversy behind him and commited his future to I Nerazzurri.
Inter Milan have also outspent Saturday’s opponents with big money moves for Matias Vevino, Milan Skriniar and Dalbert. Roma have brought in the experienced Aleksandar Kolarov but their recruitment seems to be on squad players rather than those who will regularly feature in the starting XI.
The return of Luciano Spalletti
In addition to the three points up for grabs on Saturday, Luciano Spalletti’s return to his former club adds another element of intensity to this weekend’s highlight fixture in Serie A.
Overall performance in the league is mirrored in the two sides head-to-head results - in the last 15 meetings, Roma has won eight and Inter Milan have won just three.
Last season brought an end to Spalletti’s second spell in charge at Roma. In his most recent tenure, Spaletti took charge of 75 games, won 50, drew 11 and lost 14. Although a 66.67 win percentage is impressive, a lack of silverware and a public falling out with cult hero Francesco Totti meant many fans were glad to see the back of Spaletti.
Spaletti hit the ground running with a 3-0 over Fiorentina last weekend and his creativity and ability to coach teams to keep hold of possession will help Inter Milan build on their hard-working approach from last season.
Consistency vs. Past success
Although Inter Milan was previously seen as the dominant force in Italian soccer, they have struggled to compete in the league in recent years. Roma have been one of the most consistent sides in Serie A but despite three second-placed finishes in the last four season, they haven’t won a league title since 2001.
Overall performance in the league is mirrored in the two sides head-to-head results. In the last 15 meetings, Roma has won eight and Inter Milan have won just three. Interestingly, Inter hasn’t won at the Stadio Olimpico since 2008 so home field advantage could be crucial for Eusebio Di Francesco.
Roma vs. Inter Milan odds: Where is the value?
As the odds suggest, this match is a tough one to call. Inter Milan’s odds are perhaps slightly inflated due to having such a poor record at the Stadio Olimpico but the draw may offer some value. Bettors may also want to look at Over 2.5 and 3 goals which is currently priced 1.877*.
Saturday’s match looks like set to be charged with emotion. Both sides were fairly disciplined in terms of the number of bookings and red cards they were given last season - Inter Milan picked up 1.95 bookings per match while Roma were given 1.66 bookings per match - but betting on cards is an alternative option that should be considered.