Oct 27, 2017
Oct 27, 2017

Serie A preview: AC Milan vs. Juventus

Live Inter Milan vs. AC Milan odds

Allegri’s defensive dismay

Milan's missing marksman

Serie A preview: AC Milan vs. Juventus

Two of Italy’s most prestigious clubs – AC Milan and Juventus meet in an intriguing encounter at the San Siro on Saturday. Allegri’s Juventus are looking to keep up with Napoli at the top of Serie A while the Rossoneri will be looking for momentum after a difficult start to the season. More importantly, is there value to be found in the AC Milan vs. Juventus odds at Pinnacle? Read on for some insight.

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AC Milan vs. Juventus betting: Superpowers rekindling or dwindling?

After the noughties of world-beating soccer from the Rossoneri culminating in a Champions League triumph in 2007, the future looked bright for AC Milan.

In the six years since winning their 18th and final title, 10 managers have walked through the home dressing room doors as Milan manager, but have failed to win their 19th title.

It is easy to identify the downfalls of one of Italy’s most prestigious clubs. A staple in Italian soccer is their ability to prolong veteran players’ careers. Milan’s last title-winning squad included Andrea Pirlo (32), Christian Abbiati and Gennaro Gattuso (33), Massimo Ambrosini and Mark van Bommel (34), Alessandro Nesta and Clarence Seedorf (35) and even Filippo Inzaghi at 37.

Succession planning is critical at title-winning clubs. Once those players did finally bow out, the next crop of world-beaters were left in the cold.

AC Milan have kept just one clean sheet in their last five Seria A games and have already conceded 14 in just 10.

Couple this with financial fair play hitting Milan hard (forcing the sales of Kaka, Thiago Silva and Zlatan Ibrahimovic for half of their worth) and masking these tribulations with players with little playing time left (Beckham and Ronaldinho), and it seemed as though the Milan era of dominance was over.

With new investment into the club, it does feel as though AC Milan are finally building for the future. Investments in Frack Kessie and Hakan Calhanoglu combined with chances for youth prospects in Gianluigi Donnarumma and Patrick Cutrone point to a plan to build players who if do decide to move on will have resell value. For now, they are players who dramatically improve Milan’s starting lineup.

AC Milan vs. Juventus: Allegri’s defensive dismay

One of Milan’s biggest coups this summer did not only look to strengthen their back line but leave a hole in a rivals.

The purchase of Leonardo Bonnucci from Juventus was a surprise. The Italian defender had created a partnership with Chiellini (and in specific games Barzagli) that many saw to be the best in the world.

Last season, The Old Lady conceded just 27 goals in Serie A. In fact, in the same season they only scored 77 goals; Napoli in third scored 94. It was their defensive solidity that won them the title.

This season, the hole left has not been filled. Juventus have failed to keep a clean sheet on the road this season and have conceded six goals in their last three away games. For a side built on defensive solidarity, it is no wonder that Juventus currently sit in fourth; three points off current leaders Napoli.

Despite Juventus’ issues replacing Bonnuci, the centre-back has struggled with life in Milan.

Silva has shown his class in the Europa League however, scoring four goals in three, but is yet to transfer that form in the league.

AC Milan have kept just one clean sheet in their last five Seria A games and have already conceded 14 in just 10. There have also been murmurs of unrest between the ex-Juventus man and defensive partner Mateo Musacchio.

Bonnuci will be missing Saturday’s game through suspension, meaning that Milan themselves will need to look to also fill a Bonnucci-shaped hole, similarly to how Juventus have failed to do so far this season. Both sides have struggled at the back, so goals could be on the cards in the AC Milan vs. Juventus betting.

AC Milan vs. Juventus betting: Milan’s missing marksman

Whilst AC Milan have been investing smartly in potential, prospect Andre Silva has struggled to settle in Italy since his €38million move from Porto.

Milan’s new number 9 has failed to score in the league this season and speculations of a move away from the San Siro have already began emerging. 

He has shown his class in the Europa League however, scoring four goals in three, but is yet to transfer that form in the league. 

Juventus have failed to keep a clean sheet away this season and have conceded six in their last three away games.

Without Silva yet hitting form in the league, goalscoring options have been limited for Vincenzo Montella, who is already under pressure after winning just one of their last five in the league.

Without a clear focal point in attack (Nikola Kalinic offering a reputable but modest three goals so far this term), Montella has even called upon 19-year-old Patrick Cutrone, who himself has scored two goals in the league. 

Milan’s lack of a clear focal point up top may dent their chances on Saturday of taking advantage of a Juventus side that is there for the taking, particularly in comparison to recent seasons where The Old Lady has won the league at a canter. 

AC Milan vs. Juventus betting: Where is the value?

Despite their win against relegation-placed SPAL last time out, Allegri admits himself that their current performances will not be enough this Saturday: “Play like that and we lose to Milan.”

Yet Milan’s believed chances on Saturday seem to be strangely undeterred by this and go into the game as relatively heavy underdogs.

Whilst this month has been less than lucrative for Rossoneri, they have stopped their recent winless run and could look to send a message to the rest of the league this Saturday.

Milan’s +0.5 handicap odds of 1.909* may show value if you believe that the underdogs can begin their push towards the top end of the table.

Based on the two defences this season, goals could be on the cards. Particularly with Paulo Dybala breaking his goalless run against SPAL last time out. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.020* and with two leaky defences coupled with Bonnuci’s suspension, could offer value.

There has been a red card in the last two meetings between the two and a game in which both teams need to win to stay in touch with the top of the table could call for another fiery affair.

Cards betting could offer value in a game known for its high-octane action, and knowledge in the market may aid you in finding where exactly that value lies.

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