Real Madrid play Real Sociedad this weekend in the highlight fixture from La Liga. Looking for value in the Real Madrid vs. Real Sociedad odds? Read on to inform your Real Madrid vs. Real Sociedad prediction.
A close look at the Real Madrid vs. Real Sociedad odds
The odds are forecasting a high scoring win for Real Madrid with the home side very strong money line favourites to win the match whilst over 4 goals to be scored is at 1.714*.
Real Sociedad are not expected to cause Madrid too many problems with the Basque side +1.5 handicap out at 2.420*.
Real Madrid vs. Real Sociedad stats: What you need to know
Time: Saturday 17th February 15:15 GMT kickoff
Venue: Santiago Bernabeu
- Real Madrid have only the 7th best La Liga home record this season (6 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses)
- The home side have underscored their expected points by a league-high 7.30 this season.
- Real have won their last six matches against Sociedad
- Real Sociedad’s 5-0 win over Deportivo was the first in their last five games
- Sociedad have scored 41 goals from 33.43 expected goals
- The away side have conceded 40 goals from 30.53 goals against
Inform your Real Madrid vs. Real Sociedad prediction
Both Real Madrid and Real Sociedad have suffered disappointing campaigns so far with neither side reaching the heights of last season. Reigning La Liga champions Madrid are in an unfamiliar 4th place whilst Sociedad have fallen from 6th to 14th.
Interestingly, the sides’ struggles have been caused through underperforming at one end of the pitch.
Real have been poor in front of goal this season underscoring their expected goals by a La Liga high 6.5. This poor finishing has been the main contributor to Real collecting more than seven points less than their expected points.
In contrast, Sociedad have performed well in front of goal. They have 6.5 more goals than their expected total. Willian Jose has been particularly impressive with 11 goals in his 22 appearances so far this season.
It is Sociedad’s defence that has let them down. Goalkeeper Gerónimo Rulli has conceded almost 9.47 than his expected goals against, contributing to Sociedad having the third worst defensive record in La Liga.
Unlike Real’s surprising inability to score, Sociedad’s defensive issues seem to be due to an underlying problem rather than poor fortune or a blip. Last season also conceded far more than their expected goals against whilst Real scored over 100 goals.
Real Madrid vs. Real Sociedad: Where is the value?
The odds suggest a home win is the most likely result and given Sociedad’s defensive problems that outcome seems likely. This is especially true if Madrid have finally shaken off their perplexing inability to convert chances into goals.
Cristiano Ronaldo and co found some form in front of goal during their last three games. They have outscored their expected goals in each of these fixtures and they are likely to take advantage of the apparent flaws in Sociedad’s defence and goalkeeping.
A big win at the Bernabeu could be on the cards as Madrid look to kick-start their season. Real are available at 1.735* on the -1.5 handicap and this could offer value if the game goes as expected.
To make the most of our best value odds make sure to read more of Pinnacle’s expert betting advice.