Napoli play Crotone in this weekend’s highlight Serie A match. Looking for value in the Napoli vs. Crotone odds? Read on to inform your Napoli vs. Crotone prediction.
The best serie a news
Lineups, stats and previewsFollow Pinnacle
A close look at the Napoli vs. Crotone odds
The moneyline odds imply the home side have around a 65% chance of winning his game.
Napoli vs. Crotone stats: What you need to know
Time: Sunday May 13, 19:45 kickoff
Venue: Stadio San Paolo
Napoli: Maurizio Sarri has a full squad to select from.
Crotone: Ante Budimir and Ahmad Benali are unavailable.
- Napoli’s Serie A home record: 13 wins, three draws, two losses
- Crotone away in Serie A: three wins, two draws, thirteen losses
- Napoli possess Serie A’s second-best defensive record
- The visitors concede an average of over two goals a game away from home
- Crotone are one of five teams who could be relegated to Serie B on Sunday
Inform your Napoli vs. Crotone prediction
Three match days ago Napoli were just a point behind Juventus in the race for the Scudetto. A surprise loss to Fiorentina ended their title hopes setting up a meaningless game for them to end the season.
In contrast Crotone, their visitors on the final day, have everything to play for. They will need to produce the best performance of their season to avoid a defeat which would send them back to Serie B.
The odds are stacked against Crotone. They have won just eleven points away from home all season, conceding 39 goals in the process. Napoli possess a formidable home record having lost just two games in Serie A this season.
The chances of Crotone leaving the San Paolo with a win are slim but a draw may be enough to keep them if up Spal fail to secure a point against Torino.
In their favour there is nothing on the line for Napoli. Maurizio Sarri agreed a new contract this week and will hope to end the season on a high but many of his player’s thoughts will have turned to the World Cup and potential summer transfers.
Crotone will need this to have an impact on Napoli’s performance to have a realistic chance of securing the win they need. The difference in quality between the two sides is too great for the Calabrians to realistically hope to pull off a shock win under normal circumstances.
Napoli vs. Crotone: Where is the value?
The relegation candidates will need to keep this game tight to secure a positive result. A high-scoring game would suit the home team so Crotone will need to replicate the display that secured them a 1-1 draw against Juventus.
Under 3.75 goals is available at 1.606* and should offer value if Crotone can defend effectively. They are unlikely to score many goals against the strong defence of Napoli so will need to defend well to stay in the game.
Equally, given Crotone’s need to secure a result it could be sensible to back them on the +1.75 handicap 1.806*. Napoli may not play to their full capability and substitute key players early. This would be advantageous to the away side who have everything to play for.
To make the most of our best value odds make sure to read more of Pinnacle’s expert betting advice.