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Mar 6, 2018
Mar 6, 2018

Premier League preview: Manchester United vs. Liverpool

Manchester United vs. Liverpool odds

Inform your Manchester United vs. Liverpool prediction

Analysing the Manchester United vs. Liverpool stats

Premier League preview: Manchester United vs. Liverpool

Manchester United face Liverpool in our highlight fixture this Saturday, with the clubs being separated by just two points in the Premier League. Looking for value in the Manchester United vs. Liverpool odds? Read on to inform your Manchester United vs. Liverpool prediction.

A look at the Manchester United vs. Liverpool odds

The odds point to a game in the balance at Old Trafford, with the home side just slight favourites on the money line (their odds suggest they have a 36% chance of winning compared to Liverpool’s 35%) most likely due to home advantage:

Whilst a considerably high-scoring game is unlikely based on the odds (Over three goals at 2.639*), they do point to goals nonetheless, with over two goals priced at 1.454*.

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Manchester United vs. Liverpool stats: What you need to know

Time: Saturday March 10, 12:30 GMT kickoff

Venue: Old Trafford

  • Manchester United have won 12 of their last 15 home matches in the Premier League.
  • Liverpool have won eight of their last 10 matches in the Premier League.
  • Liverpool have scored at least two goals in 11 of their last 12 matches in the Premier League.
  • Mohamed Salah has scored eight in his last seven appearances.
  • Manchester United have an expected points to actual points differential of -12.34, the highest in the league.

Inform your Manchester United vs. Liverpool prediction

If it wasn’t for the exploits of Manchester United’s neighbours, then we could be seeing this Saturday’s fixture as a title decider going into the final run-in of the season.

Instead, it is a chance for both Liverpool and Manchester United to solidify their positions in the top four and cement a Champions League spot for next season.

Yet Liverpool will need to overcome a Champions League fixture before averting their gaze towards Saturday’s fixture, with Liverpool hosting Porto at Anfield; albeit with a healthy 5-0 aggregate lead.

The game will see the most imperious defence at home come up against the most domineering attack away from home in the Premier League.

No side has conceded fewer goals than Manchester United (6) at home in the Premier League this season. Alternatively, no side has scored more than Liverpool (34) away from home.

In fact, United have only conceded more than once at home twice this season; against Burnley and Manchester City. Liverpool have only failed to score away from home twice during this campaign; against Swansea and once again, Manchester City.

Saturday’s game does look to be developing into an attack vs. defence exercise; can Liverpool’s exciting forward prowess break down Manchester United’s defence - which at times has recently looked shaky – and then beat the ever-reliable David De Gea.

Manchester United vs. Liverpool: Where is the value?

The odds are pointing to a game that could swing either way on Saturday, and despite rocky performances from United, I find it difficult to argue with that.

The game does feel as though it would be Liverpool’s inability to break down United rather than United’s ability to attack, so a draw could be on the cards.

Betting on the Liverpool +0.5 handicap priced at 1.523* may be the smart bet, as it would cover both the Liverpool win if they are able to break down United’s defence, and the draw if United stand strong yet offer little else going forward.

Based on Liverpool’s clear dominance going forward and United’s impressive record the other way, the handicap may offer some respite for those who expect to see one-way traffic on Saturday.

If it is value that you are looking for, Liverpool’s over 1.25 goals is priced at 2.060*, which for a side who have scored two or more goals in 11 of their last 12 Premier League games isn’t unlikely.

The Red Devils have lost two of their last five in the Premier League and there are rumours of unrest behind closed doors, so Liverpool may take advantage of that at Old Trafford this Saturday.

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Odds subject to change

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