Dec 10, 2018
Dec 10, 2018

Premier League preview: Liverpool vs. Manchester United

Liverpool vs. Manchester United odds

Inform your Liverpool vs. Manchester United prediction

Liverpool vs. Manchester United: Where is the value?

Premier League preview: Liverpool vs. Manchester United

Liverpool vs. Manchester United is always one of the highlight fixtures in a Premier League season, and the two teams meet this Sunday in an interesting clash. Looking for value in the Liverpool vs. Manchester United odds? Read on to inform your Liverpool vs. Manchester United prediction.

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A close look at the Liverpool vs. Manchester United odds

With home advantage, the 1X2 Odds make Liverpool heavy favourites at odds of 1.578*, to beat old rivals Manchester United. The implied probability of a win for Jurgen Klopp’s side is around 65%.*

The Over/Under Total is set at 2.5 & 3 which means the betting market is expecting goals with over 2.5 & 3 Goals currently priced at 1.867*.

Time: Sunday, December 16, 16:00 UTC kick-off

Venue: Anfield

Liverpool vs. Manchester United predicted lineups

Liverpool predicted lineup

(4-3-3): Alisson; Alexander-Arnold, Matip, Van Dijk, Robertson; Milner, Keita, Henderson; Mane, Salah, Firmino.

Liverpool team news:

Liverpool will be without Joe Gomez as the England international is a long term absentee.

Manchester United predicted

(4-2-3-1)De Gea; Dalot, Smalling, Baily, Shaw; Pogba, Herrera; Lingard, Rashford, Martial; Lukaku.

Manchester United team news:

Alexis Sanchez is a long term absentee, while Anthony Martial and Chris Smalling are doubtful, but should be fit to start.

Manchester United vs. Arsenal expected goals stats

• Liverpool expected goals per game: 2.00

• Liverpool expected goals against per game: 0.80

• Liverpool expected points per game: 2.15

• Manchester United expected goals per game: 1.69

• Manchester United expected goals against per game: 1.51

• Manchester United expected points per game: 1.45

Inform your Liverpool vs. Manchester United prediction

Liverpool head into the fixture with Manchester United having never looked so dominant over their rivals in a league campaign. The Reds have not beaten United in the league since 2014, but the two sides are now far different from four years back.

On Saturday, Jurgen Kloop’s side were in outstanding form, defeating Bournemouth convincingly by four goals to nil. The victory means the club have now not only achieved their best start to a Premier League season, but also the fourth-best opening 16 games streak by any English top flight team ever.

"Manchester United have conceded a staggering 26 goals in the Premier League so far this season, and have kept just two clean sheets in that period."

What has been most impressive about Liverpool this term is how exceptional they have been in defence, conceding just six goals in 16 games. The Reds are yet to concede more than a single goal in a game, and Saturday's 4-0 win over Bournemouth was their 10th clean sheet this season – which is highly impressive statistics – helped by summer signing Alisson – who has the best save percentage rate in the Premier League (85.7%).

With home advantage, Anfield represents a fortress for Liverpool at present, with Cardiff the only team to find the net against The Reds since October. Cardiff’s goal was the first Liverpool had conceded at Anfield since February, and ended a run of 918 minutes without conceding a single goal.

Last season’s Golden Boot winner Mo Salah is up and running and currently shares the Premier League’s top-scorer spot. The Egyptian’s hat-trick against Bournemouth at the weekend took his Premier League goal tally to 12 for the season and Manchester United will need to nullify the Liverpool danger man if they are to come away with a positive result.

Manchester United secured three points for the first time in four matches on Saturday, as they defeated Fulham with ease at Old Trafford. The London club, defensively have been the worst team in the league this season and are currently bottom of the table, but it was an exciting attacking display from Jose Mourinho’s side that will see them enter the match in high spirits.

Defensively against higher level opposition is the worry, the Reds have conceded a staggering 26 goals in the Premier League so far this season, and have kept just two clean sheets in that period – the kind of figures you would expect from a mid-table side. United have also already played some of the weaker teams in the league such as Burnley, Newcastle, Southampton, and Brighton – which means there is a high probability that Mourinho will adopt a safety first approach this weekend.

Analysing the expected goals stats from the weekend, 3.10 is the Red Devils highest Xg this season, which highlights that it was a great attacking performance. The game last season at Anfield was a poor match, with nothing really happening and it became a non-event. However, it is likely with the way both teams have been performing this season that we will see more drama and chances this time around.

Manchester United vs. Arsenal betting: Where is the value?

Despite Manchester United’s impressive victory over Fulham, Liverpool are still heavy favourites in the 1X2 betting market at 1.578 to defeat their close rivals, but with the tactics Jose Mourinho will likely deploy, his defensive approach at Anfield could mean a +1 handicap bet on Manchester United at odds of 1.877* represents value.

The Total Goals mark is fairly high at 2.5 and 3 largely due to Liverpool averaging 2.13 goals per game and Manchester United conceding on average 1.63 goals per game, but recent history suggests games between these two teams at Anfield don’t produce an abundance of goals, with both sides finding the net just three times in the last three meetings, so odds of 2.030* on Under 2.5 and 3 Goals could be a sensible bet.

For bettors looking to alternative markets there have only been over 1.5 goals scored at half-time in 19% of games this season involving Liverpool with the average percentage of matches where there have been over 1.5 goals at half-time in Premier League being 38%, and with Jose Mourinho likely setting Manchester United up to be compact, there is a high probability that there is no more than one goal in the first half.

To make the most of our best value odds make sure to read more of Pinnacle’s expert betting advice. 

Odds subject to change

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