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Oct 3, 2018
Oct 3, 2018

Premier League preview: Liverpool vs. Manchester City

Liverpool vs. Manchester City odds

Inform your Liverpool vs. Manchester City prediction

Liverpool vs. Manchester City betting: Where is the value?

Premier League preview: Liverpool vs. Manchester City

Liverpool welcome reigning champions Manchester City to Anfield in our highlight Premier League fixture this weekend. Looking for value in the Liverpool vs. Manchester City odds? Read on to inform your Liverpool vs. Manchester City prediction.

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A close look at the Liverpool vs. Manchester City odds

The moneyline odds make this a very even game with neither side the clear favourite to win the match.

The over/under total is set at 3 with over 3 goals priced at 2.080* which implies there are expected to be goals.

Time: Sunday, October 7, 15:30 UTC kick-off

Venue: Anfield

Liverpool vs Manchester City Predicted lineups

Liverpool predicted lineup

4-3-3: Alisson; Alexander-Arnold, Gomez, Van Dijk, Robertson; Milner, Wijnaldum, Henderson; Salah, Firmino, Mane.

Liverpool team news

Jurgen Klopp has no new injury concerns from the game at Chelsea.

Defender Virgil van Dijk has now fully recovered from a rib issue so Liverpool will be at full strength for the visit of Manchester City.

Manchester City predicted lineup

4-4-3: Ederson; Walker, Kompany, Otamendi, Laporte; Fernandinho, Gundogan, Silva; Sane, Sterling, Aguero.

Manchester City team news

Pep Guardiola is well-known for his unpredictable team selections, and it is likely he will think creatively again against Liverpool.

Benjamin Mendy remains sidelined and cover left-back Fabian Delph is also expected to miss the clash.

Liverpool vs. Manchester City match facts

• Liverpool are undefeated in their last 24 home matches (Premier League).

• Man City have been winning at both half time and full time in 7 of their last 9 away matches (Premier League).

• Liverpool have been winning at both half time and full time in 8 of their last 9 home matches (Premier League).

• Liverpool are undefeated in their last 24 home matches (Premier League).

• Both Liverpool and Manchester City have scored in every game so far in the Premier League whilst also scoring the first goal in (86%) of their matches.

• Liverpool and Manchester City played each other 5 times last season accumulating 21 goals between them – an average of 4.2 goals per match.

Liverpool vs. Manchester City expected goals stats

  • Liverpool expected goals for per game: 2.31
  • Liverpool Expected goals against per game: 0.69
  • Liverpool expected goal difference: 2.39
  • Manchester City expected goals for per game: 3.04
  • Manchester City expected goals against per game: 0.51
  • Manchester City expected goal difference: 2.67

Inform your Liverpool vs. Manchester City prediction

Both sides come into the fixture with 19 points from 7 matches but Manchester City have the edge in terms of goal difference. The two sides met 5 times last season accumulating 21 goals between them – an average of 4.2 goals per match – whilst between the two sides this campaign they have accumulated 36 goals.

Liverpool have arguably been the best-attacking side in Europe this season, averaging 2.31 xGF per game across the Premier League and Champions League – whilst Manchester City are averaging 3.4 total match goals in the Premier League – so the probability is high that there will be plenty of chances for both sides at Anfield.

Both Liverpool and Manchester City have scored in every game so far in the Premier League whilst also scoring the first goal in (86%) of their matches so bettors should expect a heated and fast start on Saturday.

Some criticism has come in for Mo Salah as he is not near the top of the Premier League goalscoring charts but the Egyptian striker does rank first in the league for expected goals with 5.34, ahead of Manchester City striker Sergio Aguero who sits on 4.28 which shows it could only be a matter of time before the goals begin to flow.

Last weekend Manchester City had an easy victory over weaker opposition in Brighton, who never really threatened Pep Guardiola's side, and according to xG it was a very fair result.

Liverpool secured a point at Stamford Bridge in what was a much tougher task. The game had chances at either end but eventually finished in a fair result according to expected goals with the points being shared.

Liverpool vs. Manchester City: Where is the value?

Bettors should note that Manchester City have not won at Anfield since 2003, so logically there will be a sense of doubt among the City players heading into the game. Liverpool have shown what they can do when they put the power of home advantage to good use and are undefeated in their last 24 home matches in the Premier League, so a 0 handicap bet on the Reds at odds of 1.833* could be of interest to bettors.

At Anfield last season, Liverpool shocked Pep Guardiola's side by coming out of the blocks fast with a high-pressing game which left Manchester City shocked and unable to implement themselves and their style on the match and the opening exchanges in the match this time around could prove to be crucial to the outcome.

Both sides will be looking to get on top early so expect a fast start. This could also leave both teams open defensively in the process. Over 1.25 goals to be scored in the first half can be backed at 2.100* and this looks like potential value to bettors.

With the attacking talent available to both managers and the history of high-scoring encounters when these two sides meet this is likely to be a match that sees goals. Over 3 goals to be scored in the game is available at 2.060* and this looks a good bet considering the tactics favoured by both teams.

To make the most of our best value odds make sure to read more of Pinnacle’s expert betting advice. 

Odds subject to change

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