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Aug 29, 2018
Aug 29, 2018

Premier League preview: Leicester City vs. Liverpool

Leicester City vs. Liverpool odds

Inform your Leicester City vs. Liverpool prediction

Premier League preview: Leicester City vs. Liverpool

Liverpool have made a perfect start to the new Premier League campaign scoring seven goals without conceding but face a challenging trip to Leicester in our highlight fixture this week. Looking for value in the Leicester City vs. Liverpool odds? Read on to inform your Leicester City vs. Liverpool prediction.

A close look at the Leicester City vs. Liverpool odds

Despite being away from home the Money Line odds make Liverpool clear favourite to win the match, giving The Reds a 68.78% chance to take all three points.

Time: Saturday September 1 12:45 UTC kick-off

Venue: King Power Stadium

Leicester City vs. Liverpool Predicted lineups

Leicester City predicted lineup

4-2-3-1: Schmeichel, Chilwell, Morgan, Maguire, Mendy, Ndidi, Pereira, Amartey, Gray, Maddison, Iheanacho.

Leicester City team news

Kelechi Iheanacho took the place of the suspended Jamie Vardy against Southampton last weekend and is expected to keep his place. Elsewhere, Claude Puel’s side are likely to remain unchanged.

Liverpool predicted lineup

4-3-3: Alisson, Alexander-Arnold, Gomez, van Dijk, Robertson, Milner, Wijnaldum, Keita, Salah, Firmino, Mane.

Liverpool team news

Jurgen Klopp is expected to name an unchanged side from the victory against Brighton. Jordan Henderson is potentially pushing for a start after three appearances off the bench so far this season, with Georginio Wijnaldum set to miss out if Henderson is selected.

Leicester City vs. Liverpool expected goals stats

  • Leicester City expected goals for per game: 2.84
  • Leicester City expected goals against per game: 0.44
  • Leicester City expected goal difference: 2.72
  • Liverpool expected goals for per game: 0.81
  • Liverpool expected goals against per game: 1.01
  • Liverpool expected goal difference: 1.11

Inform your Leicester City vs. Liverpool prediction

Whilst free-flowing in attack, it has been Liverpool’s backline that has impressed the most this season. The Reds have kept 11 clean sheets in the Premier League in 18 games since Virgil van Dijk's debut in January 2018, more than any other side in that period.

With the addition of Brazilian number one Allison in the summer, Liverpool’s xGA of 1.32 is currently the lowest in the league, with Watford the second best at 2.27. Although it’s still early in the season, it appears the Brazilian stopper could just be the missing piece to Jurgen Klopp’s jigsaw.

Since their defeat at Wembley last season to Tottenham, no team has conceded fewer Premier League goals (22) and shots on target (70), or enjoyed more clean-sheets (15) than The Reds and the addition of the 25 year-old goalkeeper will only make them stronger away from home this term.

The Reds averaged over two goals per game on the road last season – and although very early in the season, they sit top of the actual and expected goals table.

Klopp’s men didn’t perform at their best against Crystal Palace and Brighton after thrashing West Ham on the opening day, but The Reds didn’t need to be to break down Brighton (with xG figures of 1.72 vs. 0.78) in a 1-0 win at Anfield.

Leicester will come into the match on a two game winning streak after securing victories against Wolves and Southampton. But despite the positive results, The Foxes can count themselves a little lucky to have gained six points.

Southampton enjoyed 62% of the possession in the first half against Claude Puel’s side, and allowing a repeat of this against a team as deadly in attack as Liverpool could prove costly.

The figures from Leicester’s victory at Southampton shows that a draw would have been a much fairer result (with 0.76 xG they only bested their opponents by 0.05), whilst their victory against Wolves also did not give a precise reflection of the match. The Foxes achieved just 0.20 xG over the course of the match, racking up just 6 shots in the process (compared to their opponent’s 1.08 xG and 11 shots

Leicester City vs. Liverpool: Where is the value?

Claude Puel has introduced a lot of young players with a focus on potential at Leicester this season, with eight players aged 25 or under starting against Southampton on Saturday being evidence of this. The French manager will however need these players performing to a high-level right away if they are to take anything from the game against Jurgen Klopp’s side.

Mohamed Salah was the difference for Liverpool at the weekend as the Egyptian clinically finished a chance that many others wouldn’t. Last season's top scorer, now has 29 goals to his name in 29 appearances at Anfield and it looks likely there will be many more to come.

Liverpool’s starting 11 are very well drilled and each player knows their job. Add to this the frontline of Salah, Firmino, and Mane and Liverpool should have a little too much firepower for Leicester.

The Money Line odds of 1.438* are maybe a little short to attract smaller stake bettors but Over 2.5 and 3 is available at 1.925* and that looks a solid bet.

Just 42% of Leicester's home games last season featured over 2.5 goals, and this has been factored into the market, but watching the Foxes so far this season it is evident that this could change. Add to that, The Reds averaged over two goals per game on the road last season – and although very early in the season, Liverpool sit top of the actual and expected goals table.

To make the most of our best value odds make sure to read more of Pinnacle’s expert betting advice.

Odds subject to change

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