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Jul 3, 2020

La Liga Predictions

This week's La Liga predictions

La Liga stats

Athletic Club Bilbao vs. Real Madrid predictions

Villarreal CF vs. Barcelona predictions

La Liga Predictions

Inform your La Liga predictions ahead of this week's fixtures with insight from Pinnacle's odds alongside team news and analysis.

Atletico Madrid vs. Mallorca predictions

Atletico Madrid

Draw

Mallorca

74.11%

18.26%

7.63%

Atletico are predicted to extend their current unbeaten streak to 12 matches at the expense of relegation-battling Mallorca. Diego Simeone’s side have suffered just one defeat in 16 league fixtures at the Wanda Metropolitano and only Bilbao have conceded less home goals. Of Atletico’s last ten league victories, six were settled by a solitary goal.

By contrast, Mallorca sport La Liga’s worst away record, having garnered the fewest points (five), most defeats (13) and joint-most goals conceded (36) on their travels. They failed to score in all but one of their last ten league defeats and have beaten Atletico only once in their last seven attempts.

Bet: Atletico Madrid vs. Mallorca odds

Celta Vigo vs. Real Betis predictions

Celta Vigo

Draw

Real Betis

44.16%

27.48%

28.36%

Vigo are favoured to record what would be a valuable win at home to Betis. The hosts presently sit in 17th but are now five points above the relegation spots, meaning they will require a maximum of nine points from their last five games to secure their place in Spain’s top flight next season. Vigo collected ten points from their last five home games, conceding only four goals in the process.

Betis will be desperate to improve upon their miserable away form and enter this fixture on the back of nine away matches that have failed to produce a win and managed a lone clean sheet while amassing a mere four points. Both teams scored in eight of the last ten meetings between these two sides.

Bet: Celta Vigo vs. Real Betis odds

Real Valladolid CF vs. Alaves predictions

Real Valladolid CF

Draw

Alaves

35.74%

35.35%

28.91%

Valladolid are narrowly favoured to inflict a fifth successive defeat on Alaves in this lower mid-table clash. The hosts have not been particularly impressive as of late either and netted just twice while collecting four points from their last five matches. They have been involved in a league-high ten home draws this campaign.

Alaves’ losing streak was started by a 6-0 defeat to Vigo and they have scored just one goal in three games since then. Their 16 away fixtures thus far amassed just nine points and they have kept only two clean sheets on their travels. However, they are unbeaten against Valladolid in six matches.

Bet: Real Valladolid CF vs. Alaves odds

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Granada CF vs. Valencia predictions

Granada CF

Draw

Valencia

32.82%

29.51%

37.67%

Valencia’s first match since the sacking of manager Albert Celades brought defeat at the hands of Bilbao, but the market offers them a slight edge to take the three points against Granada. The visitors lost four of their last five games while failing to score in any of the defeats and have conceded the most goals out of the current top half.

Granada’s victory at Alaves curtailed a four-match winless streak, although they still amassed only seven points from their last five home games. This match presents them the opportunity to record back-to-back wins for only the fourth time this season, although they have suffered the most defeats out of the top half.

Bet: Granada CF vs. Valencia odds

Athletic Club Bilbao vs. Real Madrid predictions

Athletic Club Bilbao

Draw

Real Madrid

18.35%

25.92%

55.73%

Real Madrid’s victory against Getafe opened up a four-point lead on Barcelona to hand them a huge advantage in the La Liga title race and they are expected to cement their position with a seventh successive win versus Bilbao. Madrid have the best away record in the division, having recorded the most wins (nine) while conceding the fewest goals (11) on the road.

Bilbao appear to have firmly recovered from a ten-match winless run between December and February and only Barcelona defeated them in their last eight matches. However, they are currently overperforming against their expected points and goals conceded by among the largest margins in the league, indicating they could be due for another downturn in form.

Bet: Athletic Club Bilbao vs. Real Madrid odds

Espanyol vs. Leganes predictions

Espanyol

Draw

Leganes

34.70%

31.33%

33.97%

The odds can barely separate Espanyol and Leganes for a relegation six-pointer featuring the bottom two. Espanyol have the division’s worst home record, incurring the fewest wins (two) and most goals conceded (28) alongside the fewest points (11) from their 16 home matches. They have scored more than one goal in only two home matches this year.

Leganes are now winless in six games that produced just two points and three goals and have netted the fewest goals (24) in La Liga this season. Of their last ten league defeats, five were by a margin of at least two goals. The last six meetings between these two sides did not result in a single draw.

Bet: Espanyol vs. Leganes odds

Osasuna vs. Getafe predictions

Osasuna

Draw

Getafe

32.58%

31.31%

36.11%

Getafe are narrowly favoured to spoil Osasuna’s opportunity to enjoy a fourth successive win. The visitors have struggled for form since the league restarted and a run of two victories in ten games has culminated in them slipping out of the top four. Their recent 2-1 victory over Sociedad was the first time in ten wins that they had not kept a clean sheet in the process.

Despite their recent strong form, Osasuna still only took six points from their last five home games and conceded a massive 16 goals in their last four home defeats. Similarly to Getafe, they kept a clean sheet in five of their last six league victories, although they also failed to score in four of their last five defeats.

Bet: Osasuna vs. Getafe odds

Villarreal CF vs. Barcelona predictions

Villarreal CF

Draw

Barcelona

22.03%

24.24%

53.73%

It has been a week to forget for Barcelona, who surrendered their position at the top of La Liga amidst two disappointing draws and growing reports of player discontent. Despite this, they are still expected to defeat Villarreal and earn what would be only their second away win in five matches on the road.

Meanwhile, Villarreal have been in thoroughly impressive form, earning five wins in six games to launch an unlikely bid for the top four. They collected ten points from their last five home matches and only Barcelona and Real Madrid have scored more home goals this season. The last five meetings between these two sides witnessed 21 goals.

Bet: Villarreal CF vs. Barcelona odds

Levante UD vs. Real Sociedad predictions

Levante UD

Draw

Real Sociedad

32.35%

27.39%

40.36%

Sociedad curtailed four successive defeats with a win against Espanyol and they are expected to earn another away to Levante. The visitors collected a mere three points from their last six away matches, scoring just four goals while failing to keep a clean sheet in the process. They have been involved in a league-low five draws this campaign.

Meanwhile, appropriately for a team sat in mid-table, Levante have produced mixed form recently, amassing eight points from their last five games. They have lost only four of 16 league matches at the Estadi Ciutat de Valencia, where they defeated both Barcelona and Real Madrid this season.

Bet: Levante UD vs. Real Sociedad odds

Sevilla vs. Eibar predictions

Sevilla

Draw

Eibar

66.04%

21.26%

12.70%

Sevilla were able to finally conclude their drawing spree by leaving Leganes with a 3-0 win and they are predicted to record another victory at home to Eibar. They have suffered just two home defeats this season and are unbeaten at the Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan in 2020.

Conversely, Eibar’s 2-0 defeat to Osasuna brought an end to their longest undefeated run of 2019-20. They won just once in their last nine matches on their travels and have kept a solitary clean sheet away from home since the turn of the year. The away team emerged victorious just once in these two teams’ last ten meetings.

Bet: Sevilla vs. Eibar odds

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