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Jan 31, 2018
Jan 31, 2018

Serie A preview: Juventus vs. Sassuolo

Juventus vs. Sassuolo odds

Inform your Juventus vs. Sassuolo prediction

Analysing the Juventus vs. Sassuolo stats

Serie A preview: Juventus vs. Sassuolo

Juventus play Sassuolo this weekend in the highlight fixture from Serie A. Looking for value in the Juventus vs. Sassuolo odds? Read on to inform your Juventus vs. Sassuolo prediction

A close look at the Juventus vs. Sassuolo odds 

The odds suggest a comfortable win for Juventus with the home side strong money line favourites to win the match. Sassuolo are outsiders on the +1.5 handicap at 2.140* so it is expected to be a comfortable afternoon for Juve. 

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Juventus vs. Sassuolo stats: What you need to know

Time: Sunday 4th February 14:00 GMT kickoff

Venue: Juventus Stadium

  • Juventus have the best home record in Serie A this season (nine wins, one draw, one loss)
  • Juventus’ topscorer Paulo Dybala is likely to miss the game through injury
  • The reigning champions have won five of their last six matches against Sassuolo
  • At home Juventus score an average of more than two goals per game (23 goals in 11 games)
  • Sassuolo have failed to win in in their last four Serie A matches (two draws, two losses)
  • In Serie A Sassuolo have scored just 14 goals from 28.14 expected goals this season.
  • Juventus have outscored their expected goals (36.03) by a Serie A high 15.97 goals (52 goals for)

Inform your Juventus vs. Sassuolo prediction

Reigning champions Juve have been Serie A’s most efficient attacking force this season. They welcome a Sassuolo side who have scored just 14 goals so far. 

Juventus’ title challenge has been led by the finishing ability of Gonzalo Higuain and Paulo Dybala. The pair have scored a combined 24 goals from just 16.36 expected goals. They will miss Dybala for this game, the Argentine striker is not expected to be back from injury until February 10th.

Despite the Argentinian’s talent, Juve have won their last two fixtures without Dybala. Winger Douglas Costa has proven to be an able deputy in that time. The Brazilian has chipped in with a goal and an assist in Dybala’s absence, demonstrating the squad depth available to manager Massimo Allegri. 

In contrast, Sassuolo have really struggled to score goals this season. They are the second lowest scoring team in Serie A but this poor return is not due to an inability to create chances. The expected goals total (28.14) for the Neroverdi suggests they have been wasteful with their opportunities rather than bad at creating them. 

The one positive from their attack so far is the form of Matteo Politano. The winger has directly contributed to six of Sassuolo’s 14 goals this season (three goals, three assists) and is pivotal to their attack. 

Rumours that Sunday’s match may be his last for the club are worrying for Sassuolo fans, especially since they are not yet clear of the relegation battle.  

Juventus vs. Sassuolo: Where is the value?

The odds suggest a home win is the most likely result and, even with Juve missing Dybala, it is hard to argue against that outcome. 

Juventus’ goalscoring seems to be sustainable and it is likely Higuain will continue to be deadly in front of goal. Douglas Costa should once again be an able stand-in for Dybala. 

With four clean sheets in their last five games, The Turin side may well only need to score one goal to seal the game. Sassuolo’s attack will find chances hard to come by and they fail to make the most of opportunities even when they are plentiful. Their best hope could be to sit deep and hope Juventus have an off day in attack. 

A narrow Juventus win seems likely then. As a result, odds of 1.694* on under 3 goals to be scored in the match may offer value. 

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Odds subject to change

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