After a difficult opening weekend for the reigning champions, Chelsea make the short trip to Wembley to face Tottenham in their first Premier League game at their temporary home. Can Spurs get off to a winning start in their first home game of the season, or will Chelsea redeem their loss to Burnley? Read on for some betting insight.
Live Tottenham vs. Chelsea odds
Tottenham vs. Chelsea betting: Records at Wembley
Tottenham’s record against Chelsea makes for good reading for Spurs fans. In their last six Premier League home games against their London rivals, Tottenham have won two and drawn three.
Chelsea amassed 19 shots against Burnley, with 17 of those coming after the sending off.
Yet this will be new territory for Mauricio Pochettino’s men, as Spurs embark on their first home game away from White Hart Lane. Their temporary home, Wembley offered little help in last year’s efforts in European competitions; winning just one of their home games in both the Champions League and Europa League.
In fact, the visitors have seen more success at the ‘new’ Wembley than Tottenham:
Record at the 'new' Wembley
Indeed, much can be said for the difference in pitch size between White Hart Lane and Wembley; with White Hart Lane being one of the smallest in the league last season and Wembley being one of the biggest in the English top flight this season. Should this be a factor to analyse when looking at Tottenham’s future home record at Wembley this season? Read Benjamin Cronin’s thoughts on whether you should consider pitch size in soccer betting.
Chelsea betting: A difficult first week
Whilst Chelsea did begin this campaign faltering with a 3-2 loss to Burnley, there are signs of promise for Antonio Conte’s men.
Kyle Walker-Peters completed 90.7% of his passes and made three tackles; more than any of his Spurs teammates.
Before Gary Cahill’s sending off in the 13th minute, Chelsea looked composed and were breaking down a Burnley team that played very well on the day. Inevitably the red card changed the game and playing a further 67 minutes with ten men (and later on nine men) was always going to be tricky.
Yet Conte’s side still amassed 19 shots against Burnley (fourth highest in the league), with 17 of those coming after the sending off. They also held the majority of possession with 61.9%.
However, their lack of squad depth became apparent as Christensen came on after Cahill’s red card. In fact, youngster Boga started that game in place of injured Hazard and struggled when Chelsea went down to ten men.
Indeed, how Conte’s men capitulated after the sending off should be a worry for those looking to bet on the blues, and as rumours spread regarding issues behind the scenes at Stamford Bridge, their chances in the outright Premier League betting don’t look as strong as before. Their lack of squad depth should also be something to consider, and surely something that will be addressed by Conte before the transfer window closes.
Tottenham betting: Wing back resolution?
Whilst Chelsea had a red card work against them in their opening game, Tottenham had one work for them. A disciplined first half display made it difficult for Spurs to break down Newcastle. That was until the sending off of Jonjo Shelvey.
In fact, Tottenham doubled their shots on target count after the sending off, as Dele Alli and Ben Davies handed them a 2-0 opening day away win.
In their last six Premier League home games against Chelsea, Tottenham have won two and drawn three.
Before the game, many saw defensive frailties in Spurs’ wing back options as Kyle Walker left for Manchester City in the summer and Danny Rose hinting towards an exit himself. On the right, Keiran Trippier was a strong choice to take the place of Walker until his injury left him out of the start of the season. Up stepped youth prospect Kyle Walker-Peters.
The 20-year-old’s performance diminished any concerns of weakness down Spurs’ right wing, completing 90.7% of his passes and making three tackles across the 90minutes; more than any of his teammates.
Whilst his Premier League debut showed promising signs, Chelsea offers a much sterner test. Can Walker-Peters keep Chelsea’s wingers at bay and stake a claim to become Tottenham’s first-choice right-back?
Tottenham vs. Chelsea odds: Where is the value?
Despite their impressive record at the ‘new’ Wembley, Chelsea come into Sunday’s game with +0.5 handicap odds of 1.877*, surprisingly high odds for a team who won the Premier League last season. If Tottenham fail to subsist in their new environment, then the smart bet could be with Chelsea.
Chelsea have scored in their last five games and Tottenham have scored eight in their last four (including preseason games). The bigger pitch could also mean more space for the attacking forces and could mean goals. Over 2.5 goals at 1.862* could offer value in the Tottenham vs. Chelsea odds.
Alternatively, a London derby could be a fiery affair. A look into the cards market could offer value, particularly when looking at Chelsea’s last outing (three yellow and two red cards). See Benjamin Cronin's analysis on how to bet on cards.
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