Dec 15, 2017
Dec 15, 2017

Premier League preview: Manchester City vs. Tottenham

City's record-breaking form

The importance of shot location

Manchester City vs. Tottenham odds: Where is the value?

Premier League preview: Manchester City vs. Tottenham

On Saturday Mauricio Pochettino’s Tottenham side attempt to do what no team has managed so far this Premier League season; beat Manchester City. Can Tottenham build on their recent wins following a string of bad results? Is there value in the Manchester City vs. Tottenham odds? Read on for Manchester City vs. Tottenham betting insight.

Live Manchester City vs. Tottenham odds

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City’s record-breaking form

Manchester City’s snowballing winning form has shown no signs of cooling down as we head towards the festive season. Pep Guardiola’s men have 15 consecutive top-flight wins, a run defying all Premier League runs before:

Best English top-flight winning runs

Team (season)Number of consecutive wins
Manchester City (2017-ongoing) 15
Arsenal (2001-02/2002-03) 14
Preston (1891-92) 13
Sunderland (1891-92 13
Tottenham (1958-59/1959-60 13
Chelsea (2016-17) 13
Everton (1892-93/1893-94 12
Liverpool (1988-89/1990-91) 12
Manchester United (1998-99/1999-2000) 12

Last season, many judged Pep Guardiola’s first season with the Citizens as a failure, comparing it to more successful domestic and European displays in his previous positions at Bayern Munich and Barcelona.

Many said that it was the inheritance of the tiki-taka maestros at Barcelona and the direct soccer approach left by Jupp Heynckes at Bayern that masked Pep’s failings as a competent manager. A role with Manchester City offered a chance for Pep Guardiola to halt those theories.

He is beginning to reach those lofty heights domestically left by some of the greatest European teams to date, including two of his own:

Best domestic winning runs in Europe's top-flight leagues

Team (season)Number of consecutive wins
Bayern Munich (2013-14) 19
Inter Milan (2006-07) 17
Real Madrid (2015-16/2016-17) 16
Barcelona (2010-11) 16
Manchester City (2017-ongoing) 15
Bordeaux (2008-09) 14

Guardiola now holds the longest winning runs in three domestic leagues. Another win against Tottenham will see Guardiola’s most recent run level with his infamous Barcelona team; a personal motivation for the Citizens’ manager this Sunday.

Manchester City vs. Tottenham betting: Stuttering Spurs

Before their recent wins again Stoke and Brighton, Mauricio Pochettino’s side were faltering into the festive season without a win in their last four in the league - Tottenham sit in a lowly tenth in the form table with just eight points in their last six matches.

Whilst many have pointed to failings at their temporary home Wembley as a cause for concern, it is in fact their away form that has been detrimental.

Tottenham are unbeaten at home, with only this Saturday’s opponents Manchester City accumulating more points in front of their own fans. Away from home, Spurs have failed to win in their last four including three straight losses, conceding nine in their last six.

11% of all shots that Manchester City face are inside their own six-yard box, no team has a higher percentage.

Tottenham have also won just one of their four games against their ‘big six’ rivals. In comparison, Manchester City have won all four of their matches against the ‘big six,’ accumulating nine points more than Spurs.

If you remove the points accumulated in games against the big six from the Premier League table, Tottenham would leapfrog Chelsea into third, despite currently being four points behind them.

Spurs’ inability to secure points against their rivals for the top spots has been a detriment to their season. They currently sit in fourth and a Champions League place by goal difference alone.

If Tottenham look to secure their place in Europe’s elite club competition next season, a win against an imperious Manchester City could offer some self-confidence in future big-game clashes.

Manchester City vs. Tottenham betting: The importance of shot location

Whilst City have come under praise this season (and rightly so) for their impressive attacking soccer, there are weaknesses in their game which Tottenham could look to exploit this Saturday.

Away from home, Spurs have failed to win in their last four including three straight losses, conceding nine in their last six.

Whilst Manchester City offer very few shots to their opponents on average (6.1 per game, the league’s lowest), the shots conceded are often from good quality positions. 11% of all shots that Manchester City face are inside their own six-yard box, no team has a higher percentage.

Mauricio Pochettino’s men will need to exploit the opportunities that they are given by Manchester City and should have confidence in the knowledge that the opportunities that they should create will be in dangerous areas (as a general rule, the closer the shot is taken to goal the more likely it is to be successful).

In their last away game against Watford, Tottenham managed just two shots inside the penalty area in comparison to six outside - the one goal they scored came from a shot inside the 18-yeard box.

In comparison, in their most recent matches against Brighton and Stoke, Tottenham accumulated 12 and 11 shots inside the 18-yard box respectively; they scored seven goals across the two games.

Whilst Spurs have failed to create quality chances inside the 18-yard box away from home recently, Manchester City’s inadequacies to prevent them may offer them the chance to create them anyhow. If Harry Kane can find space in the box, then Spurs could hurt City on Saturday and could offer value in the Manchester City vs. Tottenham odds.

Manchester City vs. Tottenham odds: Where is the value?

Saturday’s encounter sees two attacking teams face each other in a fixture which in the past has seen its fair share of goals.

In the last four Premier League meetings between Manchester City and Tottenham, more than three goals have been scored in three of them. Over three goals currently stands at 1.840* and is likely to be a popular bet.

Spurs have scored in their last five Premier League games and have failed to score in just three of their 17 matches this season. Tottenham to score over one goal is currently 2.080* and could offer value.

Manchester City are unbeaten this season and have won by at least two goals on nine separate occasions. -1 handicap odds of 1.869* is an interesting bet based on the firepower available to Pep Guardiola. If Manchester City can keep a clean sheet, their attacking forces should be able to do the rest.

Odds subject to change

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