Apr 7, 2017
Apr 7, 2017

Premier League preview: Crystal Palace vs. Arsenal

Premier League preview: Crystal Palace vs. Arsenal

Despite no top of the table clashes or relegation “six pointers”, this week’s highlight fixture in the Premier League is an intriguing one. Crystal Palace host Arsenal on Monday and a win for either side will change the complexion of their season. Can Palace move closer to safety or will Arsenal make a late push for the top four? Read on for insight into the Crystal Palace vs. Arsenal odds.

The latest Crystal Palace vs. Arsenal odds are live and updating below:

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In the past few months both Crystal Palace and Arsenal have seen their season turn around - one for better, one for worse. Palace looked dead and buried in mid February but they are now three points clear of the relegation zone and looking up rather than down.

Arsenal, on the other hand, has lost touch with the top four since the start of 2017 and suffered a demoralising 10-2 aggregate defeat at the hands of Bayern Munich in the Champions League Round of 16 - having qualified for the UCL in each of the last 20 seasons, Arsenal’s impressive record is now under threat.

Should bettors follow the form?

Form is often a good indicator for soccer betting. The upcoming match at Selhurst Park on Monday features two sides at opposite ends of the form spectrum. Despite managing just five wins from the first 25 games of the season, the Eagles have now won four of the last five - they are 4.560* to make it five out of six Arsenal on Monday.

Despite managing just five wins from the first 25 games of the season, Crystal Palace has now won four of the last five.

By contrast, Arsenal’s form has severely dipped in recent months. The Gunners comfortably beat a West Ham side in free-fall 3-0 on Wednesday but apart from that, the only sides they’ve beaten since early February come from four divisions below them in English soccer (they beat non-league Sutton United and Lincoln City in the FA Cup).

Two contrasting styles

Much like the contrast in recent form, the two teams in this week’s highlight fixture have completely different styles of play. Crystal Palace manager Sam Allardyce is renowned for his no-nonsense ‘result first, performance second’ methods, while under-fire Arsene Wenger has drawn heavy criticism for quite the opposite.

Crystal Palace will look for success in the air - they’ve won 55% (22.3 per game) of their aerial duels and have attempted 74 long balls and 24 crosses per game this season.

If there is one team Arsenal would like to avoid as we approach the business end of the season, it would be the disruptive and combative Palace side they will meet on Monday. Averaging 12.8 fouls per game and 14.3 interceptions per game this season, the home team will undoubtedly look to frustrate their opponents.

Arsenal has the ability to keep the ball away from the opposition - averaging 568 passes per game with a completion rate of 83.5%. However, it is when the Gunners don’t have the ball that they struggle - problems at the back have led to them conceding at a rate of 1.24 goals per game.

Is there value in the Crystal Palace vs. Arsenal odds?

If Arsenal is to get anything out of this season, they need to get a win on Monday. Palace has finally found the defensive sturdiness they so desperately craved all season, so under 2.5 and 3 goals at 2.020* could be the value bet.

The Eagles will look for success in the air - they’ve won 55% (22.3 per game) of their aerial duels and have attempted 74 long balls and 24 crosses per game this season. Wilfried Zaha and Andros Townsend will look to supply Christian Benteke - the Belgian has won 9.3 aerial duels per game (the highest average in the Premier League).

Arsenal should dominate possession but will have to work hard to break down what is now a resolute defence. Odds of 1.819* might seem short for a team that have flattered to deceive this year, but Arsenal should still come away from Selhurst Park with three points. 

You can track any significant changes to the odds with the graphic below:

Odds subject to change

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Benjamin studied English with Creative Writing (BA) before pursuing a career that combined his love of sport and fascination with betting. An avid fan of numerous sports, his writing now covers anything from in-depth major sporting event previews, to examining betting trends and techniques.

By Benjamin Cronin

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