Tottenham make the short trip to The Emirates this Saturday, as Arsenal welcome Mauricio Pochettino’s side for the first North London derby of the season. Who will take the bragging rights in the capital? Is there value in the Arsenal vs. Tottenham betting? Read on for expert analysis of the Arsenal vs. Tottenham odds.
Live Arsenal vs. Tottenham odds
Arsenal vs. Tottenham betting: Injury concerns
Since Arsene Wenger took charge of the Gunners back in 1996, Arsenal have ruled over North London, with Spurs lingering in their trophy-laden shadow. That was until the turn of the decade, where Spurs have slowly closed the gap between themselves and their neighbours.
Last season saw the tide finally turn, as Tottenham finished above Arsenal for the first time in Arsene Wenger’s reign.
Currently, Tottenham sit in third place, and still with a chance (albeit minute) to push Manchester City for top spot this season. Arsenal sit in sixth, looking to push for Champions League qualification after missing out last season.
Yet, despite Tottenham’s current domestic superiority in North London, Saturday’s game may offer a difficult challenge for a depleted Spurs squad.
Mauricio Pochettino’s side has a number of high-profile names either missing out or listed as doubtful for Saturday.
Arsenal have won their last 10 Premier League home matches, spanning from last April.
Dele Alli and Harry Kane should be fit despite pulling out of Gareth Southgate’s England squad, along with Jan Vertonghen who should also be back for the game against Arsenal. Victor Wanyama is battling to return, whilst Hugo Lloris faces a race to be fit for Saturday.
The international break may have come at just the right time for Mauricio Pochettino, giving his players with fitness doubts an additional week to recover. However, rushing them back could prove detrimental coming up to the arduous Christmas stretch.
Meanwhile, Arsenal have some doubts (most notably Laurent Koscielny and Shkodran Mustafi), though none as critical as some of Spurs’ stars looking to return before the North London derby.
Wenger’s men are currently favourites in the Arsenal vs. Tottenham odds and bettors will certainly be taking Spurs’ current injury concerns into consideration before betting on the away side.
The importance of the first goal
In the last few years, many of Arsenal’s players have been scrutinised for a lack of commitment and battle when their backs are against the wall. This season, Arsene Wenger’s men have answered the backlash with a string of match-saving performances after conceding the first goal.
Arsenal have won twice when conceding first this season; no side has won more games from losing positions than the Gunners in the Premier League.
Granted, it can be argued that they would not have to battle from a goal down if their defence was stronger in the first instance – another criticism of Arsene Wenger’s side. It does, however, show an ability to turn the tide after early difficulties.
Conceding the first goal in the North London derby this Sunday may be too much of a mountain to climb for Arsenal when considering Spurs’ record to hold onto a lead this season.
When Spurs have scored the first goal in the Premier League this season, they have won all but one, which they drew.
With this in mind, getting the first goal this Saturday may be more important than some of Arsenal’s previous matches this season, as wrestling back the points from a well-organised Tottenham side could be challenging.
Arsenal vs. Tottenham odds: Home vs. Away
Whilst Highbury offered a stable home for Arsenal during their glory years, their journey to The Emirates hasn’t been easy.
However, this season may be the first sign of their new stadium difficulties coming to an end, a similar issue that Spurs must overcome when they make their move back to the new White Hart Lane next season.
Arsenal’s season so far has been built on home form. Whilst they have the sixth worst away record in the league, they have won all of their opening five home games; only Manchester United can match that record.
In fact, Arsenal have won their last 10 Premier League home matches, spanning from last April. However, this will be the first team they have faced at home inside the supposed ‘top six’ this season.
Arsenal have played Liverpool, Chelsea and Manchester City away from the Emirates, losing two and drawing one, including a 4-0 hammering at Anfield.
When Spurs have scored the first goal in the Premier League this season, they have won all but one.
Tottenham can almost match Arsenal’s invincible home Premier League record this season with an impressive away record. Before their most recent away loss at Old Trafford, Spurs had won their last six away games in the league including their opening four this season.
With two sides in good form and a history of close encounters between Arsenal and Tottenham, expect Saturday’s capital encounter to be a close affair, something to consider when in the handicap betting markets.
Arsenal vs. Tottenham betting: Where is the value?
Saturday’s clash between Arsenal and Tottenham may offer an insight into who will be able to challenge the two Manchester clubs at the top of the table and who will be treading water, hoping to nick a solitary Champions League spot. Who will take bragging rights in the capital?
The North London derby in the past has been a close yet fiery affair. With this in mind, under 3 goals at 1.847* could be the smart bet in a fixture that has finished 1-1 in the last three meetings.
Whilst Tottenham have looked the better side this season, their current injury issues may open the door for a red London this Saturday. -0.5 odds of 2.429* may offer value if Arsene Wenger’s men can continue their sparkling home form.
Alternatively, cards betting could be a popular market given the rivalry between the two neighbours. The North London derby tends to be an aggressive match (14 cards in the last three meetings), so bettors may want to consider betting on the total number of cards on Saturday.