Dec 19, 2017
Dec 19, 2017

Premier League preview: Arsenal vs. Liverpool

EFL Cup hangover?

Alexis gamble backfiring?

Arsenal vs. Liverpool odds: Where is the value?

Premier League preview: Arsenal vs. Liverpool

Arsenal welcome Liverpool to the Emirates this Friday looking to leapfrog Jurgen Klopp’s side in the Premier League table. Who will end the week in a Champions League spot? Where does the value lie in the Arsenal vs. Liverpool odds? Read on for some Arsenal vs. Liverpool betting insight.

Arsenal vs. Liverpool betting: Live odds

Display images to show real-time content

Arsenal vs. Liverpool odds: Head to head

Fourth take on fifth this Friday with just one point separating them. With so little between Liverpool in fourth and Tottenham in seventh, it is critical that both Liverpool and Arsenal win against their European spot competition.

Based on recent meetings, Liverpool would definitely fancy themselves to take all three points on Friday. In the last six Premier League meetings between the two, Liverpool have won three and drawn three, whilst Arsenal have failed to notch a win.

Alexis has scored just three from open play this season, a big change in form compared to his 24 goal tally in 2016/17.

This season, the two sides seem equally matched and bettors might be expecting a close game. This means the goals market will likely garner more attention than the 1X2 odds - at least four goals have been scored in five of the last six meetings.

Only Manchester City (32) have scored more home goals than Arsenal (22) this season and no side has scored more away goals than Liverpool (24) in the Premier League.

Alexis gamble backfiring?

A proud holder of an Economics degree, Arsene Wenger has become renowned for his pragmatism and caution while in charge at Arsenal - this is why the decision to keep Alexis Sanchez in the summer despite a £60million bid was a bit out of character.

The safest financial decision would have been to take the money and build a team around a new centrepiece; particularly with the contract situation surrounding both Sanchez and fellow Gunners star Mesut Ozil. The gamble so far hasn’t paid off. 

Liverpool have scored 14 goals in their last six in the Premier League, only Manchester City have scored more.

Whilst Mesut Ozil has still performed despite the his currnt contract debaclel, Alexis has scored just three from open play this season, a big change in form compared to his 24 goal tally in 2016/17. 

He was also subbed off last week after a futile attempt to break down the West Ham defence and has come under scrutiny for losing the ball too often. A 73% pass accuracy in the Premier League this season solidifies that claim.

After the Newcastle win on Saturday, Arsene Wenger came out and questioned the clinicality of the diminutive attacker. There is no doubt that Sanchez can turn it on when Friday comes, but based on current form there are question marks over the decision to keep the Chilean and the fact that it may have hindered Arsenal’s ability to rebuild their attack.

EFL Cup hangover?

Whilst Liverpool will have the next five days to focus on Friday’s clash, Arsenal have a midweek EFL cup quarter-final to concentrate on.

Only Manchester City (32) have scored more home goals than Arsenal (22) this season.

A home derby against an in-form and rejuvenated West Ham side may not be Arsene Wenger’s main focus due to the popularity of the EFL cup, but this could be the Gunner’s best chance for domestic silverware this year.

Arsenal may make changes to their starting lineup, but don’t expect wholesale. With the league looking to be already out of their reach and the Europa League offering stern competition with the likes of Borussia Dortmund and Atletico Madrid now entering the tournament, a league cup may be the perfect send-off if Arsene Wenger was to go in the summer.

With this in mind, it is worth considering the potential for Arsenal to have a few heavy legs when Friday comes around. Particularly facing a Liverpool side who favours the fast-paced counter-attacking soccer that will stretch Arsenal’s defensive ranks to their fullest. 

The winter period could be damning for many sides in the Premier League as fatigue across the busy schedule hits. If Liverpool can make the most of their break and Arsenal have empty tanks after their midweek game, Liverpool’s style could cause the Gunners a real problem.

Arsenal vs. Liverpool betting: Where is the value?

Liverpool have scored 14 goals in their last six in the Premier League, only Manchester City have scored more. Based on this and past results in the clash, bettors can expect goals on Friday. Although a high total, over 3.25 goals (2.130*) may offer value in the Arsenal vs. Liverpool odds.

Liverpool go into Friday’s game in good form and Arsenal will be going into the clash after a difficult midweek game. The last time they had this little time to recover was at the start of December, which culminated in their only home loss in the Premier League so far this season; 3-1 to Manchester United. A +0.25 handicap for Liverpool is priced at 1.819* and is likely to be a popular choice.  

Odds subject to change

Betting Resources - Empowering your betting

Pinnacle’s Betting Resources is one of the most comprehensive collections of expert betting advice anywhere online. Catering to all experience levels our aim is simply to empower bettors to become more knowledgeable.