Jose Mourinho returns to Stamford Bridge this weekend as our highlight Premier League fixture sees Manchester United aim to end Chelsea’s unbeaten start to the season. Looking for value in the Chelsea vs. Manchester United odds? Read on to inform your Chelsea vs. Manchester United prediction.
A close look at the Chelsea vs. Manchester United odds
The Money Line odds make Chelsea clear favourites, with the implied probability of a Chelsea win at nearly 60%.*
The over/under goals total is set at 2.5 which is lower than this season's Premier League average of 3.02 goals per game.
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Time: Saturday, October 20, 12:30 UTC kick-off
Venue: Stamford Bridge
Chelsea vs. Manchester United predicted lineups
Chelsea predicted lineup
4-3-3: Arrizabalaga; Alonso, Luiz, Cahill, Azpilicueta; Kovacic, Jorginho, Kante; Hazard, Giroud, Willian.
Chelsea team news:
Antonio Rudiger withdrew from the Germany squad during the international break due to a groin injury, and he is Chelsea’s only injury concern and could miss out.
Manchester United predicted lineup
4-3-3: De Gea; Valencia, Bailly, Smalling, Shaw; Fred, Matic, Pogba, Lingard; Lukaku, Sanchez.
Manchester United team news:
Luke Shaw and Nemanja Matic withdrew from the England and Serbia squads but are expected to be fit.
Chelsea vs. Liverpool expected goals stats
• Chelsea expected goals per game: 1.96
• Chelsea expected goals against per game: 1.07
• Chelsea expected points per game: 1.99
• Manchester United expected goals per game: 1.60
• Manchester United expected goals against per game: 1.37
• Manchester United expected points per game: 1.47
Inform your Chelsea vs. Manchester United prediction
Chelsea have started the season in fine form, averaging 2.3 goals per match. Only an in inferior goal difference separates the Blues from Manchester City and Liverpool at the top of table with 20 points from a possible 24.
Maurizio Sarri’s side had an easier start to the season than their rivals in the opening six games but showed against Liverpool that they are genuine title contenders.
Before the international break, Chelsea were extremely impressive by winning away at Southampton. Eden Hazard was in brilliant form recording his seventh goal of the season in a dominant 3-0 victory with the expected goals statistics confirming Chelsea were very good value for their victory: (xG: SOU 1.67 – 3.01 CHE).
Against Manchester United bettors should expect more of the same and it is likely the match will be won or lost based on how well the 27 year-old can perform. There were 31 passes made in the build-up to Alvaro Morata's goal against Southampton; the most of any goal in the Premier League this season and Chelsea will look to dominate possession again this weekend.
Manchester United have struggled to find any kind of real form this Premier League season, and have been predominantly poor in a lot of matches – something that could prove costly against a strong Chelsea side.
The 3-2 comeback win over Newcastle has meant that Mourinho and United will come into the fixture with a positive mindset, but their performance will have to drastically improve if they are to take anything away from Stamford Bridge.
The Reds have conceded 14 goals in just 8 matches, and their attacking output at present is a long way off their rivals – despite having plenty of talent at their disposal.
Defensively, Manchester United have been the 10th best team in league, conceding 10.78 xGA – an average of 1.34 per game – and have produced just 11.24 xGF – an average of 1.41 per game – which is also the 10th best attacking record in the league, so the stats also look ominous for Jose Mourinho’s side.
Chelsea vs. Manchester United betting: Where is the value?
Eden Hazard is in fine form and Chelsea under Maurizio Sarri are playing consistently well, which is worrying news for Manchester United.
Chelsea are available on the -0.5 and -1 handicap at 1.900* and could provide value at that price should they continue to play in the confident and dominant manner that they have this season.
Manchester United have been poor in defence in the Premier League, and it is difficult to see them containing Chelsea for 90 minutes. The Blues have an array of attacking talent at their disposal and will come into the match confident they can penetrate the Manchester United defence, especially with home field advantage.
Maurizio Sarri is getting the most out of Eden Hazard, and the Belgian international is the stand‑out player in the Premier League at present so will offer a constant attacking threat for the London club.
Despite their poor form Manchester United are always capable of scoring in any fixture and with attacking talent themselves such as Paul Pogba and Romelu Lukaku, so backing over 2.5 goals 1.877* could provide some value to bettors.