Apr 13, 2021
Apr 13, 2021

Champions League Predictions

Latest Champions League odds

Paris Saint-Germain vs. Bayern Munich predictions

Liverpool vs. Real Madrid predictions

Champions League stats

Champions League Predictions

Inform your predictions ahead of the latest matches in the Champions League quarter-finals with insight, analysis and odds from Pinnacle.

Chelsea vs. Porto predictions

Chelsea

Draw

Porto

50.17%

25.05%

24.78%

First-leg score: Porto 0 – Chelsea 2 (Mount 32’, Chilwell 85’)

NB: This match will be played at the Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan in Seville.

Mason Mount and Ben Chilwell’s first Champions League goals offered Chelsea a commanding position from what was classed as their away leg of this tie, and the market suggests they are well-placed to finish the job and book their spot in the semi-finals.

Despite recently suffering a shock 5-2 home league defeat to West Brom, Chelsea have enjoyed defensively resilient form under Thomas Tuchel. Indeed, they have now conceded just two goals in nine Champions League matches this season and lost only three games in all competitions in 2021. However, question marks remain over their attacking players’ output, and recent additions Timo Werner, Kai Havertz, and Hakim Ziyech have netted just two goals between them in this season’s competition that haven’t come from the penalty spot.

Porto will be bolstered for the second-leg by the return of their striking partnership Sergio Oliviera and Mehdi Taremi, who were both suspended for the first. The pair are Porto’s top two scorers this season with 32 goals between them in all competitions, and at least one netted in six of Porto’s previous eight Champions League fixtures prior to the first-leg. Porto have only progressed from one of their last five European ties when they lost the opening match.

Bet: Chelsea vs. Porto odds

Paris Saint-Germain vs. Bayern Munich predictions

Paris Saint-Germain

Draw

Bayern Munich

32.60%

24.72%

42.68%

First-leg score: Bayern Munich 2 (Choupo-Moting 37’, Muller 60’) – PSG 3 (Mbappe 3’ 68’, Marquinhos 28’)

A Kylian Mbappe masterclass curtailed Bayern Munich’s 19-match unbeaten streak in the Champions League in the first-leg, yet the market still favours the visitors to prevail in the second in a firm indication that this tie is very much in the balance.

Bayern’s chances of progression are not being assisted by a developing injury crisis. Robert Lewandowski was palpably missed by the defending champions in their 3-2 defeat and has confirmed he will also be absent from the second-leg, while Leon Goretzka and Niklas Sule were both substituted during the first half after suffering muscle injuries. On a more encouraging note, Bayern have not failed to score in a Champions League match since February 2019, nor lost an away fixture in the competition since September 2017.

PSG’s first-leg win over Bayern was their latest in a string of impressive victories in this season’s Champions League, and they have recently and consistently proved that they are capable of overcoming the competition’s biggest names. However, they looked defensively shaky in the first-leg after Marquinhos was also substituted off with a first-half injury, and they may be reliant on ensuring that he is fit to play at the Parc Des Princes.

Bet: Paris Saint-Germain vs. Bayern Munich odds

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Borussia Dortmund vs. Manchester City predictions

Borussia Dortmund

Draw

Manchester City

19.32%

22.54%

58.14%

First-leg score: Manchester City 2 (De Bruyne 19’, Foden 90’) – Borussia Dortmund 1 (Reus 84’)

Manchester City required a late Phil Foden goal to beat Borussia Dortmund in the first-leg of their tie, yet the market suggests they have just under a 60% chance of reaching the semi-finals on the back of victories in both legs.

Pep Guardiola’s team can boast equally imperious and intimidating form that is now comprised of 26 wins in their last 28 matches in all competitions. They have also conceded a joint tournament-low two goals in this season’s Champions League and have achieved the highest average possession and most passes completed. However, eight of their 18 knockout stage matches during Guardiola’s tenure as manager have ended in defeat.

Dortmund turned in a spirited performance in the opening leg, but they have endured a largely disappointing season marred by inconsistent form. As per usual, their chances of victory will heavily rely on current Champions League top scorer Erling Haaland, who was kept off the scoresheet in Manchester but still contributed with the assist for Reus’ goal. Dortmund have managed just a 50% win rate at Signal Iduna Park in all competitions in 2021.

Bet: Borussia Dortmund vs. Manchester City odds

Liverpool vs. Real Madrid predictions

Liverpool

Draw

Real Madrid

50.40%

24.35%

25.25%

First-leg score: Real Madrid 3 (Vinicius 27’ 65’, Asensio 36’) – Liverpool 1 (Salah 51’)

Liverpool are favoured to pick up a second-leg win at Anfield at the expense of Real Madrid, but they face a tricky task to progress to the semi-finals after losing the opening match 3-1.

In a recurring theme of their season, the hosts incurred defensive issues at the Estadio Alfredo Di Stefano, with Nat Phillips, Ozan Kabak, and Trent Alexander-Arnold all enduring difficult evenings against Madrid’s quick forwards. While Liverpool have become revered for dramatic second-leg turnarounds under Jurgen Klopp, their last seven fixtures at Anfield brought just three goals and they have only kept a clean sheet in six of their 19 matches thus far in 2021.

As a team comprised of both established yet aging stars and fresh yet inexperienced talent, Real Madrid have slowly but surely asserted a new identity during the course of the season. Most notably, they appear to have reignited their blistering counter-attacking ability that made them feared across the continent during Zinedine Zidane’s first stint as manager, and have scored in all but one fixture in all competitions since the turn of the year.

Bet: Liverpool vs. Real Madrid odds

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Odds subject to change

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