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Jan 22, 2019
Jan 22, 2019

La Liga preview: Atletico Madrid vs. Getafe

Atletico Madrid vs. Getafe odds

Inform your Atletico Madrid vs. Getafe prediction

Analysing the Atletico vs. Getafe stats

La Liga preview: Atletico Madrid vs. Getafe

This week’s highlight fixture in La Liga is a top six clash between Atletico Madrid and Getafe. With Atletico chasing the title and Getafe hopeful of securing a Europa League spot, both teams will see Saturday’s game as a chance to further stake their respective claims. Looking for value in the Atletico Madrid vs. Getafe odds? Read on to inform your Atletico Madrid vs. Getafe odds.

A close look at the Atletico Madrid vs. Getafe odds

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The 1X2 odds make Atletico Madrid the clear favourites, with the odds implying the home side have around a 64% chance of winning the game, compared to Getafe who have roughly a 12% chance of winning.

Total Goals is set at 2, with the odds suggesting a low scoring contest with Over odds of 1.840* and Under odds of 2.060*. The La Liga average per match this season is 2.45.

Time: Saturday January 26 15:15 UTC kickoff

Venue: Wanda Metropolitano

Atletico Madrid vs. Getafe statistics

Atletico Madrid expected goals for per game: 1.35

Atletico Madrid expected goals against per game: 1.03

Atletico Madrid expected points per game: 1.57

Getafe expected goals for per game: 1.16

Getafe expected goals against per game: 1.12

Getafe expected points per game: 1.36

Last five games: Atletico Madrid 5, Getafe 0, Draw 0

Atletico Madrid vs. Getafe predicted lineups

Atletico Madrid predicted lineup

4-4-2: Oblak; Arias, Gimenez, Godin, Hernandez; Lemar, Thomas, Hernandez, Koke; Griezmann, Correa

Having hosted Girona in the second leg of their Round of 16 Copa del Rey clash last week, Atletico were strong favourites to progress to the next round, having secured a 1-1 draw away in the first leg.

Finding themselves behind 2-2 on aggregate after 65 minutes, Atletico looked to have spoilt any chance of an upset with goals from Angel Correa and Antoine Griezmann – before a Seydou Doumbia goal two minutes from time turned the tie on its head, and sent Girona through.

If there’s one benefit to be taken from the shock exit however, it’s that Atletico won’t have any midweek Copa del Rey duties to attend to in advance of Saturday’s game – limiting the chances of potential injuries to key personnel and ensuring that, Los Colchoneros, as they’re also know, come into the weekend feeling as fresh as possible.

As he has done for the overwhelming majority of the season, Diego Simeone is expected to set up his team in a 4-4-2 formation.

With the transfer window in full swing, Chelsea striker Alvaro Morata is expected to join on loan in the coming days to bolster Simeone’s attacking options, so he could well feature.

In terms of injuries to key personnel, Diego Costa remains absent following foot surgery while left-back Filipe Luis is out with a muscle injury

Croatian forward Nikola Kalinic has been ill in recent days, and has also been linked with a move to Tottenham Hotspur and elsewhere – should Morata arrive as is expected.

Meanwhile Gelson Martins, Saul Niguez and Stefan Savic are all doubtful.

Getafe predicted line-up

4-4-2: Soria; Suarez, Djene, Bruno, Cabrera; Portillo, Maksimovic, Cristoforo, Antunes; Mata, Molina

Unlike their opponents, Getafe are in action midweek as they host Valencia on Tuesday night in the Copa del Rey – meaning manager Jose Bordalas will have to manage his squad accordingly.

Aside from long term absentees Amath Ndiaye, who suffered a rupture in his cruciate ligament in December, and Markel Bergara, who fractured his arm in October, Getafe have no fresh injury concerns.

Not one of the past five La Liga meetings has ended in anything other than an Atletico victory – with Getafe failing to score in any of those five games

So should they avoid any major setbacks on Tuesday night, and should arrive to Wanda Metropolitano with a relatively clean bill of health.

Playing with a 4-4-2 for the majority of the season, it’s expected Getafe will have a similar formation for the weekend’s game.

Inform your Atletico Madrid vs Getafe prediction

Second and sixth in La Liga respectively, Saturday’s clash will be viewed by both teams as a good chance to further stake their respective claims.

For Atletico Madrid, their aim to continue piling the pressure on Champions Barcelona – who they sit five points behind. And with Barca beginning to pull away in recent weeks, Saturday will be viewed as a must win if they want to recreate their title success of 2014.

For Getafe, last season’s eighth-placed finish was seen by some as an underperformance of sorts – with their return of 55 points below their expected points tally of 57.53.

Targeting finishing in a Europa League spot this time round, Getafe perhaps made their biggest statement of the season last weekend, thrashing fifth place Alaves 4-0 at home. However, a victory on Saturday would surely surpass that result in terms of achievement – however unlikely it may appear to be.

Though a victory on Saturday would surely surpass that result in terms of achievement – however unlikely it may appear to be.

Getafe haven’t scored against Atletico since November 2011, which was also the last time they beat them

Atletico enjoyed a 3-0 away victory at Huesca in their last La Liga outing, and have now won five of their last six La Liga games – drawing once. Scoring 12 and conceding just three times in that time, recent games have seen Atletico be uncharacteristically high-scoring while still retaining their world-renowned defensive discipline.

As well as hitting Huesca for three in their last game, Los Colchoneros also scored three against away at Valladolid and at home to Alaves before Christmas.

Turning our attention Getafe, Azulones, as they’re also known as, have been fairly consistent all season – with their recent form mirroring much of their overall results.

In their last six league games, they have won 3, drawn two, and lost once – scoring 10 and conceding five in the process.

Despite recent form being very kind to both teams however, historical data swings very much in Atletico’s favourite.

Not one of the past five La Liga meetings has ended in anything other than an Atletico victory – with Getafe failing to score in any of those five games.

In fact, Getafe haven’t scored against Atletico since November 2011, which was also the last time they beat them, in a 3-2 home win – with Getafe having spent just one season outside Spain’s top division in that time, having been relegated in 2015/2016.

Fast forward to this season, a Thomas Lemar brace saw Atletico run out 2-0 winners away at Getafe back in September.

Atletico Madrid vs Getafe: Where is the value?

Given Atletico Madrid’s complete dominance over Getafe in recent years, t’s not hard to see why the 1X2 odds make Atletico Madrid the heavy 1X2 favourites at 1.555*.

However, it’s likely this won’t offer much value to bettors – so looking at alternative markets could be worthwhile.

Bettors could look to the Handicap market to find value given Atletico’s record against Getafe and the fact they are playing at home, with odds of -1 currently priced at 2.070*.

To make the most of our best value odds make sure to read more of Pinnacle’s expert betting advice.

Odds subject to change

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