AS Roma play Juventus in this weekend’s highlight Serie A match. Looking for value in the AS Roma vs. Juventus odds? Read on to inform your AS Roma vs. Juventus prediction.
A close look at the AS Roma vs. Juventus odds
The moneyline odds imply the home side have around a 40% chance of winning his game.
The odds suggest this will be a close game with Juventus 1.800* favourites on the +0.25 handicap.
AS Roma vs. Juventus stats: What you need to know
Time: Sunday May 13, 19:45 kickoff
Venue: Stadio Olimpico
AS Roma: Diego Perotti, Bruno Peres and Manolas are all injury doubts.
Juventus: Mattia De Sciglio is doubtful but Sturaro, Howedes and Mandzukic could all return from recent injuries.
- AS Roma’s Serie A home record: 11 wins, one draw, six losses
- Juventus away in Serie A: fourteen wins, three draws, one loss
- Roma have won their last four Serie A matches
- Juve have conceded an average of just 0.64 goals per game this season
- Juventus have covered the -0.5 handicap in 81% of their league matches
Inform your AS Roma vs. Juventus prediction
AS Roma welcome Juventus with a lot on the line for both teams. A win for the hosts would secure their spot in next season’s Champions League whilst a point or more for Juve would seal a seventh consecutive league title.
The Roman side have been given a slight advantage by the moneyline odds. They are Serie A’s inform team having won four consecutive matches in the lead up to this game. Roma possess a four-point lead over fifth-place Inter Milan in the race for the top four.
Juventus have recovered from a shock draw against Crotone followed by defeat at home to Napoli with wins in their two most recent matches. The Juventus defence has once again been formidable this season and will hope to keep an occasionally misfiring Roma attack quiet.
AS Roma are the only side in Serie A’s top 6 to have scored less than their expected goals total. Striker Edin Dzeko is on course to score below his expected goals numbers for the third consecutive season. The Bosnian relies on a high quantity of shots to make up for inefficiency in front of goal. Only Napoli’s Lorenzo Insigne takes more shots per game than Dzeko.
This could be an issue against a Juventus side who limit their opponents to a league low 8.2 shots per game. Roma will need to be at their best to create opportunities against such a strong backline.
AS Roma vs. Juventus: Where is the value?
Considering Juventus have lost just once away from home this season odds of 1.571* on the Juventus +0.5 handicap could offer some value to bettors. Juve have covered that handicap in 81% of their matches this season.
Equally, given Juventus’ Serie A leading defence and Roma’s occasionally inefficient attack Roma may struggle to find a breakthrough. A low scoring game should suit Juventus so there could be some value to be found in a bet on Roma to score under 1.25 goals at 1.806*.
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