Feb 26, 2018
Feb 26, 2018

Premier League preview: Arsenal vs. Manchester City

Arsenal vs. Manchester City odds

Inform your Arsenal vs. Manchester City prediction

Analysing the Arsenal vs. Manchester City stats

Premier League preview: Arsenal vs. Manchester City

Arsenal play Manchester City in the Premier League this Thursday in a repeat of the recent Carabao Cup final. Looking for value in the Arsenal vs. Manchester City odds? Read on to inform your Arsenal vs. Manchester City prediction.

A close look at the Arsenal vs. Manchester City odds

The odds suggest an away win for Manchester City with the Carabao Cup winners favourites on the money line (their odds suggest they have around 55% chance of winning the match).

Arsenal, however, are 1.666* favourites on the +1 handicap so are not expected to lose as heavily as they did on Sunday.

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Arsenal vs. Manchester City stats: What you need to know

Time: Thursday March 1, 19:45 GMT kickoff

Venue: The Emirates Stadium

  • Arsenal’s Premier League home record: ten wins, two draws, one loss
  • Manchester City’s Premier League away record: ten wins, two draws, one loss
  • Arsenal have won just two of their last seven Premier League games
  • City score 2.23 goals per game away from home compared to 3.57 at the Etihad
  • Arsenal have conceded just 14 league goals at the Emirates this season.

Team news

Arsenal: Nacho Monreal (knock) is doubtful for the Gunners whilst Alexandre Lacazette will once again miss out. Goalkeeper Petr Chech is expected to return for Arsenal,

Manchester City: Gabriel Jesus is available for selection. Raheem Sterling is a doubt after missing the League Cup final with a suspected hamstring injury.

Inform your Arsenal vs. Manchester City prediction

A rescheduled match sees the second meeting in quick succession for Arsenal and Manchester City.

City were victorious in the Carabao Cup final and are well fancied to defeat Arsenal for the second time in a week after a poor display from the Gunners in that game.

Despite this, Arsenal can be unpredictable and their home record is one of the best in the league. They have conceded only 14 goals at home in this season and have lost just once at The Emirates.

Manchester City have also been noticeably less dominant away from home. They score 3.57 goals per game at the Etihad stadium but this figure falls to 2.23 away from home. Even with this decrease in the number of goals scored they have lost just once away from home this season.

One other factor that may affect Thursday night’s game is the weather. The chance of snow may impact the number of goals scored.

Cold weather conditions are not considered to produce high numbers of goals but Pinnacle’s research into the effect of weather on soccer betting suggests that any impact is minor.

Despite this, a Premier League game played in snowy conditions is rare, so the effect of weather on the outcome should not be discounted.

Arsenal vs. Manchester City: Where is the value?

An away win is considered to be the most likely result according to the odds but bettors would be wise not to overly focus on Arsenal’s recent defeat against City.

Arsenal’s strong home record combined with a need to make amends for Saturday’s poor performance could see a better result for the London side. City are an exceptional team but are noticeably less dominant away from home.

Betting on the Arsenal +0.5 handicap at 2.180* will cover both an Arsenal win and the draw. That could be a smart move for bettors expecting a better performance from the hosts which could lead to a closer game.

Given Arsenal’s defensive solidity at The Emirates and the return of first-choice goalkeeper Petr Cech, they should be better prepared to defend against City’s exceptional attack than they were on Sunday.

Given that the weather and home advantage could make it a close game, under 3.5 goals to be scored in the match would appear to offer value at 1.704*.

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Odds subject to change

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