This week’s highlight fixture in Serie A sees two sides chasing European qualification, as AC Milan take on Napoli. Will AC Milan strengthen their top four chances? Can Napoli close the gap to Juventus? Read on to inform your AC Milan vs. Napoli prediction.
Live AC Milan vs. Napoli Odds
The Money Line odds suggest this will be a close contest, with Napoli coming in as favourites with a 49% chance of securing an away win. The Total Goals is set at 2.5, with the odds marginally suggesting a low scoring contest with Under odds of 1.884*.
Date – Saturday January 26
Time – 18:30 UTC
Venue – San Siro
AC Milan vs. Napoli predicted line-ups
AC Milan predicted line-up
4-3-3 – Donnarumma (GK), Conti, Romagnoli, Mussachio, Rodriguez, Bakayoko, Calhanoglu, Paqueta, Suso, Cutrone, Borini
Giacomo Bonaventura, Lucas Biglia, and Mattia Caldara remain the long-term absentees - whilst captain Alessio Romagnoli returns from suspension to slot straight back into the side.
Ignazio Abate and Davide Calabria are in a three-way tussle with Andrea Conti for the starting spot at right back, while Samu Castillejo and Jose Mauri are also pushing for starts after making cameos against Genoa on Monday.
Napoli predicted line-up
4-4-2 – Meret (GK), Malcuit, Albiol, Koulibaily, Mario Rui, Ruiz, Diawara, Callejon, Insigne, Mertens, Millik
Kalidou Koulibaily and Lorenzo Insigne should return from suspension whilst Marek Hamsik, Vlad Chiriches and Amin Younes all miss out through injury.
Elseid Hysaj and Faouzi Ghoulam will be pushing for starts in the full back positions while Adam Ounas, Simone Verdi and Piotr Zielinksi will be looking to force themselves into a competitive starting eleven.
AC Milan vs. Napoli Statistics
• Napoli are unbeaten against AC Milan in Serie A in their last eight games (W6 D2)
• AC Milan have not beaten Napoli in Serie A since December 2014.
• There has been one draw in the last five meetings in Serie A.
• Both teams have scored in five of the last eight league games
• There has been Over 2.5 goals in four of the last five league matches
• AC Milan have an xG per game of 1.41 and an xGA per game of 0.96
• Napoli have an xG per game of 1.81 and an xGA per game of 0.91
Inform your AC Milan vs. Napoli prediction
With AC Milan gunning for Champions League Qualification and Napoli looking to keep pace with the leaders Juventus, Sunday’s encounter in Milan should be an intriguing one.
The last meeting between the two sides on the opening day of the season saw Napoli snatch a hard-fought 3-2 home win after going two goals behind in the first half.
Saturday’s fixture should be yet another compelling contest, as AC Milan will be desperate to strengthen their top four hopes with a win or at least a draw at home.
Napoli are 13 points clear of fourth-placed AC Milan but nine points behind the leaders – leaving them in a peculiar position of being too far ahead to fall down below third, but too far behind a rampant Juventus to climb any higher.
Last weekend’s 2-1 victory at home to Lazio proved Napoli’s belief that there is still a fight to be had with Juventus for the Scudetto, and that they refuse to rule themselves out of the race.
Aside from the loss to Inter Milan on Gameweek 17, Napoli have been in great form with six wins in their last seven league games, with their only other loss outside of Serie A being the 1-0 away defeat to Liverpool in the Champions League.
Arkadiuz Millik, Dries Mertens, and Lorenzo Insigne between them have been involved in 47 goals for Napoli thus far in all competitions, with all three in double figures for goals and the latter pair both providing six assists each.
Conversely, like Lazio last weekend, AC Milan will come into the game under intense pressure from the teams below that are all vying to replace them in the final Champions League spot.
Just four points separate 4th-8th position in Serie A, meaning any slip ups can be immediately capitalised by one of Roma, Lazio, Sampdoria or Atalanta.
The impending departure of Gonzalo Higuain means that Suso takes over as Milan’s top scorer with five goals (including a goal last time out against Genoa) – the Spaniard also leads the league assists total with eight.
Genoa’s Krystof Piatek, who has 13 goals in Serie A, has been touted as a replacement for the outgoing Higuain with some reports claiming a deal is close. Whether he starts in such a big fixture on Saturday, if he were to be signed and registered in time, remains doubtful. Academy graduate Cutrone is more likely to lead the line for the Rossoneri.
Cutrone, who was in great form in the Europa League for Milan with four goals in five games, has not replicated his form domestically, registering only three goals in 19 appearances.
AC Milan vs. Napoli: Where is the value?
Bettors could look to the Handicap market to find value given the fact that Napoli have such a good record against AC Milan, with odds of -0.5 currently priced at 2.040*.
Moreover, the attacking proficiency of both clubs as well as the history of both teams scoring in this fixture could lead bettors to opt for an even higher scoring contest with odds of Over 2.75 priced at 2.220*.
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