AC Milan play Inter Milan in this weekend’s big Serie A match. Looking for value in the AC Milan vs. Inter Milan odds? Read on to inform your AC Milan vs. Inter Milan prediction.
A close look at the AC Milan vs. Inter Milan odds
AC Milan come into this game in great form and the odds suggest there is a 40% chance of a home win.
It is likely to be a close game, however, with Inter Milan 1.595* favourites on the +0.5 handicap.
AC Milan vs. Inter Milan stats: What you need to know
Time: Saturday March 4, 19:45 GMT kickoff
Venue: San Siro Stadium
- AC Milan’s Serie A home record: seven wins, two draws, one loss
- Inter Milan’s Serie A away record: five wins, five draws, two losses
- AC Milan are undefeated in their last eight Serie A matches
- The Rossoneri have scored at a rate of just one goal per game at home (12 matches, 12 goals)
- Patrick Cutrone has scored four goals in his last four Serie A appearances
- Mauro Icardi has scored just one goal in his previous five league games (18 goals total)
AC Milan: Milan can field a full squad other than long term absentee Andrea Conti (injury).
Inter Milan: No major absentees
Inform your AC Milan vs. Inter Milan prediction
The San Siro hosts the 220th Derby della Madonnina as Inter Milan play an away game in familiar surroundings.
After a poor start to the season AC Milan are in the better form of the two sides and without a defeat in eight league matches. Inter have experienced almost the reverse in terms of performance over the course of a season after starting strongly before fading away from Scudetto contention.
AC were 18 points behind just 11 matches ago but can close to within four points of Inter with a win on Saturday.
The form of the two sides is perhaps best reflected by the recent performances of their strikers. AC Milan invested heavily in Nikola Kalinic and Andre Silva in the summer but it is youth product Patrick Cutrone who has provided the goals in recent matches.
Cutrone has scored in each of his last four Serie A appearances as well as performing well in the Europa League.
Inter’s main man in attack is Mauro Icardi. The Argentine striker scored 16 in his first 15 Serie A starts but he has found goals harder to come by as Inter’s promising early season form faded. Icardi has scored just once in five Serie A matches.
Milan’s defence is also much improved from the start of the season. Leonardo Bonuccci and Gianluigi Donnarumma lead a backline that is finally performing to its undoubted ability. AC have conceded just two goals in their last five matches so Icardi might find his goalscoring chances limited.
AC Milan vs. Inter Milan: Where is the value?
The match is a tough one to call, especially since home advantage may be reduced at a shared stadium.
A home win is marginally considered to be the most likely result but also has an implied chance of less than 50% of occurring. Given AC Milan’s superior performances of late Internazionale will need to recapture some of their early season form to have a chance of winning.
Betting on the AC Milan +0.0 handicap at 1.724* will cover bettors in the event of a draw whilst offering value if Milan continue to play impressively.
Inter have only kept one clean sheet in their last seven league matches and that was against bottom of the table strugglers Benevento. AC have scored in each of their last eight games and successfully breached Roma’s strong defence twice last time out.
Milan have a poor scoring record at home but are now a much improved team from the one we saw earlier in the season. AC Milan to score over 1.25 goals in the match is available at 2.110* and could prove to be a sensible bet should both sides continue their recent form.
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