AC Milan play Atalanta in this weekend's highlight Serie A match with both teams looking to return to winning ways following the last round of fixtures. Looking for value in the AC Milan vs. Atalanta odds? Read on to inform your AC Milan vs. Atalanta prediction.
Live AC Milan vs. Atalanta odds
AC Milan come into the match as slight favourites with around a 65% chance of victory against an Atalanta side that are more than capable of causing an upset. The Total Goals figure is currently set at 2.5 suggesting that this will be a close game.
Date – Sunday September 23
Time – 16:00 UTC
Venue – San Siro
AC Milan vs. Atalanta predicted line-ups
AC Milan predicted line-up
4-3-3 – Donnarumma (GK), Calabria, Musacchio, Romagnoli, Rodriguez, Kessie, Biglia, Bonaventura, Suso, Calhanoglu, Higuain.
No new injury concerns for AC Milan after the weekend. Mattia Caldara will be pushing Mateo Mussacchio for his first start for the Rossoneri at centre back having already played beside club-mate and defensive partner Alessio Romagnoli for Italy in the Nations League last week.
Atalanta predicted line-up
3-4-2-1 – Gollini (GK), Masiello, Toloi, Mancini, de Roon, Freuler, Hateboer, Ali Adnan, Gomez, Ilicic, Zapata
Emiliano Rigoni is a doubt having picked up a knock against SPAL last weekend so the returning Josip Illicic is likely to replace him in the starting line-up. Mario Pasalic will also be pushing for a starting berth whilst youngster Musa Barrow will likely be used to make an impact off the bench as he’s done in previous games.
AC Milan vs. Atalanta statistics
• AC Milan have failed to beat Atalanta in their previous six fixtures in Serie A, with their last domestic win coming in 2015.
• In the last five meetings between the two clubs, there has been under 2.5 goals in four matches (80%).
• There have been four draws in the last six meetings between the two sides.
• AC Milan have an xG per game of 1.56 and a xGA of 0.92.
• Atalanta have an xG per game of 1.53 and xGA of 1.155.
Inform your AC Milan vs. Atalanta prediction
With both teams languishing in the bottom half of the table, AC Milan and Atalanta will be desperate to record a victory to get the respective seasons back on track.
AC Milan’s recent record against the Bergamo based outfit has been lacklustre to say the least and they have been inconsistent so far in Serie A. Atalanta themselves have had varying form this season too.
The Rossoneri come into the game having lost, won and most recently drawn their last fixture away to Cagliari, highlighting the inconsistency that has defined them in recent years.
However, with Gonzalo Higuain opening his goal-scoring account last time out, he will be looking to add to his tally having been a consistent goal-scorer in Serie A in his previous seasons with Napoli and Juventus. In fact, Higuain still jointly holds the record for most goals scored in a Serie A season (36) a feat he achieved with Napoli in the 2015/16 season.
With just one win from their opening four games, Atalanta have not had the best of starts to their domestic campaign with their last two results in particular, a 1-0 home defeat to Cagliari and a 2-0 away defeat to SPAL (courtesy of goals of from Andrea Petagna - their own player sent out on loan).
There have been four draws in the last six meetings between the two sides
Atalanta can certainly take inspiration from their last away performance against one of the top sides in Italy when they travelled to play Roma in match day two. They were 3-1 up by halftime before eventually losing their lead thanks to two second half Roma goals in what was the most thrilling game of the season thus far.
What’s more is that they are unbeaten in six outings against AC Milan and Gasperini’s men will draw on pervious experience and confidence to make it seven games unbeaten by the time the final whistle blows.
AC Milan vs. Atalanta: Where is the value
The handicap implies that the game is expected to be a close encounter between two evenly matched sides.
With both sides starting the season in almost identical form and with Atalanta’s recent record against AC Milan, +0.5 handicap odds of 1.877* could be of potential value to bettors.
Considering the recent low goal-scoring statistics between the two clubs, bettors may look for value in the Total Goals market, with odds of Under 2.5 currently priced at 1.917*.
Bettors may also look to the recent draw record between the two teams (four from last six meetings) when analysing the odds - the draw is available at 3.510*.
Finally, AC Milan’s recent poor record against Atalanta means they are priced at sliight higher odds than some may expect to record a home win.
With Atalanta losing their last two, bettors may think AC Milan have a good chance to end their recent poor form against the Nerazzurri.
Never miss a Serie A preview! Follow Pinnacle on Twitter or read our betting advice