Jan 24, 2020
Jan 24, 2020

Six Nations 2020 Tournament preview

Six Nations 2020 Tournament preview

The 2020 Six Nations is an annual international rugby union competition played between six nations within the northern hemisphere. What are the Six Nations winner odds? What should bettors consider for their Six Nations predictions? Read on to find out.

Six Nations 2020 Winner Odds

Team
World Ranking
2019 Six Nations
Current - Odds
Implied Probability (%)

England

3

2nd

1.757

56.90

Ireland

5

3rd

4.770

21.00

Wales

4

Grand Slam Winners

7.290

13.70

France

7

4th

7.680

13.00

Scotland

9

5th

22.290

4.50

Italy

12

Wooden Spoon

1014.310

0.10

Six Nations tournament format

This year will mark the 126th edition of the Six Nations, with the participating countries England, France, Ireland, Italy, Scotland and Wales as they play each other over the course of five weekends of fixtures. This is an international competition that takes place annually, with each of the six sides playing each other once (making a total of 15 matches), alternating home ground advantage each year. The tournament begins on February 1 and concludes on March 14 after the final round of games.

Teams are awarded four points for a win, two for a draw and no points for a defeat. Bonus points will also be awarded for any team scoring four tries or losing by fewer than seven points. There is also three bonus points on offer for teams completing the Grand Slam (this is used to settle the overall winner in the event of a team managing to secure enough bonus points to tie or beat a team that has won all of their games).

The team with the most accumulated points at the end of the tournament will be presented with the Championship Trophy.

The Triple Crown is awarded to one of the Home Nations of England, Ireland, Scotland or Wales, when one nation wins all three of their matches against the others.

Who are the Six Nations favourites?

England (1.757*) will be looking to build on their second-place finish in last year’s World Cup. To many, finishing second would be a great achievement. However, England’s playing group felt it was not good enough (highlighted by them refusing their silver medals) which shows the philosophy Eddie Jones has brought into the squad.

Pinnacle’s Six Nations winner odds imply that England has 56.90% chance of winning this years’ tournament and adding to their 28 outright titles. However, it might not be the case with the team going through a period of transition by blooding eight uncapped players into the squad, along with the schedule not doing them any favours with their first two matches being away to France and Scotland.

The Red Roses will be led by outside back, Jonny May (2019 Six Nations top try-scorer), loose forward, Tom Curry (most tackles at the 2019 Six Nations) and England captain, Owen Farrell (2019 Six Nations top point scorer).

Ireland (4.770*) are after a renewed start as they aim to put a disappointing World Cup campaign behind them. Pinnacle’s odds have them as the second favourite, and with a friendly schedule of three home fixtures, two of which are in the first two rounds, this would set them up nicely when they travel to Twickenham to take on tournament favourites, England.

Key players to watch would be scoring fly-half, Johnny Sexton and Jacob Stockdale (2019 Six Nations leader in metres gained and defenders beaten). A big tournament by both would go a long way to Ireland competing for the Championship Trophy.

Wales (7.290*) are back after dethroning the All-Blacks from the top spot back in August last year, to defend their Grand Slam title. Wales will continue to lean on the veteran presence of Alun Wyn Jones and outside-half Dan Biggar. Their consistent discipline, defensive set up and physical strength mean they are potentially capable of over-performing their implied probability.

Six Nations predictions: Outsiders

Fabian Galthie has named a very young and inexperienced side for his first Six Nations in charge of the French (7.680*). He has named 19 uncapped players for this tournament, many of which the fans will not recognise. One familiar that will be returning for this campaign is Yoann Huget, who was Les Bleus 2019 Six Nations leader in points, tries, defenders beaten and clean breaks to lead them on the pitch.

“the market is giving Italy little to no chance of Six Nations glory with Pinnacle’s odds having an implied probability of 0.1%.”

Ninth-ranked in the world, Scotland (22.290*) have an uphill battle from the start as their first two matches are against two of the tournaments’ favourites (away to Ireland and at home, England) followed by an away match to Italy. They could very well play three games and have no points to show for it.

Italy (1014.310*) have never won the Six Nations and their best finishes were fourth place in 2007 and 2013. With inexperience throughout the squad (even at coaching position with interim head coach, Franco Smith) the market is giving Italy little to no chance of Six Nations glory with Pinnacle’s odds having an implied probability of 0.1%.

Get the latest Six Nations odds with Pinnacle

Odds subject to change

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