Last week
Oct 16, 2019

Rugby World Cup 2019 quarter-finals preview

Rugby World Cup predictions

Rugby World Cup odds

Quarter-finals match-ups

Rugby World Cup 2019 quarter-finals preview

The 2019 Rugby World Cup is now in the quarter-finals and only eight teams are left. What are the Rugby World Cup winner odds? What should bettors consider for their Rugby World Cup predictions? Who will win the 2019 Rugby World Cup? Read on to find out.

We’re now a month into the 2019 Rugby World Cup. After some up and downs (and cancelled matches), we now have just eight teams left in the competition. At this stage of the competition, bettors would expect none of the potential mismatches we have seen in the earlier stages of the competition.

However, this year’s surprise package is the host Japan, and with the benefits of home field advantage they find themselves taking part in the quarter-finals. Japan weren’t even listed in Pinnacle’s top ten for the outright Rugby World Cup odds before the tournament started, and instead fell within The Field at 51.400 (less than 2% chance of winning, even with 10 other teams in that group as well).

Rugby World Cup 2019 winner odds - Prior to starting vs. Current

Team
Prior to start - Odds
Implied Probability (%)
Current - Odds
Implied Probability (%)

New Zealand

2.190

45.7

2.260

44.2

South Africa

5.610

17.8

4.260

23.5

England

5.940

16.8

5.130

19.5

Ireland

6.110

16.4

17.430

5.7

Wales

8.450

11.8

9.230

10.8

Australia

9.680

10.3

21.530

4.6

France

26.990

3.7

34.850

2.9

The Field

51.400

1.9

34.850

2.9

The games now will likely be a lot tighter with the elite teams competing against each other and the high-pressure environment of the knockout format.

Rugby World Cup tournament format

The quarter-finals will be played out in Oita and Tokyo, with the winners progressing to the semi-finals to be played at Yokohama the following week.

The losers of the semi-finals will play for bronze/third place in Chofu, whilst the final will be played in Nissan Stadium in Yokohama on November 2

Rugby World Cup - Quarter-finals matchups

England vs. Australia

Oita Bank Dome, Oita - October 19, 08:15 (CET)

”Eddie Jones, ex-Australian coach, has the English national team playing well with wins over lesser opponents and improved defence, conceding the least points in the tournament”

England are 8.5 point favourites on the Handicap and come into the match having won six straight matches against Australia. The only concern is the long layoff between matches for England as their last match was October 5 due to Typhoon Hagibis meaning they could be well rested coming into the quarter-finals or a bit sluggish off the break. How they start the match will be a good indication of which England will turn up.

Eddie Jones, ex-Australian coach, has the English national team playing well with wins over lesser opponents and improved defence, conceding the least points in the tournament. Contrastingly, the Wallabies haven’t been as clinical, with constant lineup changes and scraping results against Fiji and a defeat to Wales.

Although Australia on their day can defeat any team, they do take delight in knocking England out in World Cups (1991 World Cup final defeat, 12-6) and should never be considered a walkover.

Bet: England vs. Australia odds

New Zealand vs. Ireland

Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo – October 19, 11:15 (CET)

This quarter-final matchup sees two contrasting teams meet, as Ireland’s shock loss to Japan in the group stages proves they are not firing on all cylinders and are far away from the team that have been able to defeat the All Blacks two out of the last three outings.

In contrast, the All Blacks have shown how dominant they can be with the second largest point differential of the tournament at 135. It’s certainly easy to see why New Zealand come into this match as 12.5 point favourites on the Handicap.

Bet: New Zealand vs. Ireland odds

Wales vs. France

Oita Bank Dome, Oita – October 20, 08:15 (CET)

Pinnacle’s odds have priced up this quarter-final as the closest of the round with Wales being listed as the -6.5 favourites. Player fitness is the concern for Warren Gatland, as he has to wait for key player Dan Biggar to pass concussion tests after he took a heavy hit in the group stages.

France has a history of producing results on the big stages of tournaments. Could this be another chance for a big performance?

World Cup

Record

France's Key Performance

Tournament Finish

1987

4W 1L 1D

def. Australia in the semi-finals, 30-24

Runners-up

1991

3W 1L

def. Fiji in the pool stage. 33-9

Quarter-finalist

1995

5W 1L

def. Ireland & England to finish third

Third Place

1999

5W 1L

def. New Zealand in the semi-finals, 43-31

Runners-up

2003

5W 2L

def. Ireland in the quarter-finals, 43-21

Fourth Place

2007

4W 3L

def. New Zealand in the quarter-finals. 20-18

Fourth Place

2011

4W 3L

runners up against New Zealand, 7-8

Runners-up

2015

3W 2L

def. Italy in the pool stage, 32-10

Quarter-finalist

Bet: Wales vs. France odds

Japan vs. South Africa

Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo – October 20, 11:15 (CET)

The last quarter-final of the round could be considered the most exciting, even with the largest handicap (14 points).

Japan’s rise in rugby has come full circle, starting with their unlikely victory against the Springbok in the opening pool match of the 2015 World Cup. To many people, that is the marker as the start of growth in Japanese Rugby. Defeating Scotland and Ireland in this year’s group stages alone has shown that result was no fluke.

No South African (player or fan) has forgotten that fateful day in Brighton as it ushered in the calls for an overhaul in the national team. Fast forward four years and the experienced halves pairing Faf de Klerk and Handre Pollard, along with one of the best forward packs in the world, will be out to right the wrongs of 2015.

Bet: Japan vs. South Africa odds

Get the latest Rugby World Cup 2019 odds with Pinnacle

Odds subject to change

Betting Resources - Empowering your betting

Pinnacle’s Betting Resources is one of the most comprehensive collections of expert betting advice anywhere online. Catering to all experience levels our aim is simply to empower bettors to become more knowledgeable.