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What is Expected Value?The amount a player can expect to win or lose if they were to place a bet on the same odds many times over, calculated through a simple equation multiplying your probability of winning with the amount you could win per bet, and subtracting the probability of losing multiplied by the amount lost per bet.A simple example of Expected Value (EV) put into practice -&nbsp;if you were

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We have a team of editors and writers at Pinnacle, as well as a collection of external contributors, ranging from university lecturers and renowned authors, to ex-traders and esteemed sports experts. Collectively, the Pinnacle team and external contributors produce the educational content within Betting Resources.

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<ul>
<li>Event:&nbsp;UFC 285</li>
<li>Date: March 5, 2023</li>
<li>Venue:&nbsp;T-Mobile Arena (Las Vegas, USA)</li>
</ul>

<h3>Jon Jones vs. Ciryl Gane: Tale of the Tape</h3>

<table class=" article-table">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center;">
Jon Jones
</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">
Fighter
</td>
<td>
&nbsp;Ciryl Gane
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center;">
35
</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">
Age
</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">
32
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center;">
193 cm
</td>
<td>
Height
</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">
193 cm
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center;">
109 kg
</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">
Weight
</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">
112 kg
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center;">
20-1 (1 no contest)
</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">
UFC record
</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">
8-1
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center;">
26-1 (1 no contest)
</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">
Overall MMA record
</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">
11-1
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center;">
57%
</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">
Striking accuracy
</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">
59%
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center;">
Unranked
</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">
UFC ranking
</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">
#1
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
The heavyweight title is up for grabs when Jones and Gane compete on Sunday after Francis Ngannou left the UFC.
Jones is set to make his first appearance in the UFC since 2020 when he successfully defended his light heavyweight title.
Gane won the interim heavyweight title after beating Derrick Lewis at UFC 265 but he lost to Francis Ngannou when attempting to become the undisputed champion at UFC 270.
The Frenchman, who will become the first French undisputed UFC champion if he wins, beat Tai Tuivasa in his last fight.
<h3>Analysing the&nbsp;Analysing the Jones vs. Gane odds</h3>

<table class=" article-table">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>
Jones
</td>
<td>
Gane
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
59.28%
</td>
<td>
40.72%
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
Jones is the <a href="https://www.pinnacle.com/en/mixed-martial-arts/ufc/ciryl-gane-vs-jon-jones/1565272833#period:0" target="_blank">1.628*</a> favourite, with his odds equating to an approximate 59.28% chance of victory. Gane is the <a href="https://www.pinnacle.com/en/mixed-martial-arts/ufc/ciryl-gane-vs-jon-jones/1565272833#period:0" target="_blank">2.370*</a> underdog, which translates to a 40.72% chance of winning.
<h3>Jones vs. Gane: where is the value?</h3>
After a three-year absence from competitive MMA, it's tough to know just how Jones, regarded as one of the greatest to ever step into the octagon, will look. He is stepping up a weight class and it'll be interesting to see how he transitions to a new division.
Jones' last three fights went the full five rounds and Gane's previous heavyweight title fight also went the distance, therefore, backing over 4.5 rounds at <a href="https://www.pinnacle.com/en/mixed-martial-arts/ufc/ciryl-gane-vs-jon-jones/1565272833#period:0" target="_blank">1.769*</a> looks the value option.
<h3>Valentina Shevchenko vs. Alexa Grasso: Tale of the Tape</h3>

<table class=" article-table">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center;">
Valentina "Bullet" Shevchenko
</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">
Fighter
</td>
<td>
&nbsp;Alexa Grasso
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center;">
34
</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">
Age
</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">
29
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center;">
165 cm
</td>
<td>
Height
</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">
165 cm
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center;">
57&nbsp;kg
</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">
Weight
</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">
57&nbsp;kg
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center;">
12-2
</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">
UFC record
</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">
7-3
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center;">
23-3
</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">
Overall MMA record
</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">
15-3
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center;">
52%
</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">
Striking accuracy
</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">
44%
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center;">
Champion
</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">
UFC ranking
</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">
#6
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
Valentina Shevchenko has dominated the flyweight division since returning to the weight class in 2018, winning nine in a row. She won the title in 2018, and has made seven successful defences.
Alexa Grasso is the latest to try to stop the Shevchenko steam train, and she enters this fight on the back of four successive wins.
<h3>Analysing the Shevchenko vs. Grasso odds</h3>
Shevchenko is the <a href="https://www.pinnacle.com/en/mixed-martial-arts/ufc/alexa-grasso-vs-valentina-shevchenko/1565579919#period:0" target="_blank">1.161*</a> favourite, with her odds equating to an approximate 82.45% chance of victory. Grasso can be backed at <a href="https://www.pinnacle.com/en/mixed-martial-arts/ufc/alexa-grasso-vs-valentina-shevchenko/1565579919#period:0" target="_blank">5.450*</a>, which translates to a 17.55% chance of winning.
<h3>Shevchenko vs. Grasso: where is the value?</h3>
Shevchenko shouldn't encounter any issues in retaining her title and she's likely to win inside the distance, so backing under 4.5 rounds at <a href="https://www.pinnacle.com/en/mixed-martial-arts/ufc/alexa-grasso-vs-valentina-shevchenko/1565579919#period:0" target="_blank">1.645*</a> is the value bet.
Of her seven title defences, four have ended via KO or TKO and another victory by that route is expected.
 Are you ready to make your <a href="https://www.pinnacle.com/en/mixed-martial-arts/ufc/matchups#period:0" target="_blank">UFC 285</a> prediction?&nbsp;<a href="https://bit.ly/3sbs8Ec" target="_blank">Sign up</a>&nbsp;at Pinnacle and bet with our seriously valuable MMA odds.

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UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane and Shevchenko vs. Grasso

ufc 285: jones vs. gane and shevchenko vs. grasso

Article

Inform your MMA predictions ahead of the Jon Jones vs. Ciryl Gane and Valentina Shevchenko vs. Alexa Grasso fights with insight, analysis, and odds from Pinnacle.