Friends-turned-enemies meet again on August 4 as UFC Bantamweight champion TJ Dillashaw faces former champion Cody Garbrandt at UFC 227. Who holds value in the Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt odds? Read on to find out.
Live Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt odds
Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt: friends turned enemies
After the first Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt fight, a super fight was being lined up for the newly crowned UFC bantamweight champion TJ Dillashaw.
Current Flyweight champion and one of the sports most dominant figures Demetrious Johnson stood in TJ’s way as he attempted to add his name to some of the greatest to ever grace the octagon.
The fight never materialised, however, and a rematch with Cody Garbrandt was booked.
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It is a fight that needs no buildup; the pair did enough promotion to last a lifetime before their first fight. But this is no fictional rivalry to sell more pay-per-views; there truly is bad blood between Dillashaw and Garbrandt.
Once the pride of Team Alpha male, TJ trained with Garbrandt as UFC champion under the watchful eye of UFC legend Urijah Faber. Yet, citing clashes with coaches, Dillashaw looked to pastures new in the shape of Duane Ludwig.
The move rubbed everyone at Team Alpha Male up the wrong way, none less than Cody Garbrandt, who went from unranked to champion in the same calendar year.
The two met before their fight on The Ultimate Fighter as coaches. It was a fiery series, with ‘No Love’, the champion at the time, making his feelings clear to Dillashaw; boiling over on multiple occasions.
Then came fight night at UFC 217. A fight that could have gone either way ended with a second-round knockout for the challenger TJ Dillashaw, and Cody Garbrandt lost his unbeaten streak in the UFC.
The pair have been quieter this time around, but rest assured the bad blood remains, and come UFC 227, expect it to boil over once again.
Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt betting: Tale of the tape
Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt odds: Recent betting
Garbrandt went into his last fight with Dillashaw as champion and favourite but came out with a loss. Their last encounter has surely left a lasting effect on the odds for the second bout, with ‘No Love’ going into the fight as an underdog this time around, albeit only slightly.
Being underdog most certainly won't faze Garbrandt. He was a big underdog in his first Championship fight against Dominic Cruz and dominated the once Bantamweight Champion over the five rounds.
Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt: The matchup
How much information can be taken away from their last fight? I think quite a bit.
Sure, Garbrandt came away with his first loss in the UFC, but the fight could have easily gone so differently. If a round was just half a minute longer ‘No Love’ would have been walking away from the octagon with the title still wrapped around his waist.
It was at the end of the first round where Garbrandt rocked Dillashaw, and the bell saved the contender. Dillashaw recovered superbly in his corner and, come round two, looked as light on his feet as in the first minute of round one.
Garbrandt didn’t have such luck in round two when he was rocked by a high kick. Whilst he was able to make his way back to his feet, he was never able to completely recover.
A few seconds later and “No Love” was dropped once again by Dillashaw via a right hook, and TJ put away Garbrandt to become the new UFC Bantamweight champion.
This is no fictional rivalry, there truly is bad blood between Dillashaw and Garbrandt.
That high kick felt like the story of the fight. Whilst Garbrandt has superior hands to TJ, Dillashaw has more weapons. If Dillashaw wants to win once again, he needs to stay well away from the fast flurries visible in the first round from Garbrandt and utilise his impressive repertoire of kicks and, maybe test Garbrandts wrestling, which he wasn’t able to do in the first fight.
For Garbrandt, the mentality to come back from a loss that meant much more than just another win on his roster will be his first challenge. It was the most anticipated fight of his career and to loss via knockout can be a difficult hurdle to overcome. Just look at Francis Ngannou against Derrick Lewis recently, who admitted that his loss against Stipe Miocic was a road that he still hadn’t been able to cross.
Based on his personality however, I do expect Garbrandt to use this loss as his fuel. TJ’s win wasn’t a fluke, but Garbrandt’s chances of redemption are certainly as good as another win for the champ.
If “No Love” can keep the fight in close quarters, then his impressive boxing pedigree can overcome the diversity of attacks Dillashaw offers.
Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt odds: Where is the value?
There is little to separate the former teammates, which is why there is little between them in the odds. His previous win makes Dillashaw the slight favourite, but not by much.
TJ looks to be improving everytime he steps into the ring thanks to Duane Ludwig, one of the most respected MMA coaches around. He probably has another weapon that he has added to his arsenal since their last encounter, and the unpredictability from that should worry ‘No Love’.
But with so little to separate the two, the value lies in Garbrandt. He proved how deadly his hands can be in that first round and you would hope that they have worked out the defensive chinks in his armour to TJ’s deadly high kick.
Dillashaw has proven that when the gameplan isn’t going to plan he can get wild; this is perfect for Garbrandt, who thrives in those engagements. If his corner can help him stifle that gameplan (which is easier said than done), then odds of 2.070* for Cody Garbrandt to regain his Bantamweight title could be too good to ignore.
After Lesnar’s cartoon-like performance after the Miocic Cormier fight at UFC 226, it is refreshing to see true bad blood in a fight, which makes Dillashaw Garbrandt at UFC 227 one of the most intriguing fights of the year.