May 29, 2018
May 29, 2018

UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero betting preview

A new era of dominance?

Whittaker vs. Romero odds

Inform your Whittaker vs. Romero prediction

UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero betting preview

The UFC heads to Chicago on June 9 as Middleweight Champion Robert Whittaker and Yoel Romero rerun their close UFC 213 meet. Who holds value in the Whittaker vs. Romero odds? Read on to find out.

Live Whittaker vs. Romero odds

Whittaker vs. Romero betting: The beginning of dominance?

UFC 213. Whittaker met Yoel Romero in the middle of the octagon for the interim UFC Middleweight Championship. The bout won fight of the night, and Robert Whittaker left with a narrow unanimous decision and the interim title.

This will be Whittaker’s first title defence after pulling out at UFC 221 against Luke Rockhold due to a staph infection and chickenpox. Yoel Romero stepped in his place and knocked out the American in the third. If it wasn’t for the Cuban missing weight, he would have been interim champion.

Instead, Whittaker was given the status as champion of the middleweight division and the rest is history.

Whittaker’s scrambling is monumentally underrated, particularly when you look at some of the ground masters he has shared a ring with.

It will have been 11 months since Robert Whittaker’s last octagon walk, which will be relatively unfamiliar territory for The Reaper; we’re used to seeing Whittaker in the cage two or three times a year.

For Romero, the motivation will be his chance of redemption after his previous loss and, at 41 years of age, the opportunity to become the second oldest UFC Champion of all time.

After Nurmagomedov’s and Nunes’ dominant performances at UFC 223 and 224 respectively, UFC 225 finally offers an opportunity for a fight that has a real chance of going either way.

It has been over five years since Anderson Silva’s 2,457-day reign of the middleweight division came to an end, and no one has looked anywhere near the clear commanding king of the division since. Robert Whittaker has the traits to do so, but Romero most definitely has the weapons to stop that.

Whittaker vs. Romero 2: Tale of the tape

Tale of the tape

Robert WhittakerNameYoel Romero
27 Age 41
6' 0'' Height 6' 0''
185 lb Weight 185 lb
73'' Reach 73''
20-4-0 Record 13-2-0
9 Wins by KO 11
5 Wins by Sub 0
1 Losses by KO 1
1 Losses by Sub 0

Whittaker vs. Romero odds: Recent betting

Robert Whittaker

OpponentOpening oddsHigh oddsLow oddsClosing oddsResult
Yoel Romero 1.94 2.08 1.74 1.80 W
Jacare Souza 1.75 3.40 2.60 3.20 W
Derek Brunson 2.05 2.29 1.85 2.00 W

Yoel Romero

OpponentOpening oddsHigh oddsLow oddsClosing oddsResult
Luke Rockhold 1.78 2.08 1.74 1.80 W
Robert Whittaker 1.94 2.21 1.83 2.11 L
Chris Weidmann 2.50 2.90 2.35 2.80 W

For two well-rounded fighters who have risen to the top of the sport, both have often offered good value in the past. Particularly Robert Whittaker’s closing odds against Ronaldo Jacare Souza, which was seen as a huge upset at the time: Whittaker dominated Souza before a 2nd round TKO.

It would be surprising to see the odds move against The Reaper in a similar fashion this time, particularly with a 1-0 record against Romero going into the fight.

Whittaker vs. Romero: The matchup

At first glimpse, Yoel Romero should be Robert Whittaker’s worst nightmare. He’s an Olympic silver medalist in freestyle wrestling, ground and pound aficionado, and despite his age, the conditioning of a fighter in his prime.

Yet Whittaker has already survived Romero’s best weapon. The Soldier of God consistently attempted to take Whittaker to the ground, and Whittaker either snuffed the attempt or kept him close on the ground.

Whittaker’s scrambling is monumentally underrated, particularly when you look at some of the ground masters he has shared a ring with. An 87% takedown defence is ranked alongside some of the best in the business. Just look at his fight against five-time Ju Jitsu World Champion Jacare Souza, who consistently struggled to get Whittaker to the ground.

The question is, how will Whittaker handle the long layoff? It has been a while since we saw what Whittaker can do in the cage, and will we see the same man return to the ring in Chicago?

It will have been 11 months since Robert Whittaker’s last octagon walk, which will be relatively unfamiliar territory for The Reaper.

Whilst Romero offers so much on the ground, his sheer strength also makes him a danger on his feet, so his opponent will never be safe no matter where the fight takes place. It does feel as though Whittaker will have the edge on the feet; but Romero has proven in the past that he certainly doesn’t lack knockout power and is prone to do something out of the ordinary, just look at his finish against Chris Weidmann.

Whittaker vs. Romero odds: Where is the value?

After the last matchup it is no surprise to see Robert Whittaker as the favourite. Yet it must be remembered that Romero took the first two rounds during their last fight and, if it wasn’t for gassing out, could have easily returned to Cuba with a win.

That being said, Whittaker’s performances before his injury were nothing short of sensational. Particularly against elite-level wrestlers, The Reaper showed just how difficult it is to get fights to the ground.

Many were wondering whether Whittaker has the knockout power to stand with the Middleweights. After his most recent stoppages, those concerns were quashed. Both men have raw power and could easily knock out the other at any stage of the fight.

Particularly with Romero’s gung-ho and unpredictable style; which can so often lose him the fight as it does win it. Under 4.5 rounds currently stands at 1.934* and could offer value.

Odds subject to change

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