May 9, 2018
May 9, 2018

UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington betting preview

A tune-up fight for Nunes?

Nunes vs. Pennington odds

Inform your Nunes vs. Pennington prediction

UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington betting preview

Amanda Nunes puts her UFC Women’s Bantamweight title on the line in Rio de Janeiro on May 12 against number two ranked Raquel Pennington. Who holds value in the Nunes vs. Pennington odds? Read on to find out.

Live Nunes vs. Pennington odds

Nunes vs. Pennington betting: A tune-up fight?

UFC 224 may be the next fight on Amanda Nunes agenda, but I don’t think there is any doubt on the fight that the fans want to see.

After Cris Cyborg successfully defended her title against Yana Kunitskaya via first-round TKO, UFC President Dana White referred to a potential super-fight between Cyborg and bantamweight champions Amanda Nunes as “the fight to make.”

A strange comment seeing as a deal for Nunes to defend her belt against American Raquel Pennington had already been lined up.

Of course, this wouldn’t have been the first time the UFC had gone back on their word to a fighter, but, this time they honoured their agreement and Pennington was aligned for a fight for the title at UFC 224.

There are rumours that the UFC are already planning the super fight, which ultimately shows the chances that the MMA hierarchy are giving Pennington in Rio and, how bad it will be for business if she pulls it off.

This won’t bother Pennington, saying “who knows? I have no fear of Cyborg. I would move up and fight Cyborg, too”

Raquel Pennington hasn’t fought for over a year due to injury, so expect rust. The Ultimate Fighter season 18 alumni has a modest 9-5 record, but her last victory against ex-champion Miesha Tate on paper shows that she has the ability to hang with the best; but it must be noted that it was Miesha’s last fight in the UFC.

Despite winning the title against Miesha Tate, Amanda Nunes’ stock rose dramatically over her first round mauling of one-time UFC cover girl Ronda Rousey. Admittedly, it wasn’t the Rousey we were familiar with, but the Lioness can back that infamous victory with wins over Valentina Shevchenko and Germaine de Randamie.

Nunes vs. Pennington: Tale of the tape

Nunes vs. Pennington: Tale of the tape

29 Age 29
5' 8'' Height 5' 7''
135 lb Weight 135 lb
69'' Reach 67''
15-4-0 Record 9-6-0
5 Wins by KO 0
2 Wins by Sub 2
2 Losses by KO 0
0 Losses by Sub 0

Nunes vs. Pennington odds: Recent betting

Amanda Nunes:

Amanda Nunes: Recent betting

OpponentOpening oddsHigh oddsLow oddsClosing oddsResult
Valentina Shevchenko 1.94 2.23 1.93 2.23 W
Ronda Rousey 1.46 1.46 1.34 1.34 W
Meisha Tate 3.18 3.65 3.13 3.65 W

Raquel Pennington:

Raquel Pennington: Recent betting

OpponentOpening oddsHigh oddsLow oddsClosing oddsResult
Meisha Tate 2.50 2.55 2.06 2.15 W
Elizabeth Phillips 1.46 1.46 1.34 1.34 W
Bethe Correia 1.57 1.60 1.42 1.50 W

Coming in as an underdog will be nothing new for Pennington, particularly after the Meisha Tate fight where she overcame doubters to win by unanimous decision.

Nunes vs Pennington: The matchup

After Nunes’ unconvincing win over Shevchenko back in September and Pennington’s time out of the cage, it would be no surprise to see the two looking stiff, for the first few rounds at least.

Pennington has never been knocked out, so whilst Nunes certainly can offer knockout potential, it would most likely be in the Championship rounds, rounds that Pennington will be new to. It must be said that Pennington has infamous durability and could thrive herself when the going gets tough in rounds four and five.

Both fighters are well-rounded, with Nunes offering more aggressiveness than Pennington, which may work in the American’s favour who thrives at managing distance and countering.

There’s no doubting that Pennington has potential knockout power, just look at how she lifted Meisha Tate last time out, but Nunes’ will likely have the edge when it comes to pure power. 

Nunes vs. Pennington odds: Where is the value?

Pennington certainly has the potential to cause an upset against Nunes who did look uneasy last time out, but it does feel like the Lioness’ ceiling is higher than UFC 224.

The super fight with Cris Cyborg is the money fight, and a win against Pennington will only cement the fight for the fans in the coming year. It is a fight that will likely stay on the feet with both having high-quality wrestling, but better stand up.

On the feet, it is difficult to see how Pennington can outmanoeuvre Nunes without being tagged by a heavy shot. Whilst Nunes’ short odds may not be as enticing as the underdog’s, there is a reason that Nunes is seen as one of MMA’s biggest women’s fighters and would likely be the smart bet.

Odds subject to change

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