Nov 6, 2020
Nov 6, 2020

2020 Masters Tournament preview

Masters Tournament predictions and odds

Who will win the 2020 Masters Tournament?

2020 Masters: Where is the value?

Augusta National Golf Club analysed

2020 Masters Tournament preview

The biggest and best names in golf are getting ready to face off at this year’s Masters Tournament for the last major of 2020 and the chance to claim a coveted Green Jacket. Who are the favourites, where is the value and what might unfold at the Augusta National Golf Club between November 12 and 15? Inform your predictions with our Masters preview.

Dates: November 12-15, 2020

Venue: Augusta National Golf Club (Georgia, US)

Defending champion: Tiger Woods

2020 Masters: Background and build-up

This year’s Masters Tournament is commencing almost seven months to the day after it was originally scheduled, having been postponed as a result of the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. As a result, it has been moved from the 2019-20 PGA Tour to the 2020-21 season, and will in fact be the first of two Masters Tournaments to be held during this time (the other is presently slated as usual for next April).

As per every year since 1934, the venue is the Augusta National Golf Club in Georgia, US – although this time there will be no spectators present. The course is comprised of four par 3, 10 par 4 and four par 5 holes across a total of 7,475 yards, for an average of 415.28 yards per hole.

Factors the course is renowned for include uneven fairways, swirling winds and difficult water hazards, as well as the ‘Amen Corner’ of holes 11, 12 and 13, which is frequently rated as capable of being able to make or break a round.

A field of 95 players is expected, including 18 former Masters champions. Among them is defending champion Tiger Woods, who shocked the golfing world when he topped the leader board last year to win his first major since the 2008 US Open. Brooks Koepka, Dustin Johnson and Justin Thomas, who all finished as joint runners-up one shot behind Woods in 2019, are also set to compete.

2020 Masters: Favourites at a glance



World Rankings (OWGR)

Average strokes gained for last 10 tournaments

Bryson DeChambeau




Jon Rahm




Rory McIlroy




Justin Thomas




Dustin Johnson




Xander Schuaffele




Brooks Koepka




Tiger Woods




Patrick Cantlay




Bubba Watson




2020 Masters: Players to look out for

Fresh off impressively winning the US Open by a margin of six strokes in September, Bryson DeChambeau (7.670*) enters the tournament as outright favourite. 2020 has been a formative year for the 25-year-old, who also tied for fourth at this year’s PGA Championship and achieved at least 2.5 strokes gained at half of his last 10 tournaments.

This can be attributed to his combination of strength and precision beginning to pay dividends. After gaining 40 pounds in weight, he is now regarded as one of the most powerful drivers across the PGA tour, while The Scientist’s analytical approach to golf should mean that he is mentally rehearsed for the trickier components of the Augusta course.

However, his chances of victory may directly depend on the extent to which he tidies up his occasionally lacking putting ability. DeChambeau was statistically ranked as only the 131st best putter on the 2019-20 PGA Tour, requiring an average of 1.75 putts to complete a hole and only sinking 36.81% of putts on the first attempt. The Masters generally requires strong all-round performances to win and this could prove his undoing.

Tiger Woods' stats and current performances do not favour his chances of back-to-back victories.

Jon Rahm (11.850*) is presently listed as favourite by Data Golf’s predictive model, which gives him an estimated 10.1% likelihood to beat the rest of the field. The Spaniard has boasted strong results featuring wins at the Memorial Tournament and BMW Championship in the last few months, and has achieved four top 10 finishes at majors since the start of 2018.

Rahm averaged 2.39 strokes gained during the 2019-20 PGA Tour and achieved at least two in all but one of his last seven tournaments. More impressively, the Charles Schwab Challenge (which was his first competition in three months) is the only one at which he recorded a negative return for the metric this year.

Rory McIlroy is 12.090* to win the last major missing from his collection. He has gradually improved his form since missing the cut at last year’s Open Championship, turning in a 19 under par to win the 2019 WGC-HSBC Champions tournament before tying for eighth at the US Open. He has also achieved at least 1.5 strokes gained at his last five tournaments.

McIlroy is perhaps the most consistent Masters performer among the direct favourites, finishing in the top 10 for five of the previous six years. However, his issues with dealing with pressure at the tournament are well-documented and poor final rounds spurned decent opportunities to claim the green jacket in both 2011 and 2016. While he is still third favourite, he arguably enters this tournament with less expectations on him, which could offer a psychological advantage.

Conversely, attention will be naturally be on defending champion Tiger Woods (22.270*), but his stats and current performances do not favour his chances of back-to-back victories. He has finished outside of the top 40 in all but one of his last seven appearances on the PGA Tour and missed the cut at the US Open.

More worryingly, thus far on this year’s tour just 61.11% of his attempts to find the green have been successful, meaning Augusta’s aforementioned fiddly fairways and hazards on the back nine could easily land him in trouble. On top of this, seven of the last 10 defending champions also failed to make the top 25.

Among the players who could prove decent value bets are Webb Simpson (39.970*). The 35-year-old has racked up three top 10 major finishes in the last three years, and was within the top 15 for five of his last six PGA Tour runouts.

Perhaps more importantly, he can post respectable stats across the board and enters the tournament ranked 10th on the tour for scoring average (69.22), 16th for one-putt success percentage (46.30%) and 20th in strokes gained (1.78). This indicates that he is perhaps more equipped than most to comply with the versatile demands of the Augusta course.

2020 PGA Championship winner Colin Morikawa (31.720*) also potentially possesses a more formidable chance of success than his odds suggest. The relative newcomer also emerged victorious from the Workday Charity Open in July and can boast five top 20 finishes in his last nine PGA Tour appearances.

Morikawa achieves consistent accuracy with his iron shots which should prove beneficial on the Augusta course, and his underlying stats imply his leader board-topping performances weren’t merely flukes. Indeed, he ranked second on the 2019-20 PGA Tour for strokes gained approaching the green (0.884) and 15th for scoring average (69.856).

2020 Masters: Where is the value?

A recent reasonable barometer of potential Masters success is strong driving ability. Every winner since 2008 has been in the top 35% on that year’s PGA Tour for average distance to the apex from their opening drive, and four of the last eight ranked in the top 20 for this statistic. Notably, DeChambeau and McIlroy presently rank first and third respectively on the current tour for this metric.

There is definite incentive to identify value in the maket when it comes to Masters betting.

Furthermore, Masters winners tend to be at, or have just surpassed, the halfway point of their career, partially because the tournament is played at the same venue every year. A study by Data Golf illustrated that golfers tend to peak at Augusta during their ninth or 10th appearance at the tournament.

This is to the extent that a golfer with nine to 10 years’ experience at Augusta is likely to score 0.2-0.3 strokes better per round than another player making their tournament debut, assuming the pair shared an identical baseline ability.

Notably, the 10 favourites listed above are a somewhat inexperienced field in this respect. Before this year, seven had made four Masters appearances or fewer, with the exceptions of Watson (10 appearances), McIlroy (11) and Woods (21).

This could offer some insight as to why the Masters has recently witnessed more success for outsiders than favourites, or more specifically, highly-ranked players. Of the last 10 Masters champions, seven were outside the top 10 of the world rankings at the time of the tournament, and the world number one (presently Dustin Johnson) has not earned the Green Jacket since Tiger Woods in 2002.

Naturally, a player is not automatically more likely to win in this scenario simply because they have longer odds. However, the victories for Patrick Reed in 2018 (who closed at 41.000), Sergio Garcia the year before (31.000) and most notably, Danny Willett in 2016 (101.000) underline that there is a definite incentive to identify value in the market when it comes to Masters betting.

Do you think one of the favourites will win or could be there another surprise on the cards? Get the best golf odds on this year’s Masters Tournament with Pinnacle.

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