Mar 16, 2018
Mar 16, 2018

2018 US Masters betting preview

US Masters winner odds: the favourites

Who could offer value?

The most exciting US Masters in recent years?

2018 US Masters betting preview

Eight months of ‘no majors’ frustration comes to an end at Augusta National Golf Club as the US Masters kicks off the season of majors on April 5. Where is the value in the 2018 US Masters odds? Read on for an insight into 2018 US Masters betting.

2018 US Masters: What you need to know

US Masters: What you need to know

DateApril 5 - April 8
Location Augusta National Golf Club, Augusta, Georgia, United States
Most victories Jack Nicklaus - 6
Course record Tiger Woods - 270 (1997)
Best round Greg Norman - 63 (1996)
Largest margin of victory Tiger Woods - 12 strokes (1997)

Over the past few years, we have been starved of battles between some of the biggest names in golf at the Masters. Bubba vs. Spieth back in 2014 was strong but still didn't hit the heights of past meetings.

Nothing has come close to the likes of Els vs. Mickelson all the way back in 2004. Yet this year feels as though the big-hitters are back.

Nostalgia certainly looks to be the order of the year, with Phil Mickelson ending the longest drought of his career with a playoff win at WGC-Mexico and Tiger Woods finishing T-2 (tied for second) at the Valspar Championship. Add in the likes of Dustin Johnson, Rory McIlroy, Jordan Speith and Justin Thomas, and the 2018 US Masters is setting itself up to be memorable.

2018 US Masters betting: The favourites

A year ago, Dustin Johnson arrived at Augusta as the biggest US Masters betting favourite not named Tiger Woods in Decades (DJ’s odds to win stooped as low as 6.63). The stars seemed to have aligned for the World number one before a fall the night before his first tee-off at his rental home, injuring his back in the process.

It was just the second time in the last 31 years the no.1 ranked golfer had failed to play at the Masters.

Coming off the win at the WGC-Mexico Championship, it feels as though a winless weight has been lifted of the back of Mickelson.

This time around, DJ heads into the Masters without notching a score higher than -4 in official PGA tour events.

Amongst other things, Johson is listed as the favourite in the 2018 US Masters winner odds (currently priced at 8.420*) because of his athletic playing style, which suits Augusta’s long holes.

An average strokes gained off the tee of 1.114 is the best on the PGA Tour, a feat that is imperative when looking for a simple up-down shot at Augusta. The layout of the course also means it is no coincidence that the heavy drivers often excel in Georgia - Bubba Watson (26.340*) has one of the longest average drive distances this season with 317.4.

In four trips to the Masters, Jordan Spieth's form reads: T-2, Win, T-2, T-11. Given his consistency it would be foolish to look past the American. 

It has been a difficult winter for Spieth (priced at 10.150* in the US Masters winner odds) recovering from Mononucleosis, losing practice time in the process; a full month in fact. His last appearance at Augusta emanated after a difficult run-in and ultimately ended in his worst finish at the US Masters.

Spieth is also going through a slump on the greens. He is currently 167th on the PGA Tour for strokes gained: putting with -0.349. Whilst we have likely seen the worst of this, bettors may expect its effects to linger for a few more rounds before we see the real Spieth once again.

With his past record at Augusta, it is clear that this is a course that Spieth thrives in and even after a difficult winter should not be ruled out.

2018 US Masters winner odds: Potential value

The 2017 US Masters. Just seven feet of immaculate Augusta turf separates Justin Rose from adorning the infamous green jacket. Yet, the ball doesn’t break like it did for him in the last round. Instead, Sergio Garcia takes two to hole and the pair head back to the 18th tee for a playoff. The rest is history.

Despite closing odds at 6.88 before the start of the tournament, it looked like it was Rose’ to lose with only a few holes to play. It is also hard to believe that a man who has finished runner-up in two of the last three Masters and hasn’t finished outside of the top 25 in a decade is so far out at 15.780*

Rose has started this year in impressive form culminating in four International wins in just 11 starts and was in contention at the Valspar Championships going into the final day.

The layout of the course also means it is no coincidence that the heavy drivers often excel in Georgia.

His game is gearing up for a crack at the Masters, with 0.589 strokes gained off the tee (19th best on the PGA Tour) and 0.764 strokes gained when putting (11th best on the PGA Tour), it would be no surprise to see him in contention once again.

Atop of the current FedexCup Standings, it is often bewildering as to why Justin Thomas is somewhat overlooked against the names of the sport. Two tour wins already this season including an impressive clutch shot victory in the Honda Classic, and Justin Thomas goes into the 2018 US Masters in search for back-to-back major championships.

Whilst his driving game isn’t the strongest, his approach play often makes up for it. Strokes gained approaching the green average of 0.964 (4th best on tour) will be helpful against the difficult greens at Augusta, and with odds of 11.800*, Thomas could offer value.

If it wasn’t for a resurgent Tiger, Mickelson would be the peoples’ champion of choice at the Masters.

Mickelson has said driving down Magnolia Lane and setting foot on the ground at Augusta National Golf Club invigorates and inspires him to play at his best. Judging by his current form, I wouldn’t be surprised to see just that this year.

Strokes gained approaching the green of 1.143 (5th best on PGA Tour) and strokes gained when putting of 1.082 (3rd best on PGA Tour) show a Mickelson in form, and we haven't seen a Mickelson notch numbers quite like this before a Masters since his 2006 triumph at Augusta.

His short game has never been a point of issue, however. His long game will be stretched to its limits and with a strokes gained off the tee average of -0.098, could be the deciding factor of whether Mickelson is chasing the green jacket on Sunday.

Coming off the win at the WGC-Mexico Championship, it feels as though a winless weight has been lifted of the back of Mickelson, and should go into the Masters with confidence. At 18.180*, could Lefty become the oldest Masters champion in history?

Like most majors, the Masters is a tournament difficult to predict, particularly with the depth of field currently at the top of golf. Many will find that extra yard in their game for the tournament, whilst others whittle under the pressure unlike any other golf tournament. With some of the big hitters returning to the fray alongside many nearly-men over the years, the 2018 US Masters is shaping up to be a memorable one.

Get the best US Masters odds online at Pinnacle.

Odds subject to change

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