Jun 9, 2017
Jun 9, 2017

2017 US Open betting: Expert golf betting insight

Will the course affect the result?

The important statistics to consider

Does luck have a part to play in golf betting?

2017 US Open betting: Expert golf betting insight

The 2017 US Open stands as the USGA’s flagship event. Yet, the prestige that the tournament holds is due to differing factors unseen by the other majors. How can you get an edge over the bookmakers in 2017 US Open betting? Who has the best chance of winning the second major tournament in the golf betting calendar? Read on to find out.

The US Open takes place between June 15-18, this year making its debut at Erin Hills, Wisconsin. In order to qualify for the tournament, certain criteria must be met – winning one of the last five US Masters, Open Championships or PGA Championships are just a few examples.

With more than ten previous champions competing and an extremely high level of quality throughout the field, there’s plenty of value on offer in the 2017 US Open betting for those that know how to bet on golf.

2017 US Open betting - the importance of location

Unlike the Masters which is always played at the beautifully kept greens of Augusta National, the US Open is a nomadic event; meaning that the venue changes every year. It is no secret that the USGA likes to hold the US Open at some of the most unforgiving courses in America, breaking the mould of other majors by visiting courses that are less pristine and offer a more rugged challenge.

The high possibility of bleak weather conditions will mean that adapting to weather changes on the way to the green may be vital.

This year’s event will be a new challenge for the seasoned professionals as the tournament heads to Erin Hills. Unlike many of the previous tournaments, the course has been closed to the public since the end of September; so the course should roll true. Yet it still plays like a USGA course; using the wind to affect the players. As is often the case in golf betting, those who can handle the difficult weather could have the key to success at the US Open.

Using stats to inform your golf betting

Statistical analysis is critical for successful golf betting. Whilst bettors have an endless supply of varying statistics, it is critical to pick those statistics that will be beneficial in your US Open betting selection.

For the 2017 US Open, the high possibility of bleak weather conditions will mean that adapting to weather changes on the way to the green may be vital. With this in mind, data referring to greens in regulation (GIR), scrambling (making par after missing a GIR) and strokes gained (SG) from tee-to-green should be the focus of attention. Below is a table of the aforementioned statistics for the main contenders in Pinnacle’s US Open betting:

PlayerGIR %Scrambling %SG: tee-to-green
D. Johnson 73.37 62.58 2.155
R. McIlroy 67.50 66.67 1.831
J. Day 65.37 61.50 0.602
J. Spieth 72.55 58.93 1.158
J. Rose 69.44 59.09 1.249
H. Matsuyama 70.77 64.25 1.590
J. Rahm 70.21 64.29 1.835
S. Garcia 71.35 63.03 1.820

Analysing the 2017 US Open betting

With Sergio Garcia winning that elusive first major at the Masters, this year’s US Open may be a chance for those without a major to their name to finally make their move.

Nevertheless, it is difficult to look further than Dustin Johnson as a favourite at 8.930*. The defending champion, DJ won his first major at the 2016 US Open. Since then, he has been in inspired form, ending the year as both the PGA Player and PGA Tour Player of the Year.

One thing that falls in Speith’s favour in terms of the 2017 US Open betting is that he is one of a few contenders to have competed at Erin Hills.

2017 started just as promising for Johnson, becoming World number one. He was forced to withdraw at the US Masters after falling down a staircase, with Pinnacle refunding all outright bets on DJ winning the green jacket. Dustin Johnson is favourite to defend his crown, but has he fully recovered from his accident at Augusta in time to prepare correctly for the US Open?

Having the title of America’s biggest golf prospect can be a little overbearing, but 23-year-old Jordan Speith has shown skill and experience well past his age. In 2015, Speith earned a grand total of $22 million in tournament prize money, surpassing Tiger Wood’s record of $20.9 million.

Despite his talents, his harrowing Sunday round in the most recent US Masters may be a cause for concern for golf bettors. A players ability to handle pressure is crucial in golf betting - Speith is beginning to develop a reputation of a player with incredible talent yet sometimes struggles to rise to the occasion when it matters most.

However, one thing that falls in Speith’s favour in terms of the 2017 US Open betting is that he is one of a few contenders to have competed at Erin Hills (in the 2011 US Amateur) and with odds of 15.460* could be in contention.

Those who can handle the difficult weather could have the key to success at the US Open.

At 28-years old, Rickie Fowler should have his best year’s of golf ahead of him. Yet, he has cemented his name into that unwelcoming group of the best players unable to win a major. Odds of 20.770* may not expose him as one of the favourites, but he was in contention in this year’s US Masters going into Sunday (just one shot off the lead) before his lacklustre final round. Can he follow in Garcia’s footsteps and win his first major?

Golf betting strategy: Talent and luck

With so many elements that can influence results in golf, it is important to appreciate the role luck has. The weather, tee times and pin positions may affect just one hole out of the 72, but it could be the difference between winning and losing the 2017 US Open.

Understanding the relationship between talent and luck can help bettors to determine a strong golf betting strategy. Particularly at a course recognised for unpredictable conditions, luck may play a distinct role in determining the final US Open leaderboard.

Take a look at Pinnacle’s 2017 US Open betting odds and take advantage of the best golf betting odds online.

Odds subject to change

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